Interested if sensitivity analysis or multiverse analysis?
You can register for tomorrow's Friday 06 12.30-13.30

Webinar

events.teams.microsoft.com/event/e1020f...

Note that the true title is not the one on calibration you see above

*Global Sensitivity Analysis or Multiverse Analysis?*

Academics Need to Wake Up on AI Ten theses for folks who haven't noticed the ground shifting under their feet

"Perhaps it’d be a good thing if AI finally pushes us to move on from a system where universities spend taxpayer money to pay commercial publishers to very slowly produce paywalled PDFs with outdated results of publicly funded research."

alexanderkustov.substack.com/p/academics-...?

... and here all the slides www.andreasaltelli.eu/file/reposit...

Are you in Barcelona tomorrow? Join us for a short seminar at 10:00-12:30, UPF Barcelona School of Management, Carrer de Balmes, 132: Models of pandemics: What should we do differently next time?
Chair: Ismael Rafols
Speakers:
Tsuyoshi Hondou
Andrea Saltelli
Samuele Lo Piano
Alessio Lachi

In the mail from Nature Briefing today. A singular perspective on whose science is challenged.

Just uploaded a preprint to osf.io entitled 'The Politics of Modelling'. Submitted as an entry to the forthcoming handbook of Ecological Macroeconomics, Open Book publisher.

osf.io/preprints/so...

Mathematical models: a state of exception Models live in a state of exception. Their versatility, the variety of their methods, the impossibility of their falsification and their epistemic authority allow mathematical models to escape, bet...

Mathematical models: a state of exception www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

The Challenge of Quantification: An Interdisciplinary Reading - Minerva The present work looks at what we call “the multiverse of quantification”, where visible and invisible numbers permeate all aspects and venues of life. We review the contributions of different authors...

This is just two years old, so it is too early to say that it aged well ...

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Florence seen from the hill of Fiesole

13th Summer School on Sensitivity Analysis of Model Output (SAMO) 8–12 June 2026 | Fiesole (Florence), Italy
Registration open.
Cost: Free of charge
Apply by 31 December 2025
Successful candidates notified by 15 January 2026
Info & registration at: lnkd.in/dySGBBqX
#SAMO2026 #SensitivityAnalysis

Gaza, di Laura Silvia Battaglia Mentre gli omicidi di giornalisti nella Striscia di Gaza e nella Cisgiordania occupata illegalmente continuano senza sosta, vi parlo di giornalismo raccontando i miei due mesi, nel 2012, di ingegnamen...

www.mentinfuga.com/gaza-di-laur...?

Technoscience, policy and the new media. Nexus or vortex? Science, technology and policy are today entangled in concurrent crises, rapid transformations and conflicts, which are alimented by an ever-accelerat…

Re-reading this piece, written 6 years ago with Belgian sociologist Paul Marie Boulanger; it seems to have aged well.

What would Harold Innis and Niklas Luhmann write if they were alive today?

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

The logic that helped Israeli liberals commit genocide By attaching a military goal to each act of killing, Israelis of all stripes could partake in the slaughter without questioning the morality of their actions.

See about the role of AI:

www.972mag.com/israelis-log...?

Study: Energy policy-making in the EU between past and present - Unknown Focus We spoke with Samuele Lo Piano about EU energy policy, modeling challenges, and how Sensitivity Auditing can improve transparency.

unknownfocus.com/study-energy...

Sensitivity analysis for dummies YouTube video by SimDec - Simulation Decomposition

What does sensitivity analysis have to do with Guido Morselli's Dissipatio Hg? Discover it by listening to this video courtesy of Mariia Kozlova:

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Boz0...

Surely an expensive education *by itself* increases students' wage prospects, right? Only if one believes numerical fables.

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Caveat emptor: Sensitivity of Cost–Employability Metrics Across Higher Education Models​

@vitenskapsteori.bsky.social @eurofound.europa.eu

The 2025 Elsevier-Stanford-Ioannidis ranking of scientists by citation-based composite indicator is just out: elsevier.digitalcommonsdata.com/datasets/btc...

See related paper: link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Content

Thanks to @eurofound.europa.eu for inviting me to Dublin to discuss Quantitative Storytelling; great discussion, learned a lot!
Here are the slides www.andreasaltelli.eu/file/reposit...

Forget symbolic statehood — the world must recognize Israeli apartheid The push to recognize a Palestinian state creates the illusion of action, but delays the real remedies: sanctioning and isolating Israel's apartheid regime.

Interesting online journal, nonprofit, run by a group of Palestinian and Israeli journalists, and a great article
www.972mag.com/palestinian-...?

Energy policy-making in the European Union between past and present We use instruments from sociology of quantification to investigate a persistent paradox: the problematic technical quality of modelling studies when t…

How to 'unpack' a complex impact assessment? We utilize Brian Wynne's work from the 1980s, along with the checklist of sensitivity auditing, to examine the 2024 EU impact assessment on emissions. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... @vitenskapsteori.bsky.social

It was a pleasure to read!

Thanks to Zachary Webster Griffen
@runzach.bsky.social‬ for his review of our book
"The Politics of Modelling: Numbers Between Science and Policy"
in Acta Sociologica.

lnkd.in/deUes3qg

"Why would you grow a crop that requires so many dangerous substances?"

Jeroen van der Sluijs on the pesticides needed for lily farming.

butterfly-europe.eu/interview-wi...

@vitenskapsteori.bsky.social

Greta Thunberg On Why Countries Ignore Gaza: 'It's Because of Racism' YouTube video by Novara Media

Greta and Foucault in substantial agreement:

Greta on Gaza: youtube.com/shorts/nC7-F...
Foucault on racism p. 254: cpb-us-e1.wpmucdn.com/sites.psu.ed...

It is indeed, meaningful.

Why Calling RFK Jr. ‘Anti-Science’ Misses the Real Point His opponents are fighting a battle over facts, evidence, and truth. That’s the wrong strategy.

"Policy science, the science-and-society scholar Daniel Sarewitz wrote with his colleague Andrea Saltelli, has always been “inherently contestable, ..."

nymag.com/intelligence...

Presenting: hypersphere or hypercube?

In beautiful Anacapri, in Villa Orlandi (University of Naples Federico II) at the summer school of the i4Driving project. See www.andreasaltelli.eu/file/reposit...

See here/eccolo: doi.org/10.31222/osf...

sensobol: An R Package to Compute Variance-Based Sensitivity Indices by Arnald Puy, Samuele Lo Piano, Andrea Saltelli, Simon A. Levin <p>The R package sensobol provides several functions to conduct variance-based uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, from the estimation of sensitivity indices to the visual representation of the resu...

Ciao! I am following you now. There are several software available, ours is this: Puy, A., S. Lo Piano, A. Saltelli, and S. A. Levin. 2022. “Sensobol: An R Package to Compute Variance-Based Sensitivity Indices.” Journal of Statistical Software 102 (5). www.jstatsoft.org/article/view....

... and here in Oslo at ISEE presenting on demography models; a few new slides www.andreasaltelli.eu/file/reposit...
@vitenskapsteori.bsky.social @jeroenvandersluijs.bsky.social