📊 Polymarket Daily Report

📊 Polymarket Daily Report

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
💰 $236,065 BUY No @ 82c
🔴 Score: 82/100
👤 Trader: Amused-Debtor | 41 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0xb2a3623364c335...

A bit about this - I'm only capturing $10k+ trades at the moment. This is not aggregating full positions or catching all suspicious trades. More on that later.

Current positions - all in on permanent peace deal ($75k on April 22 peace deal, $25k on April 30 peace deal, $114k Hormuz reopen in April, all while selling positions on crude oil hitting $120/barrel

@fernandoinfante on Polymarket Check out this profile on Polymarket.

6 accounts in the last 6 hours. Total positions almost certainly much higher than $175k - only capturing $10k+ trades. Here's the most suspicious account - polymarket.com/@fernandoinf...

60 days old. Up $443k. Won on US x Iran Ceasefire, Khamenei out by Feb 28, US strikes on Iran Feb 28

6hrs ago this market was trading at 13c, now up to 20c. This is characteristic of every market with insiders that's made moves before an announcement. A high concentration of YES in a short time window - enough to move the market

$174k in YES bets on a permanent peace deal between US and Iran by April 22nd. All bets placed in last 6 hours, every account is an outlier - highly unusual win rates. There may be an announcement soon

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
💰 $27,453 BUY Yes @ 16c
🔴 Score: 90/100
👤 Trader: True-Grandparent | 122 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0xde7be6d489bce0...

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
💰 $24,883 BUY Yes @ 14c
🔴 Score: 91/100
👤 Trader: True-Grandparent | 122 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0xde7be6d489bce0...

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
💰 $13,731 BUY Yes @ 23c
🔴 Score: 90/100
👤 Trader: Live-Hen | 2 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0xdd364a4916a70d...

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
💰 $12,216 BUY Yes @ 22c
🔴 Score: 90/100
👤 Trader: Live-Hen | 2 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0xdd364a4916a70d...

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
💰 $28,706 BUY Yes @ 33c
🔴 Score: 83/100
👤 Trader: Murky-Sleepiness | 304 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0x0a854897a06d49...

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
💰 $20,000 BUY Yes @ 17c
🔴 Score: 87/100
👤 Trader: Single-Ostrich | 44 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0xec1fe51724fefc...

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
💰 $19,304 BUY Yes @ 20c
🔴 Score: 90/100
👤 Trader: Live-Hen | new today

polymarket.com/profile/0xdd364a4916a70d...

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
💰 $28,730 BUY Yes @ 31c
🔴 Score: 84/100
👤 Trader: Common-Nitrogen | 638 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0x68c24bf4a8ad4d...

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
💰 $19,380 BUY Yes @ 28c
🔴 Score: 82/100
👤 Trader: Vibrant-Vintner | 353 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0xc851cd9bee7d26...

📊 Polymarket Daily Report

📊 Polymarket Daily Report

Suspicious Bets on Polymarket Implied the Ceasefire. What's Next? A dive into likely insider trades on polymarket

Started a Substack to share insights.

open.substack.com/pub/dustinhu...

Suspicious Bets on Polymarket Implied the Ceasefire. What's Next? A dive into likely insider trades on polymarket

Thank you! It's a fun project. Just started a substack where I'm sharing insights.

open.substack.com/pub/dustinhu...

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
💰 $345,414 BUY Yes @ 63c
🔴 Score: 93/100
👤 Trader: Dearest-Agenda | 346 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0xbacd00c9080a82...

📊 Polymarket Daily Report

📊 Polymarket Daily Report

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by A
💰 $19,731 BUY Yes @ 30c
🔴 Score: 82/100
👤 Trader: Illustrious-Spectacles | 590 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0xbaa2bcb5439e98...

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
💰 $25,653 BUY Yes @ 29c
🔴 Score: 84/100
👤 Trader: True-Grandparent | 118 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0xde7be6d489bce0...

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
💰 $15,706 BUY Yes @ 28c
🔴 Score: 81/100
👤 Trader: Violet-Transmission | 15 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0xcf6087abd66e16...

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
💰 $15,266 BUY Yes @ 25c
🔴 Score: 82/100
👤 Trader: Illustrious-Spectacles | 589 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0xbaa2bcb5439e98...

📊 Polymarket Daily Report

📊 Polymarket Daily Report

This trade deserves attention. Logged it weeks ago. They're a novice - poor execution, single trade, new account. And now, this breaks. Pentagon prepping for possible Cuba operation

www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/...

3 months old account, up $1.8 million. Won bets on date of attack on Iran and rescue mission of downed pilot. Accumulating large position on invading Iran.

Could be nothing, could be something

🐋 Whale Trade Detected

📊 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
💰 $44,123 BUY Yes @ 32c
🔴 Score: 87/100
👤 Trader: Wilted-Echidna | 99 days old

polymarket.com/profile/0x8c80d213c0cbad...

📊 Polymarket Daily Report

📊 Polymarket Daily Report