On the one hand this is a matter of join the queue.
On the other a matter of ignoring it and hoping the storm will pass.

Congrats!

New report | Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO - HCSS Why do deterrence efforts fail? Often, it’s not what is said, but how it’s said. In a new report, HCSS strategic advisor Dr. Jeffrey H. Michaels explores how the success or failure of deterrence often...

Deterring with words? It’s cheaper, faster—and just as vital.

A new guide by HCSS strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social explores how NATO and others have used (and misused) verbal warnings, from WWI to Ukraine.

📝 Read more:
hcss.nl/news/new-rep...

Not the most important point, but in the spirit of social media self-promotion going to note that cool stuff happens @maxwellsu.bsky.social & the Moynihan Institute of Global Affairs even in the summer.
Great piece @michaelwilliams.bsky.social & @jmichael424.bsky.social

A Wargame to Take Taiwan, from China’s Perspective In August 2025, 25 international experts gathered at Syracuse University to do something unusual: plan China's invasion of Taiwan. For two days,

Current Taiwan wargames may be preparing for the wrong war.

Top military chief says soldiers were issued bayonets for DC unrest, documents show some were not trained in riot response The chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff has confirmed a report by The Associated Press that some of the service members who were mobilized to Washington, D.C., last month in response to civil unrest...

www.cnbc.com/2020/07/02/t...

The Bayonet: What’s the Point? - JSTOR Daily According to one scholar, the military sees training in this obsolete weapon as helpful on the modern battlefield.

daily.jstor.org/the-bayonet-...

If so, they've chosen a rather cryptic way of communicating it. Between the SDR and the Sunday Times story that preceded it, the government seems to prefer the trial balloon approach rather than making a firm commitment.

Very much hope you can follow this with a study on the contemporary utility of the bayonet

The false promise of new technology: the British Army and the (new) calibre debate Ammunition calibre. Should bullets be larger or smaller? It's key debate for thinking about warfare. Read one expert view .

@thewavellroom.bsky.social kindly published my article on small arms and the challenges facing those British Army officers working on replacing SA80 as part of Project GRAYBURN.

wavellroom.com/2025/06/11/t...

The Big Five - 8 June edition My regular update on global conflict. This week, a Pacific-focus with the Trump-Xi call, Chinese spies in Taiwan and a detailed look at Taiwan’s evolving version of Ukraine’s drone wall concept.

🚨 The latest HCSS report by strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social is recommended by Retd Army Major General @warinthefuture.bsky.social Mick Ryan as one of the top five war and national security reads of the week:

Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO - HCSS Why do deterrence efforts fail? Often, it’s not what is said, but how it’s said. In a new report, HCSS strategic advisor Dr. Jeffrey H. Michaels explores how the success or failure of deterrence often...

🚨 Why do deterrence efforts fail? Often, it’s not what is said, but how it’s said.

New report by HCSS strategic advisor @jmichael424.bsky.social explores the power—and pitfalls—of deterrence warning messages.

📘 Read more:
hcss.nl/report/deter...

I'm delighted to share my latest paper - "Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO" - published by @hcss.bsky.social

hcss.nl/wp-content/u...

@shashj.bsky.social @luissimonn.bsky.social @ldfreedman.bsky.social @nktpnd.bsky.social @osinga.bsky.social @warmatters.bsky.social

Rather curious use of the word 'expected':

"The externally-led review is expected to recommend that our Armed Forces move to warfighting readiness to deter the growing threats faced by the UK. The report makes 62 recommendations, which the government is expected to accept in full."

🚨 Words matter: from WWI to Ukraine, poorly delivered warnings have often led to deterrence failure.

Coming this week: a new HCSS report by @jmichael424.bsky.social‬ shows how NATO can get deterrence right—starting with communication.

PS: I'm not sure how feasible this was in any event

Always a tricky balance during CW. So much depended on Sov objectives + Sov willingness to initiate nuclear use if they felt opposition too strong. Thus legitimate question of utility of large scale conventional defence but I'd still prefer that option to the alternative.

Quite so although sadly never really replaced with anything better. Approach seems to be 'insufficient and lose' rather than 'insufficient and escalate'. Doubtful 'insufficient and replace' ever taken seriously and never properly resourced.

So much for the Cold War 'deliberate insufficiency' concept of escalating to nuclear use after the army is expended

News agencies swarming to Bolivia to get a comment from Edward Luttwak!

제5공화국 | 만나면 좋은 친구 MBC 방송종료 2005.04.23~2005.09.11 - <제5공화국>은 사실(fact)만을 기록하는 다큐멘터리도 아니고, 그렇다고 작가의 상상력만으로 만들어내는 허구(fiction)도 아니다. 정확히 말하면 사실의 효과를 높이기 위해 작가의 상상력이 추가된 팩션(faction=fact+fiction)이다. 이 팩션의 성공여부는 역사의 맥락을 얼마나 정당하게 묘...

If you can find a version with English subtitles, I can recommend this series: program.imbc.com/5republic

By South Korean standards at any rate

The Navy’s vital role in Britain’s past and future The third and final instalment of N. A. M. Rodger’s erudite, engaging naval history of the British Isles places the Royal Navy at the centre of national

Another corker from Andrew Lambert
www.the-tls.co.uk/history/mode...

Deterrence Studies: A field still in progress This article reviews three recent books covering a broad spectrum of deterrence research and uses them to argue for a properly constituted field of Deterrence Studies. Having declined after the Col...

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...