A wafer thin mint is when the growth rate drops to 0.01% and yet ...
#collapse #extinction
www.youtube.com/watch?v=5k5h...
Posts by f451
When the term "extinction" doesn't come up once in a one hour talk, you are not expecting it? Not ruling it out, but not likely? You are expecting severe social collapse and decline of populations but not necessarily an extinction event?
I was monitoring wildlife. Mere collapse would be lovely.
I present the most interesting graph ever made.
HUMAN ON BICYCLE beats every other living thing.
www.scientificamerican.com/article/a-hu...
1. Some good news at last. This week’s column is about the amazing thing a couple of us stumbled into three years ago, which we’ve now developed into a global research programme. It doesn’t change everything, of course, but it could help change quite a lot. + 🧵 www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Have you ever seen a bike lane sweeper - pulled behind a bike?
Volunteers in Kirkland have a new tool that attaches to the back of an e-bike. It's good for protected bike lanes, sidewalks, and narrow trails.
My @kuow.org story: www.kuow.org/stories/clea...
Are we headed for an actual climate disaster? "Growth of GHG forcing has diverged dramatically from that scenario (RCP2.6), with reality being close to the extreme RCP8.5 scenario"
This is catastrophic. RCP8.5 will basically wipe out civilisation as we know it
jimehansen.substack.com/p/warning-th...
New Sunderland-made Nissan LEAF qualifies for £3,750 discount under government’s EV grant in a boost for North East manufacturing Vs Rachel Reeves to curb high-end bike purchases in Cycle to Work scheme
Compare and contrast the Government language.
£3,750 EV grant on a £35k car: ‘helping families’.
Cycle to Work: ‘subsidising leisure’.
And yet cycling delivers TEN TIMES the impact of electric cars for reaching net zero. It’s almost like narrative, not data, is driving policy.
All that is gold does not glitter,
Not all who wander are lost.
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Breaking! Ducks discovered on Planet Jupiter!
Real time data coming out of the world’s climate measurement systems should be stopping us in our tracks. The latest estimate shows that, this week, the Earth is 1.9°C warmer than before we began burning fossil fuels.
#climatecrisis #ClimateEmergency #auspol www.lyrebirddreaming.com/post/we-re-t...
Remember this one? “Humans aren’t very efficient movers—until you put us on a bicycle, when we become some of the most energy-efficient land travelers in the animal kingdom.” Via Scientific American @sciam.bsky.social #CityMakingMath
🚨 None of the UN IPCC models capture what NASA satellites are seeing.
We should assume and prepare for the worst, as there is a non-zero chance of 3°C of global warming by 2050.
We better assume that it will happen and/or try to make sure that it doesn't happen.
1/
WE WILL RUN OUT OF FOOD.
The fact we aren’t using this precious & precarious moment to rebuild our food system around need & not profit - changing what we eat, how we produce food & how we transport it - will prove our gravest & most suicidal mistake.
Monitoring changes in UK temperature
To (almost) no-one’s surprise, multiple sources of data agree on the long-term trends in UK temperatures.
climatelabbook.substack.com/p/monitoring...
I just updated this NASA CERES graph. The regional level of Absorbed Solar Radiation increased by 4.2 W/m² in 20 years!!
That's more than the global greenhouse gas forcing increase since 1750!
The 2 W/m² Net Flux increase indicates that there is a lot more regional warming in the pipeline.
This is what rapidly accelerating warming looks like.
Another off the chart datapoint:
NOAA Sea Surface Temperature data for the summer 2025.
We will discuss this and more on Climate Chat today.
See link for time and hit the 🔔 to get a notification when we go live
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youtube.com/live/BNZ_biC...
The image shows that the global sea ice area was 2.31 million km² below the 1981-2010 mean on September 1, 2025, a deviation from 1981-2010 of -3.76σ. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/09/arct...
“Microsoft says U.S. law takes precedence over Canadian data sovereignty”
… or how to lose government contracts all over the world in one easy step. 🖕🏾🖕🏾
www.digitaljournal.com/tech-science...
This folks is the coolest Summer you will ever experience again
As parts of America sizzle under a heat dome
Southern Europe is frying too with Turkey setting a new record of over 50 C (122 F)
These temperatures will kill you if you stay out too long outside and if you have no air conditioning
Killing the only planet known to harbor life at ever faster rate
Little more than half a year into 2025, mankind has already hit Earth Overshoot Day, consuming resources at a rate that far outpaces the capacity to restore them.
www.dw.com/en/global-fo...
Will this be the last Keeling curve upate from NOAA for CO2 at Mauna Loa?
June 2025: 429.61 ppm
This may be a tragic moment:
It's like something has changed over the Western Mediterranean....
Y-axis extension expected.
'Arctic sea ice extent is currently the *lowest* on record'.
See the melting over the past month:
Map from the Climate Shift Index of Europe, showing that the current heat wave over much of Western Europe is 4-5 times more likely due to climate change.
A lot of media are covering Europe’s heatwave 🔥 but few are connecting it to the climate crisis.
Tools like the Climate Shift Index show this heatwave is up to 5x 😱 more likely because of climate change. That context matters.
csi.climatecentral.org/climate-shif...
The CERES data are shown from 2001 to 2023. The CMIP6 data are shown from 2000 to 2030. All EEI are given as 12-month running means. CMIP6 model mean is shown by a thick black line and individual models are shown in thin gray lines. Only one ensemble member for each of the models is shown.
Data from CERES show that from 2001 to 2023, Earth absorbed more energy than any CMIP6 model predicted.
Models with ECS < 2.5°C fail to match observed LW & SW trends (LW↓, SW↑). This means future warming may be closer to higher-sensitivity projections.
doi.org/10.1126/scie...
The drought in Europe is bound to cause food shortages as it continues unabated. I wonder whether mankind will wake up & smell the coffee, whilst coffee still exists.