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Posts by Mike Cline

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The 30s are the new 20s for having babies The data behind the US "record low" births headlines are more nuanced than they appear

Another nice explainer from demographer @drjenndowd.bsky.social on how to interpret statistics on birth rates:

“most demographers expect completed cohort fertility rates will trend downwards, but not as dramatically as the birth rate “crisis” narrative implies”

23 hours ago 19 6 0 0
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The American Oil Industry’s Playbook, Illustrated: How Drillers Offload Costly Cleanup Onto the Public Oil executive Tom Ragsdale walked away from his old wells, making the pollution left behind the state of New Mexico’s problem. His tactics, however, are ubiquitous in the industry.

More than 2 million oil and gas wells sit unplugged in the U.S., many leaking contaminants into waterways, farmland and neighborhoods.

Time and time again, oil companies have walked away — leaving taxpayers to pay for cleanup. Here’s how.

(Published Dec. 2024)

2 weeks ago 522 241 7 25
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Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, including the Help America Vote Act of 2002

NEW: With no authority under the Constitution to change election rules, President Trump has signed an executive order that calls for restricting voting by mail. The order is expected to be challenged in court
www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...

3 weeks ago 699 317 47 102
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FRANCESCO BILLARI | Global politics is at odds with demography Migration emerges as a demographic necessity, not a temporary challenge

This, from demographer Francesco Billari, is very good:

“The real choice for political leaders is not whether to accept demographic change. It is whether to continue to fight it symbolically or to start governing it strategically”

www.businessday.co.za/opinion/2026...

3 weeks ago 26 13 3 2
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Ofd bring back home after 40 years (other than quick visits). Lots have changed even as nothing has.

4 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Stop the construction of the wall in Big Bend Ranch State Park & Big Bend National Park Can you spare a minute to help this campaign?

c.org/9ZKNkwDrQC

1 month ago 0 0 0 0

Me at 50: ah, fuck it!

2 months ago 22 1 2 0
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Oil companies leak toxic gas across Texas — making local residents sick Tens of thousands of people live close to oil and gas wells where they risk exposure to hazardous levels of hydrogen sulfide. Regulators do little to protect them.

Even inside of town. I don't think this is good for people to be breathing in. But people will shrug their shoulders and accept that this is the price to pay to survive. An industry making hand over fist, and they can't figure out how to fix this issue? www.theexamination.org/articles/oil...

2 months ago 1 0 0 0

I have been going back home frequently to take care of my aging mother. Every time I am home, I get nauseated from the smell out in the air. When I was growing up in west Texas, I remember certain places where there was, what the old timers called, "the smell of money," but now it is everywhere...

2 months ago 2 0 1 0

When I lecture to students about how the apparently thriving economy of the 1920s was really a house of cards just waiting to be knocked down, one of the points I stress is how much a small number of the very rich were essentially propping up consumer spending in unsustainable ways

3 months ago 4329 1512 86 26
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MAHA 2

MAHA 2

www.bakerinstitute.org/research/rea...

3 months ago 127 39 3 3
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For First Time in Decades, Child Deaths Will Rise This Year Almost a quarter of a million more children around the world are projected to die in 2025 than in 2024.

For First Time in Decades, Child Deaths Will Rise This Year

Thanks in no small part to DOGE cuts to USAID

www.wsj.com/health/for-f...

4 months ago 93 66 4 7

Not sure there is a "Texas style" anymore - DCI has seemed to taken over everywhere (except maybe in East Texas where they are still marching like the Aggies).

5 months ago 1 0 1 0

Should we tell Buzz Aldrin?

5 months ago 0 0 0 0

And I don't recall Texas Tech (my Alma mater) being ranked in the top 10.

6 months ago 1 0 0 0
Table

Table

Demography is science, but it's not rocket science. Journalists and related professionals could understand crude birth rate, general fertility rate, and total fertility rate - and use the terms consistently. So I made this annotated table: familyinequality.wordpress.com/2025/10/03/l...

6 months ago 40 6 3 1

Happy (belated) Constitution Day.

7 months ago 0 0 0 0

"Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances." Happy Constitution Day.

7 months ago 1 0 1 0

Too late. Recovering from it now.

7 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Wall Street Leaning Harder on Private Data After Trump BLS Spat Philip Petursson has relied on Bureau of Labor Statistics data for decades to inform his investing recommendations at IG Wealth Management. Not solely, but as a key input, he said.

Wow, that was fast!

Don't underestimate how valuable trustworthy data from the US government underpinned big decisions and how that is being rapidly undermined.

Gift link: www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

7 months ago 25 12 2 2
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Statistics, public data leaders condemn Trump’s order to fire BLS commissioner One group, whose leadership includes two former BLS commissioners, called on Congress to respond immediately and investigate her removal.

“It’s just completely disheartening. It’s a sign that norms that have long existed are shattered,” says APDU President @amy-ohara.bsky.social about the firing of BLS Commissioner McEnfarfer

fedscoop.com/statistics-p...

8 months ago 3 3 0 0

Full statement is now on our website
apdu.org?p=5813739
#econsky

8 months ago 24 9 0 1
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US economic data quality a worry, authorities not acting urgently enough, experts say Risks to the quality of official U.S. economic data - long seen as the gold standard - are worrying 89 of 100 top policy experts polled by Reuters, with most also concerned that the authorities are not addressing the issue urgently enough.

US economic data quality a worry, authorities not acting urgently enough, experts say (Reuters poll)

www.reuters.com/business/us-...

8 months ago 2 1 0 0
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Federal Data Consolidation: Protecting Civil Liberties in the Digital Age YouTube video by American Enterprise Institute

Today's AEI panel discussion on privacy is worth watching
www.youtube.com/live/9urPOLC...

9 months ago 1 1 0 1

Data Rescue Project Portal is live!!!

9 months ago 4 2 0 0
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There Were Still Old People When Life Expectancy Was 35. A demography myth that won't die

“Historically, no one lived past age 35”

"I’ve heard *so* many versions of this claim, including recently from a menopause doctor (implying menopause is not “natural” because noone lived long enough to go through it). Every time someone states this “fact,” a demographer loses a piece of their soul"

10 months ago 3107 808 112 89

NEW: Census Bureau lost over 1,000 employees through early retirement and voluntary separation offers in recent months and plans to cut some statistical work, acting Director Ron Jarmin says. "It feels a little bit like Thanos snapped his finger and a lot of your friends and colleagues went away..."

10 months ago 240 84 9 16
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Great job Aishwarya! 4th place. Way to represent.

10 months ago 0 0 0 0