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Posts by andrés castro araújo

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2 hours ago 2 0 1 0

“The devil exists and DT sold his soul in exchange for power” still looks like a somewhat plausible explanation to me.

2 hours ago 1 0 1 0

jajaja también, pero yo estaba pensando más en el que dice que necesitamos burócratas-maquinas y el que dice que necesitamos personas con vocación

1 day ago 1 1 0 0
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good morning

1 day ago 5 1 1 0

obvi
youtu.be/aI0euMFAWF8

2 days ago 1 1 0 0

I never understood why some people combine inflation and unemployment for the same indicator 😬

2 days ago 0 0 0 0

🙏🏼

3 days ago 1 0 0 0
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The Inside Story of Five Days That Remade the Supreme Court

There’s Trump-style corruption, which is all bullshit, bluster, bags of cash, and him daring you to stop him. And then there’s corruption of the John Roberts kind. It’s just as deliberate and destructive, but quieter, more genteel, like a cancer that grows in your bones rather than on your face.

3 days ago 221 66 7 5

NEW: Tony Cheng, Johann Koehler, "Making Progress in the Chicago Police Department, 1862–2024" sociologicalscience.com/articles-v13...

5 days ago 4 3 0 1

I don't understand what's going on, but the production quality is gross.

4 days ago 1 0 0 0
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People in other countries have more experience with authoritarian movements, and they all seem more optimistic than their USA counterparts.

5 days ago 0 0 0 0

Sorry, I didn’t mean to come off as standoffish. We are all thinking out loud here.

I guess I’m just frustrated by half of US legal academia talking about esoterica (e.g. originalism) and the other half basically giving up on the judicial system.

5 days ago 0 0 1 0
Courts and comparative representation-reinforcing theory | Global Constitutionalism | Cambridge Core Courts and comparative representation-reinforcing theory - Volume 14 Issue 2

As an outsider, I find it weird that the discussion here has ignored the work of comparative scholars, like these ones:

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

5 days ago 0 0 0 0

Interesting.

Do you consider the Warren Court to be "anomalous" compared to the history of SCOTUS or compared to how courts in general operate around the world?

Because I agree with the first comparison, not necessarily with the second.

5 days ago 2 0 0 0

Despicable fucking government.

6 days ago 2886 1202 35 31

Reminds me of the hungry judge effect.

“If hunger had an effect on our mental resources of this magnitude, our society would fall into minor chaos every day at 11:45.”

daniellakens.blogspot.com/2017/07/impo...

5 days ago 2 0 0 0
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Alligator Alcatraz phones were cut off. Then the beatings began, court docs say Attorneys say the Trump and DeSantis administrations are disregarding a court order requiring access to phones and attorneys for detainees.

The Constitution and a court order both say that the Everglades detention facility must allow people access to their attorneys.

Instead of complying, guards are cutting off people’s phone access and beating people who speak up.

1 week ago 2111 1189 49 77
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It wouldn’t be yucky if the training was called “communicating your research agenda to others”

6 days ago 0 0 0 0
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@yiqingxu.bsky.social, Jens Hainmueller and Avi Acharya have a cool paper to get political scientists to just fit structural choice models to their choice survey experiments! yiqingxu.org/papers/2026_...

1 week ago 20 8 1 0

Plus, if they don't want the ASA to get involved in politics, they should really think about moving to a different location!
bsky.app/profile/acas...

1 week ago 3 0 0 0

I never thought I'd see one of these bad boys* in the wild!

*regression to the mean

1 week ago 3 1 0 0

Finally finished up a blog post on estimating Bradley–Terry models using brms.

www.m-flynn.com/posts/2025-1...

1 week ago 16 8 0 1

My biggest pet peeve is when economists label social interaction or social influence as an “externality.”

Truly the weirdest social science concept when taken outside the market context.

1 week ago 0 0 0 0

LLMs are going through their first Sokal affair.

1 week ago 2 0 0 0

20 years from now:

"An LLM appears at first sight an extremely obvious, trivial thing. But its analysis brings out that it is a very strange thing, abounding in metaphysical subtleties and theological niceties."

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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parliamentarism >> presidentialism

1 week ago 2 0 0 0

Chaotic Evil, Lawful Evil, Chaotic Good, Lawful Good

1 week ago 6 0 0 0

The use of LLMs for academic purposes would greatly benefit from having some kind of ratio imposed on the exchanges between the user and the chatbot.

A simple question should receive a simple answer. If the user wants more, the chatbot should elicit more specific queries before responding.

1 week ago 2 0 0 0

Yes, 100%

1 week ago 2 0 0 0

We had a big debate about this recently at our program.
bsky.app/profile/tkes...

1 week ago 5 1 1 0