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Posts by Ryan Jiang

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1O6h6

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1O6h6

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1O6ht

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1O6ht

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1O6hv

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1O6hv

U.S.
Unemployment = UP/FLAT
Inflation = UP/FLAT
Real wages = UP
Jobs = DOWN/FLAT

#Econsky

4 months ago 6 2 1 1
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Retail Stocks Need Unlikely Holiday Miracle to Save Rough 2025 The American consumer is limping into the holiday season.

Wealthier consumers paring back spending approaching the holidays. Implications for the K shaped economy?

“More worryingly, wealthier Americans who have powered the economy for most of the year are becoming cost-conscious.”

#econsky

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

4 months ago 7 0 0 0

Unchanged gloom: worse off dominates. #econsky

4 months ago 5 2 0 0
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"We own these two stocks that attract the gullible and conspiracy-minded and were surprised to learn that many of those same investors have lots of exposure to bitcoin..."

4 months ago 353 85 23 13
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These idiots destroyed what The Economist just a year ago called "The American Economy: The Envy of the World" and said we could "expect that to continue."

What are we waiting for? Them to leave office?

5 months ago 340 108 9 3
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Market segmentation and housing prices Did relaxed credit standards drive the housing boom that led to the Great Recession?

Housing market frictions and relaxed credit conditions explain as much as 70 percent of the 2000s boom in house prices, say researchers at NYU Stern and Boston University. Their findings offer important lessons for macroprudential policies. #econsky www.aeaweb.org/research/cre...

5 months ago 1 3 1 0

CLEVELAND FED PREZ HAMMACK, on @cnbc.com:

".. What we hear is people are holding onto their jobs for dear life. If they have them."

5 months ago 493 141 18 12

Tariffs are a drag but also a tiny part of the economy. Things like dissembling science and higher education will manifest in depressed long-run growth not in a current unemployment spike.

5 months ago 180 15 2 4

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Second, even setting aside that critical qualification, the report fails to clarify the labor market's status enough to resolve the deep policy divisions within the Federal Reserve.
#economy #jobs #bls #employment #markets #federalreserve

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5 months ago 32 4 5 0
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Best (worst?) graph I've ever seen: Who’s right about AI: economists or technologists? - on.ft.com/43oaD6n via @FT

5 months ago 5 1 0 0
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The U.S. Tackled Crippling Federal Debt Before. It Can Do So Again U.S. federal debt has hit $38 trillion—about equal to the entire U.S. economy—and interest payments now cost more than national defense. But the United States has tackled its debt burden in the past. ...

"We tackled our debt burden in the past, and we can do it again."

RAND experts discuss approaches for reducing the federal debt:

5 months ago 2 2 0 0