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Posts by Dan Nexon

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Power without accountability: The Palantir manifesto The problems with our tech philosopher kings

New, from me: Take the Palantir manifesto seriously, if not literally.
It reveals that our tech philosopher kings want public money, but without public accountability. This creates a dilemma for governments unaligned with its techno-fascist vision. 🧵
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/palantir-w...

1 day ago 3962 1537 117 128
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Tinker Tailor Campaigner Spy Great powers once meddled in other country’s elections secretly. Now they are happy for everyone to know.

Read about @dovlevin.bsky.social !

www.politico.com/news/magazin...

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“Wall Street ensures the efficient allocation of capital.”

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Given that only Congress can issue letters of marque, I think seizing enemy vessels generally should require congressional oversight

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The Takeaways from a 2026 Trump Deep Dive Anatomy of a devastating WSJ story -- and its larger implications.

The WSJ piece and the @dandrezner.bsky.social piece on Trump’s foreign policy “process” are very much worth reading. My read is that a White House can run with an inattentive president. The problem is a president like Trump who is selectively attentive.

1 day ago 71 14 2 3

We’re defending Western Civilization by kicking Plato and Shakespeare out of university classes.

1 day ago 2067 606 9 25
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The Iran War, Energy Price Shocks, and the Green Transition The Iran War and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz strengthens the economic case for accelerating decarbonisation and reducing exposure to fossil fuels.

Given the persistent disruptions from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, @cronco.bsky.social and I have written a substack article about how Europe’s fossil fuel dependence is now as much about macroeconomic resilience as climate. A 🧵.

#Iran #Inflation #Energy

open.substack.com/pub/outsampl...

2 days ago 22 6 1 2
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Renewables are a structural hedge against fossil fuel shocks. In power markets, the more often wind, solar, hydro and nuclear cover demand, the fewer the hours in which gas sets the marginal price, and the weaker the link between global gas markets and domestic electricity costs.

2 days ago 31 14 1 0

If not illegal bribery, why so bribery shaped?

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Articles about Jared Kushner's diplomatic role with Iran that mention Kushner has received billions from the Saudi government (2/28-4/19):

NYT: 5 of 58
WashPost: 1 of 43
WSJ: 0 of 40
AP: 0 of 26
CNN Wire: 0 of 18
NY Post: 0 of 17
Chicago Tribune: 0 of 4
LA Times: 0 of 4
Boston Globe: 0 of 2

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Some of that arbitrage — gambling, crypto, private equity — is essentially predatory. Whether or not it’s nominally legal, it’s still corrupt.

1 day ago 25 1 3 0

Just came back from a workshop. It reinforced my “gut instinct” that so many of America’s problems are rooted in over-financialization.

The “big money” is increasingly made by extracting rents through informational, political, or legal arbitrage.

1 day ago 43 11 3 1

The U.S. and EU both have large enough internal markets to do this, but lack the political “will.”

1 day ago 12 1 2 0

That’s because, IIRC, the Chinese run sectoral industrial policy (cf. South Korea under Park). They heavily subsidize but with a) low barriers to entry into the sector and b) other mechanisms for competition within the Chinese market.

1 day ago 19 3 1 0

I've written about PRC cars
musgrave.substack.com/p/building-y...

and

musgrave.substack.com/p/oh-no-i-be...

1 day ago 44 16 4 0

In his mind, I imagine, monarchies deliver foodstuffs.

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Oh, I 100% think that the Dems ought to be running on corruption and accountability, linking the former to everything people are unhappy about. I don’t know whether or not that implies talking about impeaching Trump.

1 day ago 17 1 2 0
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Faculty Defect From Texas Publics, Citing Censorship Fed up with the state’s censoring of Plato, Joan of Arc and Romeo and Juliet, humanities professors are leaving Texas public institutions in pursuit of academic freedom.

'Texas A&M philosophy professor Martin Peterson is leaving the university after administrators told him in January that he couldn’t teach Plato’s Symposium in his philosophy class; they said the ancient Greek philosopher’s work violated the system’s restrictions on gender and sexuality content.' 1/3

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Iran is fighting an asymmetrical economic war against the US and they're sick of Trump manipulating the market. Every time he lies and drops the price of oil, it pushes back the day of reckoning. They're not about to let him lie and say there are peace talks when they haven't agreed to any.

1 day ago 115 25 1 3

Lindsay is doing the best analysis I've seen of the back and forth on talks. This is from the middle of one of her threads.

I don't know what it will take to make Trump get serious. Probably a major market crash.

But he'll announce something tonight and his marks in the market will do his bidding.

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Bennu is the orangest orange cat. Thank god he has a good home because he wouldn’t survive five minutes on the streets.

2 days ago 39 2 1 0
Orange cat sitting in a cake container.

Orange cat sitting in a cake container.

Tried a new orange cake recipe. Turned out well. Lightly toasted.

1 day ago 37 1 2 0
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Kashiered - Lawyers, Guns & Money If these leaks mean anything, it sure looks like Kash Patel is following Kristi Noem and Pam Bondi out the door (Pretty sure these developments prove DEI Doesn’t Work). FBI Director Kash Patel has thr...

What people don't understand is that every Presidential cabinet has to maintain a specific level of alcohol consumption. Kash Patel is drinking heavily in order to keep Pete Hegseth sober. Really, he's a hero. www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2026/04/kash...

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What Your Favorite Sad Dad Band Says About You The War on Drugs You make your own paella and take super long naps on Saturday. Like over two hours, consistently. You prefer the smallest possible...

Can't stop thinking about the McSweeney's Sad Dad Bands, (first published January 14, 2022.)

Back on Twitter, I started a thread of my own riffs on Sad Dad Bands on January 17, 2022. Here is that thread, recreated.
www.mcsweeneys.net/articles/wha...

1 year ago 973 199 55 121

It’s as if the Iran war was fought to sustain the Russian economy. Lifting sanctions for Russians does nothing for Americans. It just makes it easier for Russia to continue its war in Ukraine.

2 days ago 2846 1168 90 45
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Three attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, Axios reports.

Two were Indian tankers, including one carrying 2 million barrels of Iraqi oil.

3 days ago 192 42 3 7

By this I mean that the Iranians have realized that if Trump can make outlandish market-moving claims with no evidence, they can too. And given how savvy they are about evading sanctions, it would not surprise me if some regime insiders aren't getting in on the insider trading action.

3 days ago 296 71 7 5

Interesting piece by M. Gessen

3 days ago 26 5 2 0

Any discussion of the post Trump agenda that doesn’t include court reform is dooming that agenda to failure. Fixing the Supreme Court should be the first order of business. #unpackthecourt

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