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Posts by Election Yard

UPDATE: Wisconsin turnout, just 7 days out.

—189K people have already voted.
(That compares to 345K at equivalent time in 2025.)

—31.2% of ballots cast so far are in Dane & Milwaukee.
(31.5% at equivalent time in 2025.)

—18.3% are in conservative WOW counties.
(19.8% at equivalent time in 2025.)

6 hours ago 88 22 8 1

There is one (1) state legislative special election today in a solid-blue seat on the North Shore of Mass. All the big special election excitement was last week.

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Hungary's upcoming election and the generation gap Most independent polls show that more than 60% of voters under 30 support Péter Magyar's Tisza party while only 15% back Viktor Orbán's ruling Fidesz in April elections.

Most independent polls show that more than 60% of voters under 30 support Péter Magyar's Tisza party while only 15% back Viktor Orbán's ruling Fidesz in April elections. #EuropeNews

1 day ago 24 10 1 1
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Slovenia to inaugurate new parliament after election mired in scandal Outgoing Prime Minister Robert Golob's liberal Freedom Movement scored a tight victory winning 29 seats in the 90-seat parliament ahead of US President Donald Trump admirer Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party.

Outgoing Prime Minister Robert Golob's liberal Freedom Movement scored a tight victory winning 29 seats in the 90-seat parliament ahead of US President Donald Trump admirer Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party. #EuropeNews

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Opinion polling for the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election - Wikipedia

We are about two weeks out from Hungary's elections. The polls are quite something, in that the pro and anti-Orban outfits paint two completely different pictures of what's going to happen. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion...

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Hey kids... new Peltola-Sullivan results from ASR being released today!

It's an official (rounded) 5 point lead now.

Spread the word!

2 days ago 170 42 8 25
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Avi Lewis to lead NDP after successful populist, left-wing leadership campaign The 58-year-old democratic socialist, longtime activist and filmmaker will take on the job his grandfather held more than 50 years ago.

#Breaking: Avi Lewis to lead NDP after successful populist, left-wing leadership campaign

2 days ago 162 36 13 17
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Iowa Down Ballot: GOP gubernatorial primary race gets testy • Iowa Capital Dispatch March madness hits the GOP gubernatorial primary as the focus for campaign-trail criticism shifts from Rep. Randy Feenstra.

GOP gubernatorial candidates had mostly reserved their criticism for the highest-profile and best-funded contender, Rep. Randy Feenstra — until now. The Iowa Down Ballot podcast is a production of Iowa Writers’ Collaborative. iowacapitaldispatch.com/2026/03/29/i...

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The 40 Elections to Watch This April - Bolts Two statewide votes are headlining the election calendar in April. First, Wisconsin will choose a new supreme court justice, with major implications for voting rights. Then, Virginia will decide whether... Read More

Special elections in April will fill two vacant congressional seats. In Georgia, voters are replacing Marjorie Taylor Green, and in New Jersey, they’ll fill the seat vacated by Mikie Sherrill.

Learn more in our guide:

2 days ago 41 16 0 1
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Starmer’s popularity boosted by Iran war rift with Trump, poll shows Beleaguered prime minister’s refusal to kowtow to Trump over Iran has been popular among voters, poll for the Independent finds

Starmer’s popularity boosted by Iran war rift with Trump: JL Partners poll for @the-independent.com www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli...

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We had five states hold their primaries in March. For those curious, there are none in April. We will have to wait until May for the next group, and there will be 10 states with primaries over the course of that month.

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Florida Democrat found guilty of House Ethics violations The verdict could lead to a vote of expulsion for Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

NEW: Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick was found guilty of House Ethics violations, likely laying the groundwork to expel the embattled Florida Democrat.

4 days ago 61 17 23 2

Proposition 4 passed in 2018, and Republicans repeatedly tried to gut it or repeal it. But a long court battle ultimately resulted in the creation of a compact district around Salt Lake City that Democrats are all but assured of winning.

4 days ago 56 10 1 0
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Missouri U.S. Rep. Sam Graves to retire, igniting race for open GOP seat • Missouri Independent U.S. Rep. Sam Graves is abandoning his run for a 14th term in Congress and will retire, the Northwest Missouri Republican told the Wall Street Journal.

U.S. Rep. Sam Graves is abandoning his run for a 14th term in Congress and will retire, the Northwest Missouri Republican told the Wall Street Journal. #moleg #mogov

4 days ago 10 8 4 1
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Utah Republican petition to repeal redistricting law fails after signature removal campaign The ballot initiative received the endorsement of Trump and support from Turning Point Action.

Huge news out of Utah: A GOP-backed ballot measure aimed at repealing a 2018 initiative that outlawed gerrymandering—and led to the adoption of a new congressional map this year—has *failed* to make the November ballot.

5 days ago 185 60 2 10
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Platner leads Mills 2-to-1 in new Maine Senate poll The Emerson College poll found both Mills and Platner leading Republican Susan Collins in a hypothetical general election matchup.

Maine Democratic primary voters prefer Platner by 2-to-1 margin over Mills, new poll finds

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tl;dr no-party affiliated and minor party registered voters swung heavily towards the Democratic candidates. If this persists through November (again, big IF), Florida's statewide offices are in play

6 days ago 36 13 1 0
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2026 Florida Special Elections Analysis A look at party registration turnout and candidate vote by voting method reveals challenges for Republicans

I analyzed party registration turnout and candidate vote shares for yesterday's three Florida special elections open.substack.com/pub/michaelm...

6 days ago 17 13 2 0

Sounds like someone who is intentionally missing the point.

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It's not happening this year, either

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Election Yard Election commentary, sans sleeves. If there's another website with the same vibe, I'd like to hear about it. Our primary focus is elections in the United States of America, but we are no strangers t...

Florida special elections! Danish elections! Lots happening on the 'Tube today. www.youtube.com/@ElectionYard

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Democrats flipped 2 of the 3 seats in Florida special elections today. Looks like we're going to have a lot to discuss on the ol' YT channel tonight.

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Florida State Senate 14 Special - PROJECTION

- 🔵 ☑️ Brian Nathan (D) - 40,212 (50.3%)
- 🔴 Josie Tomkow (R) - 39,804 (49.8%)

We can project that Brian Nathan wins election to the FL State Senate.

🔴 -> 🔵 flip

6 days ago 16 5 0 1
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Polk Supervisor of Elections reports turnout by political party for HD51:

8,406 voted for Holley (R)
7,817 registered Reps voted
a difference of 589

7,109 voted for Perez (D)
5,545 registered Dems voted
a difference of 1,564

--> the Rep received ~27% of the "swing" unaffiliated/minor party vote

6 days ago 57 8 1 2

SD-14: Dem lead is now 364 votes. Looks like there is one precinct left. Flip?

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DDHQ has called Florida HD-87 for Emily Gregory (D), a flip to the Democrats. Could be one more out in Tampa coming their way but it's very close.

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Florida HD-87 is almost final as well, and Dems lead by about 2.3%. This is the State House district which includes Mar-a-Lago, previously GOP.

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Only 4 precincts left in FL SD-14 and Dems lead. Not impossible that we are looking at 2 Dem flips tonight but not calling anything yet.

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Florida SD-14 looking really interesting now. Dems lead by about 680 votes. DDHQ and NYT think basically all the vote is in.

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Say what you will about Florida, but they do tend to wrap up on election night fairly quickly. We probably won't be waiting these races out all night.

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