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Posts by Very Sane AI Newsletter

Counting Arguments and AI A “counting argument” is a style of argument common among creationists, who argue that the theory of evolution cannot be true and therefore humans (and usually animals too) were made in basically their present form by God.

"sort of a drunk Sisyphus situation [...] Orthogonality Thesis [..] superintelligence with a randomly generated utility function [...] Yudkowsky [...] If the übermenschen align the AI, who aligns the übermenschen?"

tldr AI doom is wrong

www.verysane.ai/p/counting-a...

4 days ago 68 12 4 9

There's another one of these going out tomorrow morning and it might be a while after it publishes before it gets posted here so bear with me

5 days ago 1 0 0 0
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Against the Luddites The rehabilitation of Luddism is a vice signal.

"Luddism does not deserve to be rehabilitated. It was a medieval throwback, reactionary and primitive, a pre-Marxist labor convulsion closer in spirit to the Khmer Rouge’s fantasies of agrarian restoration than to the universalist solidarity of Eugene Debs."

open.substack.com/pub/verysane...

2 weeks ago 257 72 9 23
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Some Rough Notes on AI Policy I hope that we can, at some point, have some reasonable regulations on AI, as we do concerning banks, wiretaps, and dangerous chemicals.

"I hope that we can, at some point, have some reasonable regulations on AI, as we do concerning banks, wiretaps, and dangerous chemicals. I am somewhat pessimistic about legislation we have seen in the past, and legislation we are seeing now."

www.verysane.ai/p/some-rough...

2 weeks ago 28 4 1 2
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Polly Wants a Better Argument The “Stochastic Parrot” Argument is Both Wrong and Actively Harmful

"Stochastic Parrots" is wrong

4 weeks ago 180 51 9 26

i hadn't had coffee yet. typos happen. i cannot figure out how on earth i made this specific one

1 month ago 12 0 0 0
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Might An LLM Be Conscious? In short, this depends on what you think that means, whether you think it’s possible in principle, and what you think would be evidence of it.

If LLM consciousness is interesting to fight enough it should be interesting enough to read seriously about, right?

1 month ago 74 12 10 8

bsky.app/profile/segy...

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Claude's Custody Hearing Ideas in AI, preferably in English. Mostly what and why, a little how.

this is about the government using AI for surveillance

a somewhat rushed post about Anthropic telling the Secretary of War no, Anthropic's history with the government, etc.

1 month ago 47 13 1 3
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Alignment Is Proven To Be Tractable That LLMs understand natural language as well as they do should dramatically change our understanding of the problem.

That LLMs understand natural language as well as they do should dramatically change our understanding of the problem of 'making AI do what we want it to do'.

www.verysane.ai/p/alignment-...

1 month ago 84 8 6 5
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Should We Put GPUs In Space? Right now? No. In the near future? Maybe. Probably not, though.

it is probably not a good idea to put GPUs in space

www.verysane.ai/p/should-we-...

2 months ago 33 6 2 3
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Building the Chinese Room Suppose also that after a while I get so good at following the instructions for manipulating the Chinese symbols and the programmers get so good at writing the programs that from the external point of...

My take on Searle's Chinese Room, which is terminally engineer brained in that my entire argument is "okay, how would you actually build it, though"

www.verysane.ai/p/building-t...

2 months ago 62 7 7 3
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AI and Suicide [Warning: Extensive discussion of suicide.

An attempt to analyze recent legal filings about AI enabling user suicides, figure out what caused them (OpenAI being irresponsible, mostly), and figure out how to deal with this, and any similar problems in the future.

www.verysane.ai/p/ai-and-sui...

5 months ago 59 12 0 6

Notably the person who checked the math agrees that you cannot just draw a smooth curve on this, and their assumption that you can is bad. I noted this from the write-up and that's part of why I did not check the math.

8 months ago 13 0 0 0
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A deep critique of AI 2027’s bad timeline models — EA Forum Thank you to Arepo and Eli Lifland for looking over this article for errors.  …

It turns out someone else had already checked the math. I did not read any of the math because it seemed too painful, but if that's your jam, you can read about everything wrong with the math too. forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KgejNn...

8 months ago 16 1 1 0
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Do we understand how neural networks work? Yes and no.

There is some confusion about whether or not we understand LLMs. The answer is yes and no, but mostly no. It's a complicated enough question that it seemed like it needed an article.

www.verysane.ai/p/do-we-unde...

8 months ago 309 92 13 22
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AGI: Probably Not 2027 AI 2027 is a web site that might be described as a paper, manifesto or thesis.

"AI 2027" argues that AI will reach roughly human level in roughly 2027. This just happens to be right about when OpenAI would expect to start to run out of money.

I argue that this is not a coincidence at all, and its predictions are all wrong.

www.verysane.ai/p/agi-probab...

8 months ago 413 86 18 32
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This had an error in the post previously, fixed now.

9 months ago 3 0 0 0
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What Makes AI "Generative"? To "generate" is to create, either from nothing (The Book of Genesis), or from very different or relatively inactive materials (an electrical generator, generating offspring).

What Makes AI "Generative"? It's Not What You Think

I can just tell you actually: it's how large the output space is, or equivalently, how many possible outputs there are. Bigger output spaces are just fundamentally different.

www.verysane.ai/p/what-makes...

9 months ago 16 3 1 2
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Some Thoughts On The Platonic Representation Hypothesis,

or,

How We're Rediscovering Platonism By Doing Statistics

or,

How AI Training Is Actually Chaining Up Some Guy In A Cave,

or,

Bait for Philosophy Majors

www.verysane.ai/p/some-thoug...

9 months ago 27 3 0 3
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The Biggest Statistic About AI Water Use Is A Lie How did it become the main story?

The most well-known statistic about AI water use is a lie. This makes it frustrating to talk about AI and the environment, and this is a long deep dive on that specific point.

www.verysane.ai/p/the-bigges...

10 months ago 45 6 1 4
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Key AI Quotes Each of these presents the clearest, earliest, or most-cited statement of a specific idea in AI.

Pushed previously as a notes file, this is a short list of ideas which have, or are, setting the agenda for AI, presented entirely by quoting the relevant person.

www.verysane.ai/p/ai-history...

10 months ago 10 3 0 0
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Key AI Quotes Each of these presents the clearest, earliest, or most-cited statement of a specific idea in AI.

Pushed previously as a notes file, this is a short list of ideas which have, or are, setting the agenda for AI, presented entirely by quoting the relevant person.

www.verysane.ai/p/ai-history...

10 months ago 10 3 0 0
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What Is AI? This is an important question because AI is, currently, important.

I couldn't find a high-level overview of what AI is and how we got where we are, so I wrote one. www.verysane.ai/p/what-is-ai

10 months ago 59 14 1 7