RT @CookPolitical:

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Interested in joining the field of nonpartisan election analysis? Don't miss this terrific (and rare) job opportunity at @InsideElections. www.insideelections.co…

RT @amyewalter:

NEW @CookPolitical House ratings show Dems as substantial favorites for control, as Republicans would need to win 76% of the Toss Ups to keep their majority: www.cookpolitical.com/…

Lean/Likely/Solid Dem: 213
Lean/Likely/Solid GOP: 205
Toss Up: 17

NEW @CookPolitical House rating changes: five races move towards Dems, one towards GOP. Notably, #PA08 Rep. Rob Bresnahan (R) moves from Lean R to Toss Up. Full analysis by @ercovey: www.cookpolitical.com/…

RT @CookPolitical:

RT @CookPolitical:

I've seen enough: Rep. Tony Gonzales (R) and Brandon Herrera (R) advance to a GOP runoff in #TX23.

I've seen enough: James Talarico (D) wins the #TXSEN Dem primary.

Don't miss @CookPolitical's live coverage of tonight's primaries, featuring the best analysts in the business.

I've seen enough: Steve Toth (R) defeats Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R) in the #TX02 GOP primary.

I've seen enough: Sen. John Cornyn (R) and Ken Paxton (R) advance to a GOP runoff in #TXSEN.

Incumbent watch: #NC04 Valerie Foushee (D) looking ok so far, but Reps. Al Green (D) #TX18 and Dan Crenshaw (R) in #TX02 look to be in very serious trouble.

And, Talarico (D) takes the raw vote lead w/ a 76%-23% rout of Crockett (D) in Travis. Co. (Austin). This isn't on track to be a blowout, but he's the clear favorite. #TXSEN

Crockett (D) wins Harris Co. (Houston) early vote 54%-45% over Talarico (D), but that's not good enough w/ Talarico dominating heavily Hispanic counties. #TXSEN

As expected, Talarico (D) dominating Austin area home base, winning Hays Co. 74%-26%. He's the heavy favorite based on everything we've seen so far. #TXSEN

And, Talarico (D) wins the Nueces Co. (Corpus Christi) early vote 62%-36% over Crockett (D), the first indication he's winning Hispanic voters. If that's the case elsewhere, he's the heavy favorite to win. #TXSEN

On the GOP side, a runoff looks virtually assured, w/ Paxton likely to finish ahead of Cornyn and Hunt in a distant third. #TXSEN

Early returns: as expected, Crockett dominating areas w/ significant Black electorates in DFW, but Talarico holding his own among white suburban Dems and we don't know much about the rest of the state yet.

RT @ercovey:

RT @amyewalter:

RT @amyewalter:

Democrats’ 10D-1R gerrymander of VA’s map clears a major hurdle, though the Virginia Supreme Court could still strike it down post-referendum.

Democrats’ 10D-1R gerrymander of Virginia’s map gets a big step closer to passage.

RT @ShaneGoldmacher:

Interesting: just as TX Republicans didn't draw #TX28 or #TX34 as red as they could have, VA Dems didn't draw #VA02 or #VA06 as blue as they could have. But in a year like 2026, Dems may end up winning all four seats in question (if VA map clears hurdles to enactment).

NEW: Virginia Dems’ proposed congressional map would almost surely torpedo four GOP seats, converting delegation from 6D-5R to 10D-1R this fall. Still faces several hurdles to passage.

RT @allymutnick:

RT @allymutnick:

RT @cspanwj: