My work in @poqjournal.bsky.social shows that public opinion of military withdrawals and the ending of wars can be heavily shaped by "enemy victory" framings
This was common after Biden's withdrawal from Afghanistan ("the Taliban won!")
"Iran won, Trump lost, gas is up" for Dems could be effective
How do voters “think ideologically” in multiparty systems?
In POQ, Lachance & Treger find that Canadian voters use left–right labels as shortcuts to infer candidates’ positions, even when they don't fully align with their policy preferences.
Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
@mlink01.bsky.social
Got a great paper on how AI is reshaping public opinion research? Submit it to POQ's special issue on Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Survey Research!
Papers are being reviewed and accepted on a rolling basis starting now – full details here: s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/clarivate-sc...
@yuvalfeinstein.bsky.social
Can war unify a deeply polarized society?
With data from Israel before and after the October 7 Hamas attack, Feinstein & Ben-David show a “split” response: high support for the war and trust in the military, but no rally-’round-the-flag.
Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
Does personal proximity to drug market participants fuel opposition to drug reform?
In POQ, Zizumbo-Colunga & López find evidence from 18 Latin American countries that suggests the opposite.
Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
At @poqjournal.bsky.social there is a call for papers on a special issue on Artificial Intelligence and Survey Research.
If you have papers on this obviously important topic then here's a link for more information!
static.primary.prod.gcms.the-infra.com/static/poq/d...
@mlink01.bsky.social
Got a great paper on how AI is reshaping public opinion research? Submit it to POQ's special issue on Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Survey Research!
Papers are being reviewed and accepted on a rolling basis starting now – full details here: s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/clarivate-sc...
Out now! The latest issue of POQ!
Read Volume 90, Issue 1, Spring 2026 here: academic.oup.com/poq/issue
I am happy that this paper with @flynnpolsci.bsky.social is finally in print.
If you need to turn text into a number for rigorous analysis, this is likely the solution you are looking for.
Short story: pairwise comparisons (A vs. B) are better than naive LLM scaling (0-10 placement).
@mdigiuseppe.bsky.social and I have a new piece out in @poqjournal.bsky.social where we use LLMs and Bayes/brms to estimate pairwise comparisons and latent scores.
@mdigiuseppe.bsky.social @flynnpolsci.bsky.social
Can LLMs assist in the reliance on closed-ended questions in surveys?
In POQ, DiGiuseppe et al. find that LLMs have the potential to unlock the benefits of pairwise comparisons to scale open-ended responses.
Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
@ozankuru.bsky.social
Can training individuals on survey methodology boost their critical processing of polls?
Kuru compares three preemptive interventions and finds that “psychological inoculation” is particularly effective for critical evaluation of polls.
Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
How has media trust changed in the Americas in recent years?
In POQ, Collier, analyzing AmericasBarometer data from 2008 to 2023, shows that media trust declined across 20 countries throughout the Americas during that time.
Read more: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
@mlink01.bsky.social
Got a great paper on how AI is reshaping public opinion research? Submit it to POQ's special issue on Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Survey Research!
Papers are being reviewed and accepted on a rolling basis starting now – full details here: s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/clarivate-sc...
Do survey passwords in postal invitation letters affect response rates in an online survey?
In POQ, Haas et al. find evidence that longer and more complex passwords increase participation rates.
Read more: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
Really happy to see this piece finally out in @poqjournal.bsky.social. We exploit an unexpected global news event to test exogenous measures of exposure varying in granularity. The results have implications for studies using webtracking data, particularly domain-level measures of news exposure #CSS
@ascardenal.bsky.social @ludovicterren.bsky.social @1864.bsky.social @alonzoizner.bsky.social @pvanaelst.bsky.social
Not all news clicks teach us something.
In POQ, Cardenal et al., using digital trace data, find that only article-level exposure to Ukraine stories—not general news browsing—predicted who learned about the Russian invasion.
Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
@sociologian.bsky.social
Can we reduce bias in nonprobability samples of social media users?
In POQ, Pollard et al. show that propensity score weighting can reduce differences between samples of X users and the general population.
@mlink01.bsky.social
Got a great paper on how AI is reshaping public opinion research? Submit it to POQ's special issue on Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Survey Research!
Papers are being reviewed and accepted on a rolling basis starting now – full details here: s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/clarivate-sc...
Excited to share that Cindy Kam’s and my article is published online! We examine item refusal pre- and post-Dobbs and find a significant increase in women’s refusal to disclose their pregnancy status after the decision, with concerning implications for research, policy, and women’s health.