The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has caused widespread disruption in oil markets, raising U.S. oil prices by about $25 per barrel. What might this mean for the U.S. economy? Read the new @budgetlab.bsky.social analysis: budgetlab.yale.edu/research/wha...
Webinar on Monday, February 9 at 12:10pm ET.
"Tariffs, AI, and Our Economic Futures: Lessons Learned in the First Year of the Administration and What Lies Ahead." Register here: yale.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
The full report can be found on
@budgetlab.bsky.social
website here: budgetlab.yale.edu/research/rea...
With the Super Bowl coming up this weekend, I got to work on some of my favorite things: Sports, Booze, and Taxes.
@budgetlab.bsky.social analysis is cited in Thomas Edsall's @nytimes.com column "Why the 'Affordability Hoax' Is a Trap for Trump." www.nytimes.com/2025/12/09/o...
Today. Nov. 12 at 12:10pm ET. Join the @budgetlab.bsky.social
webinar, "Undermining Democratic Institutions: A Hidden Threat to Economic Growth." Register here: yale.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
New report this morning from @budgetlab.bsky.social thinking through the challenges of distributional fiscal analysis when a policy is deficit-financed. We talk about the issues and present our preferred methodology.
1/7
New report today featured in @financialtimes.com article, "AI is not killing jobs," by @senojerialc.bsky.social
www.ft.com/content/c9f9...
New from me @mollykinder.bsky.social Josh Kendall and Maddie Lee: how should we be tracking the impact of AI on the labor market? Tldr: no signs of major disruptions yet, but we plan to update our trackers monthly 1/
Tomorrow. September 30 at noon EDT. Join this timely webinar to discuss tariffs in an uncertain legal environment. Register: yale.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
New @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff update out tonight, incorporating the heavy truck, furniture, and pharmaceutical tariffs announced by President Trump yesterday. Details are still sparse; we will update in the future as more specifics about the policy are published.
In brief...
1/10
Join us Tuesday, September 30 at noon EDT for the @budgetlab.bsky.social webinar "Tariffs in an Uncertain
Legal Environment." Register: yale.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
Panelists: @anaswanson.bsky.social, Peter Harrell, @scottlincicome.bsky.social, @natasharsarin.bsky.social, @stanveuger.bsky.social
New report from @budgetlab.bsky.social about the effects of tariffs on poverty. budgetlab.yale.edu/research/eff...
New @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff analysis incorporating all tariffs through Sept 3. This is a major update. We:
• incorporate higher assumptions about Canada & Mexico tariff-free import shares;
• show 2 scenarios: all tariffs & no IEEPA tariffs after Jun 2026.
In brief...
1/12
@natasharsarin.bsky.social spoke with @ezrakleinbot.bsky.social on where the economy is going and @budgetlab.bsky.social's latest work. Listen here: www.nytimes.com/2025/08/16/o...
New @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff analysis incorporating all 2025 tariffs through today, including the higher 50% rate on India. In brief...
1/10
New @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff analysis incorporating the Administration's new list of "reciprocal" tariffs published last night and going into effect August 7, as well as maintaining the 25% rate on Mexico. In brief...
1/10
New @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff analysis incorporating the 25% tariff on India, up from our previously-assumed 10% and which goes into effect August 1. In brief...
1/10
We @budgetlab.bsky.social have put together an analysis of the OBBBA's effect on the time burden of filing taxes. The TCJA reduced just about everyone's filing burden - a true benefit of the passage of the bill. However, OBBBA undoes many of those gains.
New @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff analysis incorporating the 15% EU tariffs, down from our prior 30% assumption. In brief...
1/10
Listen to @ernietedeschi.bsky.social on @npr.org
discuss the latest on tariffs with @steveinskeep.bsky.social www.npr.org/2025/07/28/n...
New @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff analysis incorporating policy through July 22, including the new "reciprocal" tariff rates on Japan, Indonesia, and the Philippines, which go into effect August 1. In brief...
1/10
New @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff analysis incorporating the 30% Mexico & EU tariff rates, which, like the rest of last week's letters and the 50% copper tariff, go into effect August 1.
In brief...
1/10
New @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff analysis incorporating the 35% Canada tariffs, which go into effect August 1 (along with the 22 letters and the copper tariffs). In brief...
1/10
Full @budgetlab.bsky.social report here: budgetlab.yale.edu/r...
10/10
New @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff analysis incorporating 1) the 50% copper tariff, and 2) the July 7 & 9 letters to 22 countries with new "reciprocal" tariff rates. Both go into effect August 1. In brief...
1/10
Full @budgetlab.bsky.social report here: budgetlab.yale.edu/r...
10/10
New @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff analysis incorporating 1) the US-Vietnam framework announced July 2, and 2) the July 7 letters to 14 countries with new "reciprocal" tariff rates, which go into effect August 1.
In brief...
1/10
@tonyromm.bsky.social @nytimes.com includes @budgetlab.bsky.social analysis in latest article. Read the full report here: budgetlab.yale.edu/research/dis...
