@polcurrency.bsky.social here’s the government’s list of what you need in your home to prepare: prepare.campaign.gov.uk/get-prepared...
Posts by benshimshon.bsky.social
Build-a-voter is back! @fransham.bsky.social's creation is now updated for 2026 with data from More in Common. www.economist.com/interactive/...
My profile is predictably Labour-leaning...
Can this work where the populists are not incumbent? The public perception of corruption/lining own pockets isn’t restricted to populist administrations…
trying to do a NYT-style swing map but the swings are too mad
He already has the FIFA peace prize. No leverage.
I am a free thinker. This place has confirmed all the prejudices I had when I arrived.
The rats!
cdn.images.express.co.uk/img/dynamic/...
Matt Goodwin has tweeted twice since this news broke. Weird that he doesn't seem to have mentioned or retweeted it??
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...
Time to dissolve the people and elect another.
Always wonder how conceptually distinct “economy” and “prices/inflation” are in people’s answer to this open question…
We did a bit on how AI errs… www.linkedin.com/posts/benshi...
When a squeeze / tactical voting Q was put to them, Green considerers leaned towards Labour in order to stop Reform
This suggests Polanski has work to do to turn current popularity / momentum - which is significant - into solid, sticky support at the next GE
me for @politicshome.bsky.social
However...
That 48% is relatively shallow, with 31% being 'soft' considerers, and most people considering the Greens are considering three or more parties in total
Nearly 3/4s of people strongly considering the Greens said they would vote for the party best-placed to stop Reform UK locally
"It’s clear that the Green Party are picking up momentum, and our findings show they should be taken seriously. Almost half of UK adults are considering voting for them, including two-thirds of those who voted Labour at the last election," @thinksinsight.bsky.social's Allie Jennings told PolHome
Our poll found 48% of people are considering voting Green at the next general election
Putting ordinary people over billionaires is a big perceived attraction
In focus groups in Sheffield and East London, Green considers described Polanski as charismatic, refreshing and straight-talking
How strong is Green support?
Ahead of Gorton & Denton, PolHome teamed up with @thinksinsight.bsky.social to have a close look at people considering voting for the party at the next general election
The findings suggest Polanski has some work to do to turn mid-term popularity into hard votes...
A big difference though: few among Green considerers really think they can win.
Those contemplating Reform have far fewer doubts.
There are similarities between ‘soft’ considerers of Reform and of the Greens. In both cases the perceived failure of mainstream parties are driving consideration. While worries that these alternatives are too narrowly focussed (Reform on immigration, Greens on environment) give them pause.
2024 obv…
For soft considerers, a big worry is that the greens will sacrifice jobs and growth for environmental concerns (46% agree). But a bigger worry is that they will split the vote and risk Reform winning (51%).
In comparison to those considering Reform, Green considerers are more numerous, but less convinced.
Zach is a ‘breath of fresh air’, and offers the focus on social justice many 2034 Labour voters are looking for. But few believe the Greens can win, and many are worried they’re too idealistic.
Interesting. Looking back, the lack of any specifics rendered the promise of “change” completely undeliverable.
I wrote about this at the end of our @politicshome.bsky.social @thinksinsight.bsky.social Election Diaries project: www.politicshome.com/thehouse/art...
Guardian lexicon limited, study finds.