Advertisement · 728 × 90

Posts by Russell Degnan

I think you are underestimating how much 6km/h is in this context. Consider it in min/km... almost every network here is between 3 and 4 min/km. Toronto is at 5.5.
That said, the inner core of the Melbourne network is close to that speed so better to do comparisons on sections rather than routes

1 week ago 1 0 0 1

There aren't a lot of global shipping chokepoints, but most of the nations bordering the ones that are would notice $40-200b a year in shared revenue.
Once this sort of precedent is established it isn't clear why other nations wouldn't take notice.

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
Percent of weekly earnings for a variable home loan taken out at different times. There is a large variation at the start of loans that declines over time. Recent loans are historically high at the mid point of the loan

Percent of weekly earnings for a variable home loan taken out at different times. There is a large variation at the start of loans that declines over time. Recent loans are historically high at the mid point of the loan

Cumulative prevent of weekly earnings for different 30 year loans. The sum of the previous graph. Other than 1989 recent loans are consuming a lot more income.

Cumulative prevent of weekly earnings for different 30 year loans. The sum of the previous graph. Other than 1989 recent loans are consuming a lot more income.

There graphs were pre-covid and for Australia which has some differences re housing but the general shape will be the same.
The big change was loans from the 90s got cheaper over time, though that first 5 years dominates the cumulative spend.

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

There is a prevailing view that this is impossible to reverse that I don't agree with. Pretty much every growing US city has a big university driving it.
Given it is a largely government funded industry with strong ancillary connections and a mobile (immigrant) population there is a lot we could do

2 weeks ago 2 0 1 0

Plenty of people pretending to be rescues hoarding cats around though. What typically happens is the RSPCA cracks down. Usually after an outbreak of some disease. Rescues then take on the burden they have created to avoid mass euthanasia.

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

Oh, always. It's called Foster Fail. But they typically stop fostering after that. We don't keep accumulating cats with one carer and if someone does get a bunch of cats it will be a temporary emergency arrangement.

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

It's complex. There is a kitten season so we have more/younger cats through Oct-Apr but also more per carer.
We also have been growing the number of foster carers which is what dictates intake capacity.
The number of cats we get asked to help with is 5-10x what we can do sustainably.

1 month ago 1 0 1 0
Advertisement

Reforms are coming but speaking as someone who runs a cat rescue, it has a weird dynamic of being grossly under-regulated at State level and highly over-regulated at council level.

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

I agree for a slightly different reason. I think the ALP/LIB drop is real but people are reluctant to say "other".
I think a lot of seats look like Calwell on election day.
And a lot of 2-2-1-1 Senate results.

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

In a DD the Greens are the biggest beneficiary I think, as they go from around 1.3-1.5 quotas to 1.5-1.7 while the others are floating about 3.8-4.0 (from 3.5-3.7). Quotas are very sensitive to major party vote in a larger DD though
Guessing: ALP 26 LIB 24 ONP 24 GRN 10 IND 2 (plus 4 ?)

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

By my estimate, an existing half-Senate election is very favourable and likely to be 2 ALP 1 GRN 3 LIB/ONP across every state (excl TAS)
Increasing to 7 senators would very likely end up 2 ALP 1 GRN 2 LIB 2 ONP (on current numbers) as the independents just can't collate that much vote.

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

Based on where polls are at in a DD: ALP has 20, LIB 18, ONP 18, GRN 6, IND 2 and 12 are uncertain and could go any of 5 ways.
Trading a Senate they can negotiate with LIB or GRN for one the ALP must go through ONP or LIB in would be an interesting tactic.
And not as fun as you'd hope

1 month ago 2 0 1 0

Going that early would necessitate a half senate election the following year. Unless it was a double dissolution but that could be a bad idea on a sub 30 primary.
The ALP's desire to hurt the Greens over any other priority aside, Oct 27 is basically the earliest date

1 month ago 3 0 1 0

The outcome of the referendum on preferential voting in the UK in 2011 was an early sign that they shouldn't have referendums.

