🗒️NEW ANALYST’S NOTEBOOK | Latest Sudan Conference Shows Diplomacy is Backsliding
Crisis Group President @comfortero.crisisgroup.org and Horn of Africa Director Alan Boswell reflect on this week’s Sudan conference in Berlin.
www.crisisgroup.org/anb/africa/s...
"The hard truth is that diplomacy has simply not met the scale of this crisis.”
@comfortero.crisisgroup.org
tells @reuters.com as Sudan enters its fourth year of war today, with little hopes for resolution.
www.reuters.com/world/africa...
For Sudan, lack of common vision for the war’s endgame undermines efforts to secure a humanitarian truce. Even if one is attained, if the US, its Arab partners or anyone else is to have best shot at achieving success, they’ll have to tackle range of thorny endgame questions sooner rather than later.
Typo. Should read “…for Israel’s”
“In most countries that have been at war, cease-fires are a welcome development…or Israel’s maximalist leaders, cease-fires are too often seen as getting in way of efforts to finish the job. And even when Israel enters cease-fires, it continues to fire unilaterally.”
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/13/o...
A very cool read: Streep and Wintour “living their best lives as the Girl Bosses to end them all.”
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... How Streep and Wintour dealt with the Devil — and won
“Defeat for Orbán after 16 years in office would deprive nationalist conservatives across the world of a trailblazer and ideological champion, robbing both the White House and the Kremlin of a highly trusted ally.”
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
After six weeks of war, the U.S. and Iran have announced a ceasefire.
An important question remains. What will happen now in the Strait of Hormuz after its closure sparked economic crises in countries near and far? We explain in our new Q&A. www.crisisgroup.org/qna/global/i...
The world must not lose sight of other hotspots even as they focus on war in the Middle East.
Myanmar is one of them. @crisisgroup.org looks at why Rakhine state could prove pivotal in shaping the civil war.
crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...
What took them so long, you might ask!?!:
“more than a year into Mr. Trump’s return to the White House, the Europeans, and much of the world, have concluded that no amount of bowing or scraping will win more than fleeting approval from him.”
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/09/o...
"It took Israel only 10 minutes to carry out one of the worst mass-killings in Lebanon since the end of the country’s civil war in 1990."
“..what I’m most sad about is that my pretty Lebanon, our beautiful Lebanon, soon it will all be brought down to the ground.”
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/a...
Escalatory pressures abound with Iran hitting energy infrastructure and a desalination plant in Kuwait and a reported Iranian shoot down of a U.S. fighter jet. Regardless of Trump’s intentions, it will only get harder to contain this spiral.
“Most diasporas cultivate nostalgic notions about the “old country”. Trump and Musk are attached to a bygone white UK. Today’s multicultural country dismays them.The ancestral homeland has become a terrible warning, redeemed only by royals and storied golf courses” giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
We @crisisgroup.org , and a range of prominent individuals, are calling for an initiative to protect global food security as the crisis deepens in the Strait of Hormuz.
With war raging between Iran, the U.S., and Israel, here's how to ease the transit of food
www.crisisgroup.org/stm/global/i...
We’ve also launched a new newsletter, The Month Ahead! In this first issue, we cover issues including the fallout from the Iran campaign, Sudan’s fourth year of war, and more.
I hope you’ll join the conversation. Subscribe here: 📩 www.linkedin.com/newsletters/...
From Venezuela to Greenland to Iran to Ukraine, we look at how the EU and member states can try to manage their exposure while being attentive to hotspots that might otherwise go ignored as the eyes of the world. www.crisisgroup.org/euw/global/w...
The first three months of the year have seen a decade’s worth of shocks to European security and the global order. www.crisisgroup.org/prt/global/e...
The beginning of 2026 has offered more or less a textbook example of what a slippery slope looks like when it comes to degradation of international rule of law. Our Spring Edition for the EU Watch List. www.crisisgroup.org/euw/global/w...
"Iran is now earning nearly twice as much from oil sales each day as it did before American and Israeli bombs started falling on February 28th. It may be pummelled on the battlefield, but the regime is winning the energy war." www.economist.com/finance-and-...
Brilliant piece: “America does not know how to exist in a world it does not control. Since its inception, America has assured itself it was simply too big, too far away and too richly endowed to suffer any serious consequences for its actions. But there will be no escaping the cataclysm in Iran.”
🚨We just published the Spring Edition for our Watch List for the European Union.
This special @crisisgroup.org report highlights global crises that the #EuropeanUnion has the potential to address in 2026.
Here are our latest updates: www.crisisgroup.org/euw/global/w...
Hit the ➕ button, and subscribe to my latest analysis: www.linkedin.com/newsletters/...
📩 🚨 Welcome to The Month Ahead - helping you make sense of a world lurching from crisis to crisis.
Nearly four weeks into the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran, the global shockwaves are only beginning. I analyse the fallout and what might come next: mailchi.mp/crisisgroup....
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said talks have already begun on the issue, as U.S. President Donald Trump again called for help from Tokyo and others in the key waterway.
In a nutshell @economist.com
“I used to think that Trump’s sole good point was that he did not want to fight wars…turns out he loves them, but cannot bother to think through how he is going to win them. Maybe he will learn something useful from this war. But first of all he must find a way to end it.”
www.ft.com/content/86be...
Major test and pressure for Japan’s PM Takaichi Sanae when she meets Mr Trump: “Japan has minesweepers that could help open the strait. But polling suggests 75% of Japanese oppose the conflict. There are also tricky questions about Japan’s pacifist constitution.”
economist.com/asia/2026/03...
Well now. @theguardian.com on UK’s man at Iran talks, but words of UK FM to parlia are crucial: “We did think that was an important track and we did want it to continue. That is one of the reasons for the position we took on the initial US strikes that took place”
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...
Exciting news! Julius Gaudio is joining Susana Malcorra as Co-Chair of our Board. As we enter our 4th decade, Julius’s global outlook will be vital for our new strategic direction. Deep thanks to Frank Giustra for his incredible partnership.
www.crisisgroup.org/who-we-are/c...
In case you missed this one⤵️
“Remember the Board of Peace (BoP)?”
~ @edwardluce.bsky.social
“With Trump now committing to a massive war without a clear ending, it may be a while before the board has its next board meeting.”
~ @gideonrachman.bsky.social
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...