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Posts by John Horton

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#Wilmasreview
Wilma 🐢 recently got a little assistance with her grooming because she recently read a study showing that a little (text) brush-up can lead to more success when applying for a job.

In their study, @emmawiles.bsky.social, Zanele Munyikwa, and @johnjhorton.bsky.social test...
1/🧡

10 months ago 2 1 1 0
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'Whit' Diffie Erasure! Why human-provided structure improves AI answers to research questions, with examples.

'Whit' Diffie Erasure!
blog.expectedparrot.com/p/whit-diffi...

11 months ago 3 0 0 0
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🚨 New paper alert, with @johnjhorton.bsky.social! Using an experiment run on a large online labor market, we provide evidence that providing employers access to an AI-written first draft of a job post harms the efficiency of the market.

emmawiles.github.io/storage/jobo...

1 year ago 95 28 8 2
Trump as grim reaper, w/ all the companies he's ran into the ground. We're next.

Trump as grim reaper, w/ all the companies he's ran into the ground. We're next.

1 year ago 6 0 0 0

arrogant...but he's got a lot to be arrogant about. His documentation is way, way better than mine.

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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gave Claude Code (wow!) some work to do writing documentation. It fixed up a file "survey.py" then got interrupted and lost the context. When it went back, it started again with "survey.py" and said...

1 year ago 1 0 1 0
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Models you can run on @expectedparrot.bsky.social (w/ just one key); we also hit each one daily to make sure it's not deprecated/down and create this report: www.expectedparrot.com/getting-star...

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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With E[P] you can run jobs locally using your own API keys for LLMs, or use our key which comes with $25 in credits. Toggle on "help me" and we'll dig into any issues with your surveys and experiments and help you fix them!

1 year ago 3 2 1 0

Thanks! cc: @expectedparrot.bsky.social LMK if you want any help using it - the use case you described above is *exactly* what motivated us

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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Call for submissions: Metascience and AI postdoctoral fellowship | Alfred P. Sloan Foundation Our mission is to make the world a better place through the advancement of scientific knowledge.

Sloan Foundation announced a program to support postdocs in philosophy, sociology, and metascience who want to understand how AI will affect science.

Pass it along to anyone who might be interested, the Institute for Complex Social Dynamics might be interested in hosting

sloan.org/programs/dig...

1 year ago 79 69 1 5
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πŸŽ‚ @johnjhorton.bsky.social

1 year ago 9 2 2 0

Indeed! Cc: @expectedparrot.bsky.social

1 year ago 1 0 0 0

Nice! Do you already have the transcripts of the podcasts?

1 year ago 1 0 3 0
Expected Parrot

Or if you want to do text analysis www.expectedparrot.com/content/john...

1 year ago 2 0 0 0
Expected Parrot

What do you want to do w/ AI? I probably can help!

E.g., if you're say, working with old records, this NB might be of interest: www.expectedparrot.com/content/john...

1 year ago 3 0 2 0
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Two contrasting agent perspectives on DOGE:

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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Creating two personas

1 year ago 0 0 1 0
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Extracting succinct descriptions of the policy

1 year ago 0 0 1 0
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Economic content of the speech last night (w/ GPT-4o & @expectedparrot.bsky.social ) 1/ NB:
www.expectedparrot.com/content/john...

1 year ago 2 0 1 0
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Note that I can parameterize the valuations the players have with a 'scenario' & that I can launch a bunch of different valuation scenarios easily:

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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Using skip-logic & piping to implement bilateral bargaining in github.com/expectedparr... Notebook here: www.expectedparrot.com/content/john...

1 year ago 0 0 1 0

I was there first before that no talent ass clown bought it & was hoping he’d just give up and sell it

1 year ago 2 0 0 0

I just posted the exact same thing on twitter and here & got way more engagement here despite having probably 7x the followers. Twitter really is cooked huh?

1 year ago 5 0 2 0

oh and welcome to BlueSky @expectedparrot.bsky.social !

1 year ago 3 0 0 0

For researchers/social scientists - the so-what here is you can potentially do very complex data-labeling flows (EDSL also supports skip-logic) w/o having to write a bunch of ad-hoc procedural code

1 year ago 3 0 1 0
Expected Parrot

That's it!

EDSL is open source w/ an MIT license.

Notebook w/ EDSL code: expectedparrot.com/content/b068...
The resultant data from this run: expectedparrot.com/content/d156...
Oh, and here's the data in report format: www.expectedparrot.com/content/0f05...

1 year ago 1 0 1 0
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EDSL uses these jinja2 templates + variables to figure out the right order for questions to be run in - it makes the API calls as parallel as possible

1 year ago 1 0 1 0
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Then, we have the survey. It has a bunch of named questions corresponding to the parts of the original prompt. They are all free text. Note the 'piping' of answers to earlier question to later questions:

1 year ago 0 0 1 0
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First, we go get the Senators from Claude - by using a QuestionList, we know we'll get back a list

1 year ago 1 0 1 0

This is very cool & the point is push the model to its limits, but specifying this kind of complex flow is quite easy with github.com/expectedparr... - short thread 1/n

1 year ago 5 1 1 0