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Posts by Webster Ford

I mean where else is the Secretary of State supposed to be?

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The Art of the...oh, never mind, I guess.

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Deeply and profoundly ashamed to be American on a daily basis as of late

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If the leader of another country spoke in these violent and unhinged tones, our media would likely see it for what it is. But because it is our President doing so, even the most outrageous, inhumane things must be normalized.

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This "lethality"...is it in the room with us right now?

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Opinion | There’s a Good Reason You Can’t Concentrate
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Thiel’s Founders Fund Backs AI Cow Collar Startup at $2 Billion Valuation Halter, a startup making artificial intelligence-powered collars for cows, is in talks to raise a new funding round that would double its valuation to more than $2 billion, according to people familia...

2010s: a startup worth $1 billion is a vanishingly rare thing (a "unicorn")

2026: a company that makes AI collars for cows is worth $ 2 billion

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

4 weeks ago 29 5 2 4

And business school faculty

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In praise of grunt work AI promises to eliminate drudgery. Careful what you wish for
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As for "broad brushing", one can make claims about groups that are true in a statistical sense without said claims needing to apply to you specifically in a country of 300+ million people

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A Closer Look at Small Business Owners Reveals Their Political Preferences New research finds that small business owners represent a distinct, Republican-leaning constituency.

Good for you! But the fact remains that most small business owners, particularly white business owners, vote Republican. There's data on this! www.gsb.stanford.edu/insights/clo...

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You are correct. Then again, the relevant question is: these business owners who are complaining to the press...who did THEY vote for?

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Business owner who voted for Trump says ICE detained a third of his employees
Business owner who voted for Trump says ICE detained a third of his employees YouTube video by NBC News

It's the same old story playing out all over again: small business owners vote Republican, Republicans deport their workers youtube.com/shorts/6nFUC...

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Louisiana business owners, primarily

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Who did y'all vote for? Oh, right.

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Sweep the Strait

sweepthestrait.com

1 month ago 54 23 5 2

Board of Peace? More like Bored of Peace

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This person has a PhD?!?!

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Are you saying that the US are...not the only place that exists?

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A complete and total rejection of expertise...and eventually, the bill does come due.

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One of the things that really trips a lot of analysts, including ones with real skin in the game, is that they refuse - absolutely refuse - to accept how stupid Trump very obviously is. He has no knowledge of anything, is incapable of learning, and only remembers the last thing to happen to him.

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Messina!

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Gullible, Cynical America The trouble with believing anything and nothing at the same time

The data economy has made us dumber in ways that also make us vulnerable to authoritarian takover. We are have become both cynical and gullible in the sense we think we are too jaded be fooled and as a result are tricked more easily www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

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I mean, who could have thought? Historically, these Middle Eastern wars always end so quickly, and are so uncomplicated.

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Opinion | Trump Is Making Jimmy Carter’s Mistake on Iran and Oil
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I took to the streets in Berkeley, CA, on Election Night 2008. I was in my early twenties, and the future seemed full of hope. Sigh.

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The American political class is utterly delusional, adrift in a dream of normality, unable to process the actual reality of events on the ground, where the US just launched a completely unprovoked war against a massive country, murdered its leadership, and demanded its conversion to a vassal state.

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The one science reform we can all agree on, but we're too cowardly to do OR: the long overdue forest fire
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My hypothesis is that AI will lead to less dramatic layoffs (e.g., the Block memo) and more a slower drip: companies will continue to fire at similar rates, but will hire at much slower rates. 

Those who are left will be expected to use AI tools--to figure it out--in order to pick up the slack from those who were let go. This will naturally lead to AI models being adopted effectively throughout organizations.

But the labor market implications for the economy are in some ways more dire than the dramatic scenario: exactly the type of slow drip of increasing unemployment and lower labor force participation that policy has the hardest time dealing with (policy is much better when there is a clear demarcated disaster).

My hypothesis is that AI will lead to less dramatic layoffs (e.g., the Block memo) and more a slower drip: companies will continue to fire at similar rates, but will hire at much slower rates. Those who are left will be expected to use AI tools--to figure it out--in order to pick up the slack from those who were let go. This will naturally lead to AI models being adopted effectively throughout organizations. But the labor market implications for the economy are in some ways more dire than the dramatic scenario: exactly the type of slow drip of increasing unemployment and lower labor force participation that policy has the hardest time dealing with (policy is much better when there is a clear demarcated disaster).

In a model where employees retain value only for their institutional/tacit knowledge, and not for their fungible skills, I think this hiring/firing behavior is what you expect. New employees become substitutable before existing employees.

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Can AI Replace Social Science Researchers? No. No it can't. Come on, now.
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