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🔮 WHEN FILES?

Rep. @rokhanna.bsky.social Predicts "Enormous Pressure" if Trump Misses Dec. 19 Epstein Deadline

poly.market/a8pbrXR

🔮 Inside the Dems’ Shutdown War Room Democratic organizer talks Schumer’s strategy and 2028 dark horses

Talked to polymaket about the odds as i see em news.polymarket.com/p/inside-the...

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🔮 TARIFF REFUND?

Former White House trade lawyer @petereharrell.bsky.social breaks down the exact moments when conservative Supreme Court justices turned skeptical of Trump's tariff case.

And what it means for his promised $2,000 tariff checks.

poly.market/Hfklqmd

🔮 Eggs and Lithium Here’s what we’re hoarding this week.

news.polymarket.com/p/eggs-and-l...

Here's everything we are hoarding this week:

⚽ Liverpool and the Wildcard As Polymarket’s largest market heats up, Liverpool surges ahead in the Champions League

news.polymarket.com/p/liverpool-...

Now that the US election is over, Champions League Soccer has taken over as the highest volume market on Polymarket.

Liverpool is the favorite to win in Munich, but a dark horse is dominating the transaction volume.

🔮 Tariff Fakeout? And What’s Next in the Trade War?

Full article:
news.polymarket.com/p/tariff-fak...

BREAKING: The trade war is kind of on and kind of off.
Today:
- Latest moves on Canada and Mexico tariffs
- Why Polymarket traders didn’t believe tariffs were coming even though Trump told us over and over
- How long will it last?
- Canada deal before the Strategic Bourbon Reserve is depleted?

🔮 DeepSuck Did a Chinese Startup Just Disrupt the AI Hyperscalers?

Full article:
news.polymarket.com/p/deepsuck

Polymarket has over 27 live prediction markets on DeepSeek and its implications for the AI arms race.

In today’s Oracle by Jeb Ory:

- Nasdaq winners and losers from DeepSeek
- Odds DeepSeek used banned Chips
- How OpenAI will respond
- Odds for AGI this year

Odds for DOGE Federal job cuts to exceed 200k (highest bracket) are up to 31% after Elon’s “Fork in the Road” email.

It’s looking like January inflation will come in hotter again.

🔮 78% odds for Jan inflation at or above 2.9%.

How much are you paying for a dozen eggs?

🔮 Reserved? Can Donald Trump Force the US Government to Buy our Coins?

news.polymarket.com/p/reserved

NEW:

Why the odds for Trump to quickly launch a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve tanked on inauguration day.

Any what stands in the way of Trump buying our crypto bags:

Odds for NVIDIA to be world’s largest company on Jan 31 have plummeted after the launch of Deepseek, a Chinese AI model that needs vastly less compute to train

Odds Oracle buys TikTok spike to 70% on a NPR report that Trump administration is brokering a deal.

BREAKING: Pete Hegseth just confirmed as Secretary of Defense.

But Mitch McConnell voting against Hegseth seems to have hurt the confirmation odds of Tulsi Gabbard (🔮 54%) and RFK Jr. (🔮74%).

🔮Podcasting for Peace Can Lex Fridman End the Ukraine War on Stream?

news.polymarket.com/p/podcasting...

Tulsi's confirmation odds -12% on a report one Republican senator doubts she makes it through committee.

Today: Can Trump score a quick ceasefire the Russia-Ukraine following the Gaza deal?

PLUS: Will Lex Fridman be the first podcaster to negotiate an international ceasefire on stream?

Netanyahu’s odds of being ousted as Israeli PM this year have more than doubled as the Gaza ceasefire deal was finalized. (🔮 20% → 45%).

Odds for Trump to pardon NYC Mayor Eric Adams have more than doubled in the last week. (🔮 20% -> 44%)

Tulsi Gabbard confirmation odds on the march ( 🔮 50% → 75%) since early December.

Do her enemies really have anything better than her trip to Syria in 2017?

🔮 Day One What’s In Store for Trump’s First Week in Office?

Full article:
news.polymarket.com/p/day-one

Tariffs, Pardons, and Executive Orders.

Today's Oracle previews everything we can expect from day one of the second Trump Administration.

BREAKING: Vivek reportedly out at DOGE

Odds that Trump signs a bill, or performs any executive action that restricts abortion are spiking today (🔮 7% 📈 33% odds)

The probability that Friedrich Merz will become the new Chancellor of Germany, according to Polymarket, is 89%.

At ~9pm EST last night, Trump posted on Truth Social and X that he had launched a memecoin, called “Official TRUMP”.

Overnight the coin soared to being the 38th largest crypto asset with a $4.2b market cap.

Is it real? Or were both of Trump’s accounts hacked at once?

🔮 4% chance it was a hack.

BREAKING: The Supreme Court Just Upheld the TikTok Ban.

Latest Odds on Polymarket:

Ban goes into effect by May (🔮 80% odds)
Trump saves it in first 100 days (🔮 75%)
Trump saves it in first week (🔮 59%)
Sale announced by April (🔮 32%)
Elon Musk buys TikTok (🔮 12%)
MrBeast buys TikTok (🔮7%)