Iran says it has closed the Strait of Hormuz again after the US refused to lift its naval blockade.
Ceasefire narrative lasted ~24h.
Now we’re back to escalation, supply shock, and uncertainty.
Oil likely spikes.
Markets not ready.
Bloody Monday is back on the table.
Posts by Krug Flintheart
Breaking: the US just reversed course and is allowing sales of Russian oil for another month to ease price pressure from the Iran war.
So much for “maximum pressure.”
Sanctions bending, oil politics taking over.
War continues, energy crisis deepens — and markets are trading headlines, not reality.
Trump once again oversold “progress” with Iran — talking about deals, open Hormuz, and uranium concessions.
Reality: no confirmed agreement, restricted shipping, blockade still in place, uranium still unresolved.
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Regarding the oil market, optimism is premature. The Strait of Hormuz is conditionally open: mandatory approvals from Iran and duties are in place.
Trump’s speech gave markets zero clarity — war continues, strikes intensify, no timeline.
Oil rips back above $100.
Stocks rolling over again.
No peace, just escalation.
This downtrend isn’t over.
Interesting. Americas and Europe sell in the daytime while Korea and Japan buy at night. #bitcoin
US government officials and Wall Street analysis are starting to consdier the prospect that oil prices might surge to an unprecedeted $200 a barrel.
ok the Houthis are entering the war
next stop: ground operations on Iranian islands
and it means down of course #btc
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So now everyone’s bracing for a potential US landing on Iranian islands — and if that scenario unfolds, markets likely keep sliding.
Feels like markets are being propped up on narrative. If talks don’t materialize, Monday could be brutal. And if the Houthis escalate or the US moves to a ground op — that’s full-on bear territory.
US and Israel keep signaling that Iran is “open to negotiations” — likely to cap oil prices — but Tehran keeps denying it.
Bullish currently. Nothing changed.
If Hormuz stays unstable, oil prices will keep rising. And in a world where traditional financial routes are disrupted or sanctioned, Bitcoin could see increased demand as a cross-border payment rail. ₿🌍
The Strait of Hormuz remains Iran’s last major lever of pressure, and even relatively small-scale daily drone activity can keep the entire region on edge.
Iran is unlikely to capitulate — the conflict has shifted into a survival phase. Children casualties only harden anti-US and anti-Israel sentiment domestically.
A blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would likely drive Bitcoin demand up as a cross-border payment rail that’s harder to sanction. 🌍₿
Market looks like no one almost gives a damn about Iran
Macro is bearish. 1) 15% tariffs Monday opening. 2) Iran war looks inevitable. 3) Russian-Ukraine negotiations look useless. #bitcoin #economics
For traders: Entry only above ~95K with stop under ~80K. Until then, the range ~80-95K governs Bitcoin’s short-term behaviour. #Bitcoin #TradingStrategy
If bulls want to take charge they’ll need a clear move above ~US$ 88k-90k. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading
Bitcoin drops below US$ 84K, heading toward the key 80K support. Risk sentiment still weak. #Bitcoin #crypto #BTC
Support ~ 80K / Resistance ~ 90K
Bitcoin just slid below ~$81k amid heavy risk-off sentiment and $3.7B+ in ETF outflows. The bear case isn’t just hype. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket
Retail traders are catching falling knives, stacking longs and leverage while funding rates stay high. That leaves the market exposed to volatility spikes and liquidation cascades. Institutions remain cautious — historically, in 86% of similar setups BTC dropped ~16% within a month.
A decent night buy-in on the Asian markets. It will most likely be sold off by Europe and the US. #Bitcoin #AsianSession #MarketFlow #CryptoTrading
As for me consider bitcoin is pretty oversold now
Statistically, in such cases, a short-term return to the previous support around 106k is needed. After that, the low may be revisited. #Bitcoin #SupportLevel #MarketStatistics #CryptoAnalysis