1 month ago 3 0 0 0

It also doesn't make a voter more influential, since the increase in MPs reduces the local member's parliamentary influence (the UK being a good example of irrelevant representation)

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

Compared to most places, Australia is more centralised, more urbanised and more highly concentrated in a few places. Housing here follows very closely to an income distribution where everyone pays ~30% of their income on housing over their lifetime.
Both of those things are bad for various reasons.

2 months ago 2 1 0 0
Advertisement
Post image

A few years ago I looked at population projections in historical planning documents against actual growth and it was incredible how far off the estimates are in terms of timing (both above and below, but in recent times almost always below)

2 months ago 0 0 0 0

Yes, or if you were in Russia's pocket and wanted to remove the ability of Europe to use it as a base in some future Russo-Euro war.

3 months ago 0 0 0 0

Trying to work out how the author of that piece thinks China can assert anything onto Greenland. There is a fair chunk of dominoes between the two.

3 months ago 1 0 1 0
Post image

It took two years (with other projects in between) but I've finished 44,703 stitches of DMC 162 — Very Light Blue that make up all the waterways on my 20-inch wide cross stitch map of the NYC subway system.

If I never touch another skein of 162 again it'll be too soon

3 months ago 230 30 8 0

Can't choose one:
Sun Tzu's Art of War
Sensible World of Soccer
Syndicate War
Summer Games II / Winter Games

3 months ago 0 0 0 0

I don't see how we are 15 years into the twitter experience and 40 years the social media experience and still haven't reckoned with the attention of a person being the ultimate currency.
The primary aim should be to up the signal over the noise.
You should be able to read the comments!

3 months ago 2 0 0 0

Want to start a new account to abuse someone? Yeah, bad luck. Want to be the 100th person on a dogpile? Gonna cost you. Want to reply to someone getting thousands of messages a day? Make it worthwhile
Being able to connect to anyone is great. Being connected to everyone in a costless way. Not great

3 months ago 0 0 1 0
Advertisement

The cost of writing a reply should be the sqrt of that accounts followers (settable)
That cost should double every 20 replies (also settable at a post level). To make it costly to dogpile and reduce reading load
The reply cost would not apply if the OP follows the responder, or if they write a reply

3 months ago 0 0 1 0

Replying shouldn't be free. In a monetary sense, yes, but not in a social cachet sense.
Users should get credits equivalent to their follower count (no I don't have many followers, but I am not writing to randoms either)
Credits should increase with original content, monitored for spam (duplicates)

3 months ago 0 0 1 0

Bluesky emulated the structure of twitter, and is now speedrunning the dystopian social adjustment. And it is a bit better, but most of the solutions are only applicable after someone has been dogpiled or abused on the regular.
I have a preferred solution...

3 months ago 0 0 1 0
A screenshot from Rick Astley's Never Gonna Give you up music video

A screenshot from Rick Astley's Never Gonna Give you up music video

A screenshot from Rick Astley's Never Gonna Give you up music video

A screenshot from Rick Astley's Never Gonna Give you up music video

A screenshot from Rick Astley's Never Gonna Give you up music video

A screenshot from Rick Astley's Never Gonna Give you up music video

A photograph of the seminary gym in knives out. It has the same window.

A photograph of the seminary gym in knives out. It has the same window.

Just watched the new Knives Out and I think it's really important you know that the scene in the Seminary's Gym is filmed in the same place Rick Astley filmed the music video for Never Gonna Give You Up.

I saw the window tracery and immediately made my friends pause the film so I could tell them.

3 months ago 29011 7342 429 528
Large Painted Lady details. Also a Wild or Wavy Gladiolus

Large Painted Lady details. Also a Wild or Wavy Gladiolus

According to the plant app I have. A Large Painted Lady. South African origin.

4 months ago 1 0 1 0

The other big thing seemingly forgotten is that once you accept that restrictions are ok, you accept the risk that people you disagree with might make those restrictions.

4 months ago 1 1 1 0

"Okay but do you have any proof it was Manute's? I feel like this could've been anyone's warm-up."

4 months ago 1850 195 39 8