Weekly Writ 4/16: Why Conservatives should be worried about the byelections Dismiss byelection results at your peril.

They're just byelections, right? While it might be tempting, Conservatives shouldn't dismiss the alarm bells Monday's results set off. www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

Weekly Writ 4/16: Why Conservatives should be worried about the byelections Dismiss byelection results at your peril.

They're just byelections, right? While it might be tempting, Conservatives shouldn't dismiss the alarm bells Monday's results set off. www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

(VIDEO) Majority means no election soon, right? | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

Conventions, byelections, new polls, and a Quiz! Join the Patreon to listen to or watch this episode right away, ad-free! thenumberspod.ca/posts/155778...

The Numbers: Liberals sweep byelections, secure majority Our hot takes on the results of the three federal byelections.

The Liberals went three-for-three and had a good byelection night. But what about the other parties? We broke it all down right after the last ballots had been counted: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

Where things stand ahead of byelection night Livestream starting at 8:30 PM ET

Where the polls and projections stand ahead of tonight's byelections, what to expect in the three contests and what benchmarks to use to assess the results. www.thewrit.ca/p/where-thin...

The Writ's Canadian Vote and Seat Projections What would be the result of a Canadian federal election if it were held today?

Projection update from The Writ:

LIB 🔴 46% - 223 seats
CON 🔵 34% - 84 seats
NDP 🟠 9% - 11 seats
BQ 💠 6% - 23 seats
GRN 🟢 2% - 2 seats

Full breakdown: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-writs-...

Terrebonne, University-Rosedale and Scarborough Southwest Byelection Livestream YouTube video by Éric Grenier

Bookmark for tomorrow night! www.youtube.com/watch?v=6eRk...

The Numbers: Another MP crosses floor to Liberals ahead of Monday's byelections We set some over/under lines for the three upcoming federal byelections.

Marilyn Gladu crosses the floor to the Liberals, putting Carney closer to a majority government. We chat about that, set some lines for Monday's byelections and break down the CAQ leadership. All the ways to watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

The Writ's Canadian Vote and Seat Projections What would be the result of a Canadian federal election if it were held today?

This week's federal projection from The Writ:

LIB 🔴 46% - 225 seats
CON 🔵 34% - 84 seats
NDP 🟠 9% - 10 seats
BQ 💠 6% - 22 seats
GRN 🟢 2% - 2 seats

Full breakdown: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-writs-...

Ontario pushes Liberals higher in seat projection Federal Projection Update for April 7, 2026

Strong numbers for the Liberals in Ontario have pushed them higher in the seat projection. This week's update: www.thewrit.ca/p/ontario-pu...

Ontario pushes Liberals higher in seat projection Federal Projection Update for April 7, 2026

Strong numbers for the Liberals in Ontario have pushed them higher in the seat projection. This week's update: www.thewrit.ca/p/ontario-pu...

The Numbers: Carney's majority, Poilievre's challenge and Lewis's debut A hot political spring is just getting started. Plus, is Quebec's provincial election a toss-up?

Back this week with lots of federal poll numbers, how the ranked ballot actually would've played out in the NDP leadership race, and a provincial tie in Quebec. All the ways to watch/listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

The Numbers: Carney's majority, Poilievre's challenge and Lewis's debut A hot political spring is just getting started. Plus, is Quebec's provincial election a toss-up?

Back this week with lots of federal poll numbers, how the ranked ballot actually would've played out in the NDP leadership race, and a provincial tie in Quebec. All the ways to watch/listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

It's a small chunk of the riding and the Omineca region, though, if I'm not mistaken

Weekly Writ 4/2: Your riding's name could be changing The good, the bad and the ugly in the new riding names.

Is your riding going to have a new name? It might — 19 ridings across the country are getting their names changed. Is yours on the list? What do you think of the changes? www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

(VIDEO) Carney's majority, Poilievre's challenge and Lewis's debut | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

This political spring is about to get hotter as Carney is just days away from potentially winning his majority. Plus, is the next election in Quebec a toss-up now? Join the Patreon to watch/listen to this episode right away and ad-free! thenumberspod.ca/posts/154609...

