Made a small R package to calculate endemic channels according to Bortman, 1999 paper 'Establishing endemic levels of ranges with computer spreadsheets' and posted it on Github at: github.com/denisecammar... #epidemiology #infectiousdisease #data
I have been learning and working these past few weeks with physics inspired neural networks (PINNs) applied to infectious disease modeling. I solved and did parameter inference for the Susceptible-Infected (SI) and the SIR model. Full code in the form of short tutorials: lnkd.in/difJYKTF
Made a map of dengue incidence in Argentina in 2018-2024 this weekend. Interesting to see the number of provinces affected as of 2024, record-breaking year. github.com/denisecammar...
Some difficult news from the team: In NSF's FY25-26 Budget Request to Congress, we learned that our program will take a whopping 50% cut - meaning that in September, we'll be $1.25m short of an operating budget that currently supports a cohort of seven PhD students, four postdocs, and three full-time staff. Verena is one of the largest and last pandemic prevention-focused programs in the United States: since 2020, we've supported the training of over 60 postdocs, graduate students, and undergraduates. Our researchers have established unique laboratory resources for studying animal immune systems, and discovered new antiviral immune adaptations in bats; developed risk assessment algorithms for wildlife and livestock viruses, and diagnostic algorithms for viruses like dengue, Ebola, and Zika; and quantified the effects of climate change, deforestation, and factory farming on spillover risk. Everything we develop is 100% open source, and our data has supported the research of nearly 150 external researchers in 21 countries to date. We have three months to make up our budget shortfall. Every dollar spent on Verena supports not just our team, but the community of researchers who use our data, code, and resources. You can help us by sharing this post, and reaching out if you're able to support a unique and vulnerable program. Or just head over to viralemergence.org, and take a look at what we do. 🦟 🦇 🦠
An update from the team on the uncertain future of our program and the impact of NSF budget cuts. Please share and reach out 🦠
On the verge: outbreak risk after two years of record-breaking dengue epidemics in Brazil - The Lancet Regional Health – Americas www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
📢New Spotlight! 🥳
Today, we have @rafalpx.bsky.social, a postdoctoral associate at the Grubaugh Lab in EMD. His work integrates climate and genomic data to improve Arbovirus Disease prediction in a changing climate.
Read more here!
medicine.yale.edu/news-article...
#YaleModeling #PublicHealth
In September in Geneva we applauded a major milestone in the effort to eradicate measles and rubella viruses from the face of the earth.
Today an unvaccinated child has died of measles in the country where the vaccine was developed.
This is not greatness.
Trends of acute respiratory infection, including human metapneumovirus, in the Northern Hemisphere
Read the latest Disease Outbreak News: Trends of acute respiratory infection, including human metapneumovirus, in the Northern Hemisphere.
bit.ly/41Y8Ox4
Bar chart illustrating the number of human H5N1 bird flu cases across various countries, highlighting trends by year.
Human H5N1 bird flu cases by year and country, according to the CDC.
After eight years of almost no cases, 2024 is set to be one of the years with the most reported cases. The US stands for the vast majority of cases.
A detailed map of the United States on a county level, with purple counties representing those affected by bird flu.
Counties affected by H5N1 bird flu in poultry, according to the CDC.
There were a handful of human cases this summer & now we’re pushing 70. And it’s flu season. The more opportunities for adaptation & reassortment, the greater the risk of a potential pandemic virus emerging.
Nobody knows if this will happen but human infections are trending in the wrong direction.
Navy-colored graphic with white text in the middle "Undiagnosed disease Democratic Republic of the Congo". WHO Logo at the bottom, also in white.
Disease outbreak news on undiagnosed disease in #DRCongo bit.ly/3Zpj12M
‘A place of joy’: why scientists are joining the rush to Bluesky
For me, it certainly feels good to be here!
@natureportfolio.bsky.social @bsky.app
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Infectious Disease Modelling starter pack update! First pack is full so I created a second one. Pls keep on sending suggestions! (bio should contain experience relevant for this pack)
IDModelling pack 1: go.bsky.app/86Ao1a5
IDModelling pack 2 : go.bsky.app/2oBB7KX
How fatal is H5N1 influenza? My post from the summer on why interpreting historical patterns is not as straightforward as you might think:
kucharski.substack.com/p/how-fatal-...
Pessoal cnpq para vcs tb? N tá parecendo aqui
Only predatory journals in the building