Posts by andrés castro araújo
“The devil exists and DT sold his soul in exchange for power” still looks like a somewhat plausible explanation to me.
jajaja también, pero yo estaba pensando más en el que dice que necesitamos burócratas-maquinas y el que dice que necesitamos personas con vocación
good morning
obvi
youtu.be/aI0euMFAWF8
I never understood why some people combine inflation and unemployment for the same indicator 😬
🙏🏼
There’s Trump-style corruption, which is all bullshit, bluster, bags of cash, and him daring you to stop him. And then there’s corruption of the John Roberts kind. It’s just as deliberate and destructive, but quieter, more genteel, like a cancer that grows in your bones rather than on your face.
NEW: Tony Cheng, Johann Koehler, "Making Progress in the Chicago Police Department, 1862–2024" sociologicalscience.com/articles-v13...
I don't understand what's going on, but the production quality is gross.
People in other countries have more experience with authoritarian movements, and they all seem more optimistic than their USA counterparts.
Sorry, I didn’t mean to come off as standoffish. We are all thinking out loud here.
I guess I’m just frustrated by half of US legal academia talking about esoterica (e.g. originalism) and the other half basically giving up on the judicial system.
As an outsider, I find it weird that the discussion here has ignored the work of comparative scholars, like these ones:
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Interesting.
Do you consider the Warren Court to be "anomalous" compared to the history of SCOTUS or compared to how courts in general operate around the world?
Because I agree with the first comparison, not necessarily with the second.
Despicable fucking government.
Reminds me of the hungry judge effect.
“If hunger had an effect on our mental resources of this magnitude, our society would fall into minor chaos every day at 11:45.”
daniellakens.blogspot.com/2017/07/impo...
The Constitution and a court order both say that the Everglades detention facility must allow people access to their attorneys.
Instead of complying, guards are cutting off people’s phone access and beating people who speak up.
It wouldn’t be yucky if the training was called “communicating your research agenda to others”
@yiqingxu.bsky.social, Jens Hainmueller and Avi Acharya have a cool paper to get political scientists to just fit structural choice models to their choice survey experiments! yiqingxu.org/papers/2026_...
Plus, if they don't want the ASA to get involved in politics, they should really think about moving to a different location!
bsky.app/profile/acas...
I never thought I'd see one of these bad boys* in the wild!
*regression to the mean
Finally finished up a blog post on estimating Bradley–Terry models using brms.
www.m-flynn.com/posts/2025-1...
My biggest pet peeve is when economists label social interaction or social influence as an “externality.”
Truly the weirdest social science concept when taken outside the market context.
LLMs are going through their first Sokal affair.
20 years from now:
"An LLM appears at first sight an extremely obvious, trivial thing. But its analysis brings out that it is a very strange thing, abounding in metaphysical subtleties and theological niceties."
parliamentarism >> presidentialism
Chaotic Evil, Lawful Evil, Chaotic Good, Lawful Good
The use of LLMs for academic purposes would greatly benefit from having some kind of ratio imposed on the exchanges between the user and the chatbot.
A simple question should receive a simple answer. If the user wants more, the chatbot should elicit more specific queries before responding.
Yes, 100%
We had a big debate about this recently at our program.
bsky.app/profile/tkes...