@commsearth.nature.com

How do French and German voters view arms exports? The war in Ukraine has focussed attention on public attitudes to arms exports. New research by Lukas Rudolph, Markus Freitag, and Paul Thurner finds that in France and Germany, while a small minority…

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🔎 How do French and German voters view arms exports?

🧭 @lukrudolph.bsky.social @markusfreitag.bsky.social & Paul Thurner look into
public attitudes in France and Germany towards arms exports and how voters balance strategic interests with moral concerns.

Example of a binary paired profile table with four attributes (occupation, religion, reason for migration, distance from origin) as shown to survey respondents (for credits see Fig. A1 of the article)

How do rural host communities respond to environmental migrants? With @linus-hormuth.bsky.social, @the-free-heart.bsky.social & V. Koubi (@ethz.ch), we show for a Global South context and with visual conjoint experiments that deservigness matters -- now in Comm. Earth & Environment: rdcu.be/e8Czw

Looking forward to a surely insightful talk by @moritz-marbach.com today on "Compositional Effects, Internal Migration and Electoral Outcomes" at the Center for Data and Methods Colloquium @uni-konstanz.de. Join at 12.00-13.00 (D351) if you are around. Read his paper here: osf.io/pq3bd

Great that German public broadcasting reports on our new study (with F. Haggerty/P. Thurner) in Nature Communications, "Examining public support for Ukraine's defense against autocratic aggression" -- listen in here: www.br.de/radio/live/b... (in German). Thanks to Jan Kerckhoff for the interview.

Just out in Nature Communications: "Examining public support for Ukraine’s defense against autocratic aggression". With F. Haggerty and P. Thurner, we show that Western citizens back Ukraine’s fight, but moral and strategic concerns, as well as internal divisions, impose restraints. rdcu.be/eYKAr

NEW SKILLS Training

📣 New month, new chances!

Explore our latest #GESISworkshop:
"Introduction to Conjoint Survey Experiments" with
@phanxi.bsky.social & @lukrudolph.bsky.social

Register Now!
➡️ t1p.de/WebTrackingD...

Our entire workshop program at gesis.org/workshops

⏰ Two weeks left to apply for SekMethoden 2026 — the annual meeting of the DVPW Section "Methods of Political Science"!

⬇️ See below for the CfP and link to the application portal.

@gessler.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social @donyhu.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social

A screenshot of the CfP for SekMethoden 2026

🚨 CfP: SekMethoden 2026
🗓️ March 12-13, 2026
🗺️ Hannover, Germany
⏰ DL Dec 07, 2025

👉 Apply here: sosci.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/sekmethoden2...

👥 @gessler.bsky.social, @lukrudolph.bsky.social, @donyhu.bsky.social, Jona Baumert, Morten Harmening and I look forward to your submissions!

We thank @aklin.bsky.social, @retobuergisser.bsky.social, T. Shibaike, A. Uji and @epgonline.bsky.social / EPG / EPSA participants for comments and the Swiss Federal Ministry of the Environment for funding.

Together, NIMBYism of residents who feel they face localized negative consequences of 5G antennas in their immediate vicinity, and a large share of citizens against this technology on principled terms can help account for the strong contestation of 5G in Switzerland at the time of our survey.

Especially those in close proximity to antennas exhibit NIMBYism. This tendency is, against our expectations, stronger among those ex ante positively inclined toward 5G in principle. In additional experiments, we show that proximate respondents have a high willingness to pay for tangible opposition.

We draw on a survey experiment in which we reveal maps with real-world, household-specific information on 5G antenna placement to a random set of Swiss residents. Survey respondents were previously largely unaware of antenna locations, and relevantly increase worry for proximity under treatment.

NIMBY opposition can hamper effective public good provision. With @phanxi.bsky.social and T.Bernauer, I study its nature for a peculiar public good providing both local costs & benefits all across the country: 5G mobile network infrastructure. Now at
@polbehavior.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1007/s111...

Great the media is picking our paper up, indeed (also at tagesschau.de, see www.tagesschau.de/inland/regio... ). Find our paper (with @aleininger.bsky.social) online at JOP @thejop.bsky.social via www.doi.org/10.1086/732945

Maskenaffäre führte zum Verlust von Wählerstimmen | MDR.DE Schaden Skandale Politikern und ihren Parteien? Angesichts einiger Wahlerfolge der letzten Zeit mag man daran zweifeln. Zwei Wissenschaftler der Unis in Chemnitz und Konstanz haben sich die Frage gena...

Nice to see my paper with @lukrudolph.bsky.social "Can Individual MPs Damage Their Party’s Brand? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from a Public Procurement Corruption Scandal" receive some attention in 🇩🇪 media.
www.mdr.de/wissen/psych...

📢 Our latest research (with L. Rudolph, @uni-konstanz.de) on operationalizing natural experiments, particularly extreme weather, has just been accepted @thejop.bsky.social 🌦️Natural experiments offer a unique way to analyze causal effects in real-world settings. But operationalization is often messy:

GESIS Summer School in Survey Methodolgy Introduction to Conjoint Survey Experiments 04 to 08 August | Cologne Franziska Quoß (GESIS) & Lukas Rudolph (University of Konstanz)

Need causal insights into how people make decisions? Conjoint survey experiments let you unpack complex choices in realistic settings. Learn to design, implement, and analyze them in our #GESISsummerschool course with @phanxi.bsky.social & Lukas Rudolph.

Book Now ➡️ t1p.de/GSS25-C6

New 📰: In "Can Individual MPs Damage Their Party’s Brand? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from a Public
Procurement Corruption Scandal" out in @thejop.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social and I show that the "mask affair" cost the CDU 4%-points in elections. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... 1/