I imagine Ukraine and the US have reached some sort of agreement whereby Ukraine spares one Russian tanker in the Black Sea for every one that the US captures elsewhere
Since the US can no longer stop Russian tankers from going down, it wants to be in control, and Ukraine saves ammo
I don't want to be too hyperbolic, but I can't help but feel like some sort of a "new world order" is forming under the rising sun of Ukraine
A pattern is forming:
Treaties around the world are doing everything to cut out a role for the US, in hopes of accessing US free money/aid as a result
Armenia and Azerbaidjan, Ukraine, the plethora of countries that worked on Gaza, and now Venezuela
I have a take ✌️
This was Venezuela the country getting rid of Maduro, and cutting the US into the deal with this theater of a capture
Trump is not calling the shots indeed, the US is just going along with Venezuela's plan
As for who inside Venezuela is running this, I don't know
This could be a war crime, but given how there isn't a war and these are not combatants, think it's probably better described as a crime against humanity.
The US is bombing fishermen because it's trying to start a war which they hope will bring them profit.
The past changes so quickly that you don't know what will happen yesterday (previous Tman deadline had been November 27th)
Merz saying the quiet part out loud, except it stopped being quiet a long time ago:
If Ukraine collapses, a Russo-NATO war is next.
The security of all of Europe depends on Ukraine.
It’s an insult to peace as a concept to call this a “peace plan”.
Some may get caught, but I would guess that most get through. Especially since it can be smuggled as jewelry
It's hard to turn down a 100% rebate though
There's always the option of installing an air-to-water with the grant, and then if the CoP turns out to be really bad in practice (easy to measure precisely on air-to-water), also add in a good air-to-air 2/2
A decent air-to-air will almost definitely have a higher CoP than even top of the line air-to-water, but it will never be a complete solution since it can't make domestic hot water 1/2
youtu.be/mP_OpD6Ye5A
Heat pumps done right! 😍
Decarbonization should be profitable to the customer 💸
Don't spend your life savings on a heat pump. Instead, use a heat pump to make savings on your energy bills 😌
My report and recommendation after 3 years 👇
(link in replies)
You can't assess a long war like this, because industrial capacity can still be developed during the war (see: Ukraine), although the US would be at a disadvantage in the short and medium term
Whenever I say that Russia lost territory in 1991, almost 100% of people tell me that the SU was a union of nations, and therefore Russia did not lose territory in 1991
3 minutes later, the same people tell me that the Ukrainian nation did not exist before 1991
Russia and the US can reach agreements, but they can't force Ukraine into anything
Tbh I'm skeptical that the topic of Ukraine was even discussed at any of the US-Ru meetings so far. After Alaska, officials seemed confused when the press asked them about Ukraine
I try not to talk online about where exactly I am
Notice how 47 is bragging about how many weapons he's selling, and remember that he cut off aid to Ukraine in hopes that higher civilian casualties would force them to agree to the original mineral deal
It's all war profiteering. 2/2
It's like the "going to heaven" story and the "Nobel peace prize" story, the US is trying to convince the global audience that they want peace, so that we slow down aid to Ukraine and slow down sanctions on Russia, such as to prolong the war and keep demand for US-made weapons higher 1/2
And how would this affect the rest of Europe? Would it not have pushed the gas dependency onto other European countries? Because there would have been more Russian gas for cheaper, so very tempting
Which is why I say, "fracking on the other hand..."
Sorry for the late reply 5/5
It's still challenging because of increasing safety standards, industry prone to delays, actual fuel supply (France alone consumes 20% of global uranium mine output) 4/5
So another 300TWh of nuclear electricity to actually push out gas, while pushing out coal as a sort of a side effect (as is happening today IRL), about a 6-fold increase in nuclear energy vs peak? But without putting a dint in oil demand 3/5
With the state of heat pumps at the time, that 700TWh of gas in direct combustion would have probably taken 700TWh of electricity to electrify
But this alone would have likely just pushed the gas into replacing coal in the electricity sector, instead of pushing gas out of the economy entirely 2/5
Actual nuclear electricity production peaked at 171 TWh in 2001, while fossil fuel consumption in the same year was 3460 TWh, of which gas was 874 TWh, of which at least 700TWh for direct combustion, not electricity 1/5
True, seems I should have zoomed out further
Is there any evidence that the suppressed USD exchange rate is doing anything to help their trade deficit, or does it just show that foreign investors buying assets in the US are asking for a bigger discount than they were before?
I haven't checked, but I suspect it's the latter
If he was truly an old billionaire fearing death, why does he still do market manip?
Adding tariffs to buy the S&P low, lifting them to sell high. Fake beefing with Elon to buy Tesla stock low, then forgetting about it to sell high
Why would I believe that the rest of his policy is different? 2/2
It smells like manipulation to me.
Just like the Nobel peace prize side quest, it's a red herring intended to hide the fact that their real foreign policy is to sow conflict in an attempt to profit off of the humanitarian crises
Money is the goal 1/2
True, but also, the individuals among them who reject the crime lifestyle also abandon the communities and often the ethnicity, and those who stay are happy to see them gone, so the stable "community" never improves
When all of the publicly available facts show that nobody has the means to end the war "quickly" (without substantial changes to the military realities), and politicians like Fico and 47 claim otherwise, with 0 arguments, it doesn't mean they know something we don't.
It means they're lying.