White Dems/Indies still seem to be a bit squeamish at gerrymandering for Democrats. There signs of this in California too

It would make me concerned if Dems ever have to do this in a state like Michigan but for now it's been good enough

Dems really need to flip that supreme court there soon

We can't keep relying on NC Republicans constantly nominating jobbers for governor

I'm not too surprised since because VA isn't as Latino/Asian and is much whiter it didn't have as much potential to overperform like it did in CA

That and the GOP actually tried a bit more this time

Prop 50 all over again

Yes in California overperformed the most with Latinos too

The NoVa results reminds me of how much LA swung for Yes on Prop 50

Like DOGE in NoVa, the LA riots seemed to really hurt the GOP in LA

I think a more realistic concern for AES is 2032

He should most likely win this year if he's the nominee. 2032 may not be as blue of a year though

Idk but I can already tell that the discourse over it through November would be terrible

But it would be funny to see turnout crater for California Republicans

Imo I still think Steyer will win because of the sheer amount of ads but he's not doing as well as he should be

I'm willing to bet there's some ConET kid that was radicalized because of Michelle Obama's healthy school lunch initiative

I think it's more likely that Stevens will drop out and endorse McMorrow instead

This looks more like it's becoming a two way race between McMorrow and AES

It just shows how much trouble Republicans are in if a very left wing candidate can win a wealthy suburban district by nearly 20 pts

A lot of those ET accounts seem to be incapable of nuance for some reason

It can be both true that Mejia wasn't the strongest fit for this type of electorate but the fact she won as much as she did in spite of that is very impressive.

IIRC I'm pretty sure he bets professionally and has been open about that for a long time

That's not really the same as an addiction if it's just something you do for a living

This is obviously because of Mejia's views on I/P

New Jersey voters do not care at all about some Senate primary in Maine lol. People are not anywhere near as online as you think

I'm gonna be so pissed if they miss out on the supermajority by 1 seat

He's lucky that pretty much every other Democrat left has 0 juice whatsoever

I feel like billionaires face some sort of unique penalty in Dem primaries. Pritzker's first primary support was also kind of tepid given how much he spent

Based on the polls the Democrats who have been polling well enough to advance were Swalwell, Steyer, and Porter in that order

Obviously Swalwell is out now so unless some other Dem manages to surge the only realistic options left are just Steyer and Porter

I quite literally said it's selfish and petulant when either/any group does it. It's extremely obvious what I said here don't play dumb you moron

Quit being a baby just because you didn't get your own way. You're acting just as dumb as the Bernie Bros right now

Anybody who says "Earn Our Votes" garbage like this while the modern GOP is like this are being selfish and petulant fools regardless of their race

I don't care if it's Bernie Bros or Crockett supporters doing this, it's objectively a dumb and selfish thing to do in a time like this

I think the graphs for betting markets don't go lower than 1% for a listed position even if they aren't actually at 1%

Bradley is still listed here because some betters are holding No shares on her and are holding until the market pays out

Talarico is literally a normie Dem lol

Idk wtf you're talking about

Unless they fumble Alaska or Maine then control of the Senate will likely come down to Ohio or Texas (assuming Paxton is the GOP nominee)

I feel pretty good on the odds of at least one of those flipping blue

Honestly I think he could win by over 30

You do realize the date says October 2024 right? Biden already dropped out by then

That post was clearly a joke over how they won't vote for Biden because he wasn't on the ballot

Gonna be funny when Paxton wins the primary and the NRSC has to bail out his broke ass after Talarico unleashes an avalanche of ads

Might be controversial to say but I feel like MAGA is clearly worse than Reform or RN, despite how bad those parties are

Only AfD might be as bad as MAGA/GOP as far as western European far right parties go

That is actually true though when it comes to political candidates

Midwest voters despise carpetbagging much more than most other regions. It was a a huge part of Fetterman's campaign vs Oz

Ideally Florida would also have an independent redistricting commission so that FL Dems could at least get more representation in the House

Still surprised they haven't tried putting this on the ballot yet

I felt like I was going insane when I kept hearing some people say he'll be a Fetterman during the primary

Dude has a solidly progressive record in the Texas state house

The numbers among Gen Z Republicans in particular must be brutal. The vibes do not seem to be good right now among that crowd online at least