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Posts by Kody Carmody

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A $440,000 Breast Reduction: How Doctors Cashed In on a Consumer Protection Law

This story is insane. Congress passed a no surprise billing law that instead made doctors arbitrate with insurers over surgery costs. A few doctors are massively exploiting it to get six figure awards, and massively driving up healthcare costs.
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/22/u...

1 day ago 4 1 0 0

computer touchers: "build your own harness and use local models" feels like a maybe reasonable answer here; any recs on good templates or models to look into?

4 days ago 22 2 4 0
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After the introduction of the German minimum wage, workers in low-wage occupations reported increases in work pressure. This reflects having to work faster, more pressure to perform, more need to multitask.

Interesting new working paper by Nagler & @erwinwinkler7.bsky.social

6 days ago 29 5 1 1
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The Girlboss Takeover Has a Data Problem The sub-industries that already employed women just grew faster.

I looked into a gonzo First Things essay that argues women are using the government "prop up" their employment.

It's wrong, but it's wrong in an interesting way. Men actually increased thier employment *within* industry, but female industries grew faster.
newsletter.mikekonczal.com/p/the-girlbo...

5 days ago 73 18 1 4
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Lies, Damned Lies and Economic Vibes The continuing mystery of feel-bad economics

Aslan is on the move: paulkrugman.substack.com/p/lies-damne...

5 days ago 80 10 5 0
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counterpoint: Instagram not knowing anything about me means all of my ads are for stuff like Sqwincher or ATTENTION DENTIST

6 days ago 0 0 0 0
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How Economics Discovered Women by Shelly Lundberg - Hardcover Scholarship is a powerful tool for changing how people think, plan, and govern. By giving voice to bright minds and bold ideas, we seek to foster understanding and drive progressive change.

My book (!) How Economics Discovered Women is now available for pre-order from the University of California Press. The book is a survey and critique of how the economics of gender has developed since the mid-1970s. www.ucpress.edu/books/how-ec...

1 week ago 155 53 11 5
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1 week ago 31 9 3 1

Re-upping this one in light of discourse

1 week ago 19 1 2 0
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I coded up an open-source, not-for-profit AI paper reviewer that rivals the performance of
@reviewer3com.bsky.social, Refine.ink, and Stanford Agentic Reviewer (according to Gemini 3.1). Costs <$2!

Live @ coarse.ink. Plug in paper, @openrouter.bsky.social key, and email. #econsky

1 week ago 40 10 3 1
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"Equilibria, Folds, and Escapes" Revised paper with new title, new analytic results, and 70% longer (mostly appendix, text is ~10% longer). I characterize both the mean path of stochastic models and the most likely large deviations via deterministic differential equations. (1/3)

1 week ago 4 1 1 0
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The Cross-Section of Non-Citizens and the Job Slowdown Sub-industries with the most non-citizen workers are behind the jobs collapse, the recent rebound, and the wage deceleration.

What job category do you think slowed down the most in 2025?

A deep dive into the cross-section of non-citizens and the 2025 jobs slowdown, recent pickup, and question of slowing wages. A post that asks more questions than it answers.

newsletter.mikekonczal.com/p/the-cross-...

2 weeks ago 18 4 0 0
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Selective migration and regional decline: Evidence from coal country Why do regions decline? This paper explores how adverse shocks in one period affect regional adjustment to subsequent shocks, emphasizing the role of …

1/ New paper 🚨! (Ok, not quite new...) I'm very pleased to share that — after a long journey — my job market paper is finally out in the world.

It asks: Why do regions decline?

2 weeks ago 3 3 1 0
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Delighted to share our revised paper (w/ @juliaturner.bsky.social & @jacobbastian.bsky.social ) showing that Universal Pre-K has broad effects on local labor markets — effects well beyond only mothers. Larger effects for full-day programs. nber.org/papers/w33767

#EconSky #EarlyChildhood #ECE

3 weeks ago 130 56 1 6
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🧵1/ Our first meta-science paper (with 350+ coauthors) is published today in Nature. It presents one of the largest-ever reproducibility projects in economics & political science.

