I'm VERY SPORADICALLY active. But I can't really be bothered keeping an eye on one feed these days; two is too much for me
Posts by Tom Chivers
I haven't, but I think a good baseline is "all nutrition advice more precise than 'eat your greens' is made up". It's so hard to research because of confounding.
we probably ought to do an alt med one some day
George Boole turning in his grave
Fun Bentham's Bulldog review of the very silly-sounding book The AI Con benthams.substack.com/p/the-ai-con... it really amazes me there are still people saying "AI is just a stochastic parrot and also it's racist" in 2026, as though they can't just log on and use one themselves right now
🤐
We really need to dial down the anti-free speech bullshit in this country. Police should almost never detain people over their choice of T-shirt! (And I would say the same if the political valence was reversed.) www.reddit.com/r/ThatsInsan...
BIG NEWS: My book, The Land Trap, is coming out on Nov 4! I've been fascinated by this topic for years. The book tells the story of why land still occupies such a huge role in finance, economics and politics globally, and why that's a source of huge risk. You can preorder NOW!
this is top stuff
It's just the Claire's Accessories, the simple Claire's Accessories, where you could buy a bracelet for your wife
Farewell then Claire's Accessories, your retail staff can rest at ease, as you collapse in economic strife www.ft.com/content/b32d...
yes. It was that they assumed all my warplanes were examples of me bottling out of commenting on the gender wars. Which, to be clear, quite often they were! But women didn't have the luxury of bottling out because it was their rights under threat, was the theory.
I had quite a few on here! x.com/TomChivers/s...
quick, add one to your take thread alex
well, quite. It seemed so odd.
I know from being the subject of twitterstorms that having a few hundred people ganging up on you is not pleasant, and I sympathise, but if they're being polite then, frankly, you're on the internet having opinions, and people will disagree with them, so either defend them or use the mute button.
it was male privilege, because women didn't have the option of not engaging in online arguments. (I know I sound like I'm making it up, but I swear I am not, and I really did find it very deflating)
this is "no true scotsman" though. The reason I dislike that comic was that it was employed to say "stop asking me to back up my point/stand by my inflammatory claim about Not All Men" etc. I disagree that's not "really" what sealioning is; that's how it was used, in a large number of cases.
🤝 I nicked the idea from Jesse Singal but his was really boring (sorry Jesse); just posting a picture of a pineapple each time. I felt it was ripe for improvement
this is like when I had a thread of beautiful British warplanes, to which I would add an image every time I resisted the temptation to reply grumpily to someone's tweet. But then someone said it was [bad for culture war reasons], and that took all the fun out of it, so I stopped.
the implication that politely asking people to back up their position is abusive. And, yes, "sealioning" was a popular term, but in my experience it often meant "yes I made a controversial claim, but I don't like you asking me to support it with facts and it is bigoted that you continue to do so"
Just finished @tomchivers.bsky.social “Everything is predictable”.
5 stars because it manages history of science and intuition better than any other book on Bayesian analysis.
thank you!
that is true although that wasn't specified in your tweet (if you had said "the wrongest historical cartoon" I would have stayed silent) and so I assumed you'd wandered off the original topic
honorable mention for this, which I don't think I can exactly say is "wrong" because it doesn't make any factual claims but I strongly dislike its implications
counterpoint
thanks Julia!
what a nice thing to read!
"A confident, precise prior that is contradicted by precise information from the world should result in a radically changed posterior probability" - @tomchivers.bsky.social, "Everything is Predictable"
One of those delightful books that will change how I live in this world. Thanks.
thank you!