We found that #TB epidemics are becoming increasingly urbanised.
Important implications for supporting effective public health interventions to end tuberculosis epidemics.
🧪 #MedSky
@uofgshw.bsky.social
@kchorton.bsky.social
@nswartwood.bsky.social
journals.plos.org/plosmedicine...
Posts by LSHTM TB Modelling Group
Great to see this work led by @alexandra-richards.bsky.social with @lightontb.bsky.social in @commsmed.nature.com. Further evidence that addressing gender disparities in TB burden and care are necessary for both an equitable response *and* an effective response. ⬇️
In our latest paper in @plosmedicine.org, we explore trade-offs in diagnostic algorithm, coverage, and duration of community screening for #TB, highlighting the importance of symptom-agnostic approaches and the need for strategies to sustain impact when screening ends.
plos.io/4tuD2SM
Tomorrow! If you're not lucky enough to be in Cape Town in person, @tb-lshtm.bsky.social is hosting a watch party in London or join remotely tinyurl.com/47w5nmtp
⏰ 15.30 BST
@theunion.org @thelancet.com @joylawn.bsky.social
@sedonasweeney.bsky.social @hr-stagg.bsky.social @lshtm-tbmod.bsky.social
A year after my last day with @lshtm-tbmod.bsky.social my work on modelling the impact of increasing men's access to care and reducing excess risk of TB has gone live @commsmed.nature.com
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Happy to see that our work in TB vaccine acceptability in Brazilian prions is on!
6 male and 2 female prison units at 6 Brazilian cities, >900 individual interviews, with 95.2% of acceptance to a new proposed TB vaccine. However...
#TBsky #IDsky
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Our analysis of #TB exposure and transmission patterns is now in @pnas.org. @petedodd24.bsky.social and I found a majority of TB transmission globally is attributable to contact with adult men, while contributions to transmission by age are more variable across regions.
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
🗞️ Recent study with @lshtm-tbmod.bsky.social modelled the potential impact of funding cuts to TB #PublicHealth initiatives from international donors
Already implemented USAID cuts could cost $7.5 billion (USD) for healthcare systems & people living with TB
Read 🔽
www.lshtm.ac.uk/research/cen...
With Nick Menzies and @lshtm-tbmod.bsky.social, our new modeling study estimated how reductions in donor funding could affect the economic burden of #TB on patients, especially among the poorest households journals.plos.org/plosmedicine...
Our recent modelling study found that the estimated impact of new TB vaccines depends on the efficacy to prevent infectious asymptomatic TB. Read more in our paper out now in @plosmedicine.org!
journals.plos.org/plosmedicine...
In this modeling study, Allison Portnoy and colleagues investigate the potential impact of reduced international donor funding on the household economic burden of tuberculosis in low- and middle-income countries 🧪 #MedSky #TB
plos.io/4ryyBFX
We know conflict & crises have severe repercussions for TB; health system disruptions, displacement, food insecurity... In our latest paper we examine the effects of war in Ukraine on engagement with a digital adherence tech by people w TB & health care workers journals.theunion.org/content/ijtl...
1/📢 In our new publication, we estimate that in 2022, 134 million people worldwide had a recent Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) infection and were at high risk of progressing to TB disease. Read the full paper in PLOS Medicine (tinyurl.com/mtbinfection). #TBSky
In this mathematical modeling study, Alvaro Schwalb and colleagues estimate the global burden of viable Mycobacterium tuberculosis—that which can cause disease and be transmitted—to help guide disease prevention efforts 🧪 #tuberculosis #MedSky
plos.io/4aqzIQV
Led by Kathy Thomas and including many others not appearing on Bluesky!
@raclark18.bsky.social
@richardwhite321.bsky.social
@tb-lshtm.bsky.social
@cmmid-lshtm.bsky.social
@lshtm.bsky.social
Interviews with 26 South African stakeholders revealed strong support for a broad population-based rollout of a new TB #vaccine, but suggested that high risk groups such as people living with HIV, #healthcare workers, and TB #household contacts may be prioritised if resources are constrained
Our new paper on strategies for implementing a potential new #TB #vaccine in South Africa is now published in @plosglobalpublichealth.org!
doi.org/10.1371/jour...
Our Editor’s Choice commentary in @cidjournal.bsky.social finds that reported TB symptoms are an inadequate classifier of disease state, as they are heavily influenced by context and substantial interviewer variability, and may have alternative causes.
Read more here👇🏻
doi.org/10.1093/cid/...
@lshtm-tbmod.bsky.social is offering multiple PhD opportunities through MRC LID, deadline 14 Jan. More details: mrc-lid.lshtm.ac.uk/applicants/
Projects include
#1 TB & screening
#2 TB & climate change
#3 TB & vaccines
#4 TB & influenza
#5 TB & prevention
@cmmid-lshtm.bsky.social @lshtm.bsky.social
Another successful "Intro to TB Modelling" course in Copenhagen at #WLHC2025. Over 70 joined to learn about TB modelling!
Followed by the now-traditional TB Modelling and Analysis Consortium social, which was also very well-attended and a lot of fun.
#5 Mathematical modelling and clinical trial simulation of TB prevention
mrc-lid.lshtm.ac.uk/2026-27-proj...
with Tom Sumner, @raclark18.bsky.social & @danieljgrint.bsky.social
#4 Investigating the effect of influenza on risk of tuberculosis in South Africa
mrc-lid.lshtm.ac.uk/2026-27-proj...
with Pally Khan, Nicky McCreesh & Tom Sumner
#3 How should countries deliver new TB vaccines when risk factors are considered?
mrc-lid.lshtm.ac.uk/2026-27-proj...
with @raclark18.bsky.social & @richardwhite321.bsky.social
#2 Epidemiological modelling of the impact and mitigation of climate change on tuberculosis
mrc-lid.lshtm.ac.uk/2026-27-proj...
with myself, @mjsaunder.bsky.social & Helen Stagg
#1 Epidemiological impact of heterogeneity in community screening for tuberculosis
mrc-lid.lshtm.ac.uk/2026-27-proj...
with @kchorton.bsky.social & @reinhouben.bsky.social
Come join us for a PhD in the TB Modelling Group!
Perhaps the most important collaboration at #UnionConf2025?
WHO STOP TB’s Hello Kitty met the LSHTM TB Modelling Group’s bunny mascot “Bugs” today 🐰
Shout out to @stoptb.bsky.social and @lshtm-tbmod.bsky.social for making TB epidemiology both rigorous and accessible. #EndTB #WCLH2025
What’s a #UnionConf without the TB modelling course? Packed room again for a long day of intro to modelling.
@lshtm-tbmod.bsky.social @tb-mac.bsky.social #WCLH2025 #TBSky
Interested in #TB, equity, and modelling? @reinhouben.bsky.social and I are advertising an MRC LID studentship on heterogeneity in the coverage of community screening for TB @lshtm-tbmod.bsky.social @lshtm.bsky.social.
For more details, visit mrc-lid.lshtm.ac.uk/2026-27-proj...
Our framework that informed the @who.int TB & climate change policy brief out now in @lancetrespirmed.bsky.social, exploring the intersections and implications of climate change for the TB epidemic. Key message? TB should be considered a climate-sensitive disease
www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...