Here’s what we found 👇

3 weeks ago 166 89 2 21
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Winners and Losers: Competition, Creative Destruction, and Labor Income Risk Using U.S. administrative data, we find that technology-driven creative destruction in the product market passes through to worker earnings. The passthrough to

You might be interested in my paper! In our model monopsony has direct relevance for the passthrough of shocks to workers and implications for income risk. There will be a new draft soon but I think the core stuff is in this version. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

3 weeks ago 2 1 1 0

These event-study designs are surely biased, maybe upwards (timing of birth is endogenous) or maybe downwards (bad controls). The reporting ignores the identification problem. I suggest everyone read this before endorsing yet another event-study design: www.rfberlin.com/network-pape...

3 weeks ago 26 1 0 0
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WNBA Players Had an Ace Up Their Sleeve in Pay Negotiations: A Nobel Laureate Harvard economist Claudia Goldin helped WNBA players win a nearly 400% raise. Starting this season, players’ average salary will top $580,000.

Harvard economist Claudia Goldin helped WNBA players win a nearly 400% pay raise.

3 weeks ago 121 26 2 0

Love this

3 weeks ago 10 1 3 0

👇

3 weeks ago 6 1 0 0
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US bond market shows signs of strain as Iran war sparks Treasury tumult Ease of trading in world’s most important debt has worsened in recent weeks, banks and investors say

Three bad auctions this week, deteriorating market depth, dealers turning off autoquotes on Monday www.ft.com/content/2e01...

3 weeks ago 77 28 1 11
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Journal of Economic Perspectives Vol. 40 No. 1 Winter 2026

One of the most important issues for the world over the coming century is population growth, and here is a widely accessible introduction to the issues: www.aeaweb.org/issues/836

4 weeks ago 2 2 0 0
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Kidney exchange now has a broad literature across multiple disciplines

One pleasure of following an area of research for a long time is getting to see how its academic literature becomes both deeper and broader.
#econsky #academicsky
marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2026/03/kidn...

4 weeks ago 15 2 1 0
UVA_EEE_URTP_Application_Undergrad.pdf

Please Share! The Environmental Inequality Lab is hosting it's second undergraduate research training program in environmental and energy economics this summer & it's open to all (with current U.S. work authorization)!

Full-time, funded, in-person, 10-weeks.

More details here tinyurl.com/EEE-URTP

4 weeks ago 7 6 1 2
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The “big beautiful bill” greatly expanded SNAP work requirements for parents

In my paper with @jasonbcook.bsky.social, forthcoming at JPUBE, we ask what similar, existing requirements do

SNAP work requirements for parents deny vulnerable parents SNAP benefits and do not increase their employment

1 month ago 71 45 1 2
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How Chiropractors Became the Backbone of MAHA Why they love Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — and he loves them.

No exaggeration, I think this is one of the most important stories in US health care. MAHA makes a lot more sense if you see it as a hostile takeover by the quackery industry

1 month ago 2153 705 50 108

I blogged about data model and likelihood being different things and importance of using these terms correctly (with some excerpts from the forthcoming Bayesian Workflow book, but we talk about these much more in the book)

1 month ago 31 8 1 2
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Almost a year ago now, I asked the health policy hive mind what they wished they had learned about the federal regulatory process while they were still in grad school

I'm still firming up readings for a few sessions, but the class that emerged out of that brainstorming exercise kicks off on Monday

1 month ago 22 1 3 0

VCU was an 11 seed back in 2011, btw

1 month ago 113 10 1 4
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Great piece by @soumayakeynes.ft.com on AI in economics in today’s FT (link at end) featuring Refine.ink.

Indeed, Refine regularly catches issues that need correcting but are missed by even the most rigorous current review processes.

a short 🧵

1/

1 month ago 26 7 3 0
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