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Posts by Dan Chapman

i suppose that's my cue to repost this new york times photo of jonathan haidt standing in the middle of an abandoned playground that i think about all the time

6 days ago 80 9 8 2

this man looks like he’s interrupting his own crime scene

6 days ago 1 0 0 0
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In France, if you want to build a home above a certain size, you’re legally required to use a licensed architect.

Can you guess what that size is

6 days ago 578 97 13 17

Used to think no one should perform statistical inference before they've studied its theory.

But its theory is so confusing and counterintuitive that now I think they can only use it exactly because they haven't studied it. Doing so quickly erases any willingness to perform inference on real data.

1 week ago 31 1 4 0

Love uuuuu!

1 month ago 0 0 0 0

Happy birthday to my wonderful husband! 🎂 🎊 💕 @chapmanresearch.bsky.social

1 month ago 1 1 1 0

“I’ll take bothsidesism for $500, Alex”

1 month ago 0 0 0 0

“If I throw in a strawman, all of my pretty little sentences work!”

1 month ago 0 0 1 0
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The brains have fallen out of these folks’ heads. I swear. So much to object to and laugh at in just three posts!

1 month ago 0 0 1 0

we’d be better off without your opinion.

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1 month ago 27 5 0 5

I went down a rabbit hole on DPI scaling a few years ago…not my happiest moment.

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

Absolutely insane to me they (windows) never fixed this problem, or developed some quick solution. I switched my OS instead of finding a workaround 🤣

1 month ago 1 0 1 0
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Joint probabilistic estimates of temperature and precipitation from tree ring-based reconstructions of the last millennium Abstract. An understanding of Earth's past climate can help put current and future changes into historical context. Widely used tree ring-based drought atlases generally target the Palmer Drought Seve...

are you a giant nerd who wants to know what past temperatures and precipitation totals are compatible with tree ring based drought atlases? Me too!
ascmo.copernicus.org/articles/12/...

1 month ago 41 7 1 0
Box 1 — Implications of intractability

Box 1 — Implications of intractability

I had a realisation

Context: In our Reclaiming AI paper we argued that AI systems cannot scale up to human-level cognition without consuming astronomical amounts of resources

My realisation: The AI industry is determined to burn through the earth’s resources just to prove us right *empirically*

1 month ago 193 63 7 6

convinced google will never improve workspace. Embarrassing stuff. I really hate when I have to use it for projects.

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Hat embroidered with “hello, i am fleeing the American century of humillation. Can you show me where to buy Mountain Dew Baja Blast?”

Hat embroidered with “hello, i am fleeing the American century of humillation. Can you show me where to buy Mountain Dew Baja Blast?”

1 month ago 9067 1759 46 66
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Policy Resources for Addressing Climate Adaptation Funding Barriers Experienced by Northwest Coastal Tribes | Climate Impacts Group Project BackgroundBeginning in late 2024, the Northwest Climate Resilience Collaborative’s Tribal Coastal Resilience Project, a partnership of the Affiliated Tribes of Northwest Indians, University of...

Excited to release a new suite of policy tools and resources to help address funding barriers to Tribal climate adaptation and resilience efforts.

These resources were developed in response to adaptation barriers identified by NW coastal Tribes but will likely be useful to many Tribal nations. 1/

1 month ago 38 15 2 0
“The purpose behind the release of herbicide on the villages remains unclear.”

“The purpose behind the release of herbicide on the villages remains unclear.”

Israel has been dumping herbicides throughout southern Lebanon as part of a concerted ecocide campaign to render the region uninhabitable. This has been going on for months with Lebanese journalists & environmentalists regularly reporting on it.

The BBC: we don’t know why the Israelis are doing it

1 month ago 4133 2031 6 86
TOZA & Lil Texas - RECKLESS (Official Audio)
TOZA & Lil Texas - RECKLESS (Official Audio) YouTube video by Acid Reign

I dare you to listen to this all. youtu.be/0QU7H9EcRto?...

2 months ago 0 0 0 0

This is correct

2 months ago 1 0 0 0

even very highly related fields! It makes any widespread policy making attempts very difficult.

2 months ago 1 0 0 0

this is slander against New England drinking culture

2 months ago 2 0 1 0

This makes me think, the similar lack of resolution and desire to classify distinct issues and processes under broad and uninformative category labels prevalent in metascience may be inherited from psychology, given its central role in driving metascience agenda from the getgo.

2 months ago 9 3 0 1

In the case of statistical meta-science, if your toy model predicts a certain curve under "ideal" research practices, and you find a different curve, it's possible that the curve derived from undergraduate probability has nothing to do with scientific practice.

2 months ago 21 4 2 1

New Converge today. Hell yeah.

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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some definitely do this, and engage in good faith. but the vocal minority causes problems for everyone.

2 months ago 1 0 0 0

this stuff is hard, I get it. but maybe think through more angles beyond scientific expediency.

2 months ago 0 0 1 0

It’s funny how many grand notions of systematization and efficiency in metascience utterly collapse at the first complicated real world hurdle.

2 months ago 1 0 1 0

Great thread.

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