It is hard to capture what a sweeping strategic defeat the war in Iran has been for the United States. I’m going to thread here some of the posts today that try to capture those effects. Here’s the first:
No way the fall of Rome was this cringe
x.com/NC_Renic/sta...
Do Trump's threat of withdrawal from NATO affect Europeans' willingness to spend money on defence and their attitudes towards the alliance? In my and Hannah Barretts research note in IO we present a pre-registered experiment in three European NATO countries, performed before the US 2024 election.
Mye som skjer i verden om dagen. Vil du høre mine (i all beskjedenhet) rykende ferske takes en gang i uka? Kom til MF og studer freds- og konfliktstudier.
Stortingsflertallet bruker nå 6,7 MILLIARDER kroner på å senke avgifter midlertidig i fem måneder. Over bordet. Det er over tre ganger så mye som gratis SFO koster per år. Det er så mye penger at det ville blitt merka godt i budsjettene til alle norske kommuner til sammen. Det er. Så. Mye. Penger.
Bare legger denne her så noen fra Rødt kanskje får sett den. Husholdningene med høyest inntekt kjører 10 ganger lenger med bil i året, enn husholdninger med lavest inntekt.
Was it a wooden horse?
Fascinating stuff!
a lot of discussion about how "cosmopolitan" urban dwellers are, but a really underdiscussed trend is the homogenization of culture across *rural* areas of the USA - replacement of once-distinct regional cultures with generic "redneck" accent and culture, regional religions with evanglicalism etc
moving to the notoriously geopolitics free region of (checks notes) the middle east.
I have had an interesting time asking Claude Code to write papers and review papers since I suspect that this tool - and other agentic AIs - will be a major challenge (and opportunity) for political science, and wanted to get a better understanding of this.
Three thoughts:
Norge sier veldig klart til Kina at det er uaktuelt å gå videre med en frihandelsavtale så lenge de støtter Russland så mye i krigen mot Ukraina.
Dette må samtidig tolkes som et signal om at dersom Kina justerer Ukraina-politikken sin litt, så kan frihandelsavtalen komme på bordet igjen.
The son of a South Asian immigrant from Uganda serving as the secret police chief of the United States calling for Americans to prioritize a settler colonial state in the Middle East populated by settlers from across Europe and MENA and they say the right-wing is anti-globalization
BAAAAAAABE BABE BABE BABE WAKE UP THEY’RE RECREATING THE 2008 FINANCIAL CRISIS FROM FIRST PRINCIPLES
On march 13th Master of Philosophy in Peace and Conflict Studies Sverke Runde Saxegaard will be defending his dissertation at the Department of Political Science @statsvitenskap.bsky.social:
"Why Conflicts Recur"
I made a map of 3.4 million Bluesky users - see if you can find yourself!
bluesky-map.theo.io
I've seen some similar projects, but IMO this seems to better capture some of the fine-grained detail
The geopolitical centre of gravity is shifting towards China, driven primarily by Europe's increased distance from the US under the Trump II era.
We analysed decades of UN voting data to create a new US-China axis, and found the US advantage is at its lowest level this century.
Yesterday marked 10 years since C‑REX was founded. This thread highlight what the center has done — research, PhDs, datasets, events, policy engagement and international partnerships. THREAD 🧵 www.sv.uio.no/c-rex/english/
Jeg disputerer fredag den 13. Mars (Flaks jeg ikke er overtroisk!) kom og still meg vanskelige spørsmål fra salen.
«Nå som jeg står litt på utsiden av en vanlig nyhetsredaksjon, forstår jeg bedre noe av kritikken. Den er legitim, men også noe upresis,» skriver journalist Siamak Nematpoor.
Les hele teksten her:
www.demodemo.no/artikler/bru...
ARE YOU MOTHERFORKING KIDDING ME, NRK?!? 👀🤯🤬🤬🤬 www.nrk.no/urix/filmet-...
Live footage of Hannah Arendt's dichotomy between violence and power.
"Rather than waiting for the hegemon to restore an order it’s busy dismantling, create your own institutions and agreements that function as intended. Countries earn the right to principled stands by reducing their vulnerability to retaliation.” Important piece by @seva.bsky.social.
Eller så kan det lese som at Trump backer ut etter å ha fått motstand.
Ser ut som om europas motstand, og børsuro, har gjort at Trump chickens out, igjen. Han prøver seg på all mulig utpressing men gir seg om det koster ham noe. Så sørg for å true tilbake. USA har militæret sitt, europa, japan, kina etc har handel, eierskap, og statsobligasjoner. Det er en balanse der
Looks like the EU-US trade deal is now dead, with all three major groups in the EU Parliament calling at least for suspension. The downward spiral has already begun.
Macron now refers to "intimidation or threat", explicitly comparing US behaviour in Greenland to Russia's approach to Ukraine. Sweden's PM says: "We will not allow ourselves to be blackmailed". Much, tougher language from Europeans than we have seen before, responding to the US escalation.
I'm guessing now might be a good time to get some non-US cloud storage and email solutions. Any recommendations?