Weekly Writ 4/2: Your riding's name could be changing The good, the bad and the ugly in the new riding names.

Is your riding going to have a new name? It might — 19 ridings across the country are getting their names changed. Is yours on the list? What do you think of the changes? www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

Liberals level out — have they hit a ceiling? Federal Projection Update for March 31, 2026

This week's projection update from The Writ:

LIB 🔴 46% / 215 seats
CON 🔵 34% / 93 seats
BQ 💠 6% / 22 seats
NDP 🟠 9% / 11 seats
GRN 🟢 2% / 2 seats

More details: www.thewrit.ca/p/liberals-l...

How the NDP leadership vote broke down, ballot by ballot Avi Lewis was the top second choice of three of four of his opponents' supporters

How NDP members ranked their leadership choices, and what it says about Avi Lewis's mandate: www.thewrit.ca/p/how-the-nd...

Liberals level out — have they hit a ceiling? Federal Projection Update for March 31, 2026

The numbers haven't shifted much in this week's projection update. Have the Liberals hit a plateau? Plus, where the NDP sits as Avi Lewis takes the reins. www.thewrit.ca/p/liberals-l...

The Numbers: Avi Lewis wins The NDP leadership ends with a first ballot victory for Avi Lewis.

Hot takes! Our first reaction to the results of the NDP leadership: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

The Numbers: Avi Lewis wins The NDP leadership ends with a first ballot victory for Avi Lewis.

Hot takes! Our first reaction to the results of the NDP leadership: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

Lewis fundraising lead and front runner status holds into the convention weekend Impressions from the NDP leadership convention in Winnipeg

Last look at updated NDP leadership fundraising and some thoughts from the convention floor. www.thewrit.ca/p/lewis-fund...

Live from the NDP convention in Winnipeg | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

Philippe and I are at the NDP's leadership convention and we shared our impressions from the convention floor in a new episode of The Numbers. Join here to listen: thenumberspod.ca/posts/154177...

The Numbers: Is the NDP leadership Avi Lewis's to lose? The NDP chooses its new leader on Sunday. Is there much doubt who it will be?

We do some 1st ballot over/unders for each of the NDP leadership candidates and discuss the new Abacus poll on Pierre Poilievre's appearance on Joe Rogan's podcast. All the ways to watch or listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

Weekly Writ 3/26: What's the NDP's path back? Should the NDP prioritize the voters they lost to the Liberals or to the Conservatives?

Does the NDP need to target Conservative or Liberal voters to chart its path back? I take a look at what the data shows: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

(VIDEO) Is the NDP leadership Avi Lewis's to lose? | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

This week on the podcast, we preview the NDP leadership and break down new polling on Pierre Poilievre's appearance on Joe Rogan's podcast. Join the Patreon to listen/watch right now, ad-free: thenumberspod.ca/posts/154006...

Liberal lead holds at nearly 12 points Federal Projection Update for March 24, 2026

Latest projections from The Writ:

🔴LIB - 46% - 217 seats
🔵CON- 34% - 94 seats
🟠NDP - 9% - 9 seats
💠BQ - 6% - 21 seats
🟢GRN - 2% - 2 seats

Full details: www.thewrit.ca/p/liberal-le...

Liberal lead holds at nearly 12 points Federal Projection Update for March 24, 2026

Latest projections from The Writ:

🔴LIB - 46% - 217 seats
🔵CON- 34% - 94 seats
🟠NDP - 9% - 9 seats
💠BQ - 6% - 21 seats
🟢GRN - 2% - 2 seats

Full details: www.thewrit.ca/p/liberal-le...

(VIDEO) Last First Minister Standing Draft | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

Which first minister (premier or PM) will be the last one standing? We rank the longevity of current governing leaders from first to last with a draft! Join here to watch or listen to this members-only episode: thenumberspod.ca/posts/153739...