#polisky share far and wide: @apsa.bsky.social Statement on the Proposed Elimination of the Social, Behavioral, and Economic Sciences Directorate at the National Science Foundation
apsanet.org/wp-content/u...
And as many of us posted before the reprieve, the maybe-deal doesn’t change the fundamentals of the conflict. So it is either accepting the losses, which might get bigger given Iranian leverage and demands, or back to war in 2 weeks.
CNN reporting that Iran launched attacks on Israel and the UAE during or immediately after Trump’s address.
In all seriousness... what did that achieve? what was the point of putting the president on TV, if he had nothing new to say? "Suck it up, it hasn't taken as long as Vietnam" is not as heartening as the White House seems to think.
there's no making sense of that. it was pure flailing. there is no strategy. there is no endgame. he has no idea how to get out of what he's done.
this is just like his war plan ... without purpose, incoherent, and possibly never-ending...
With reported shortages of interceptors and more US troops moving into the region…
Every time he says this re-indicts his cabinet of fools and the incompetence of his purged bureaucracy
My latest on the Iranian threat to the Strait of Hormuz in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/hormuz-...
"Top Trump officials acknowledged to lawmakers during recent classified briefings that they did not plan for the possibility of Iran closing the strait in response to strikes."
www.cnn.com/2026/03/12/p...
Well, there it is. Mines laid by small boats.
Turns out Grok didn't include a lot of stuff in the war plans that it drafted for Hegseth and Rubio.
This is going to be politically toxic to the US-ROK alliance under a progressive administration in Seoul: South Korea took the brunt of PRC sanctions for this deployment back in 2016-2017, only to have assets relocated for a war of choice in the Middle East that threatens its energy security.
This is a technical story with stunning strategic implications. It is quite possible the US launched a massive war because Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff lacked the technical expertise to even understand what the Iranians were offering in negotiations. Absolute idiocy.
www.ms.now/news/trump-i...
I know our expectations for this administration are in the basement but it is INSANE they started a war without a plan for the Strait of Hormuz.
NEW piece from me @goodauth.bsky.social on the disastrous consequences of Trump and Rubio dismantling U.S. diplomacy. Managing the Iran War will be much harder; so will picking up the pieces. Diplomacy is a tool of war AND of peace.
(Loosely based on thread below.)
goodauthority.org/news/trump-a...
wti 107
The Trump administration put out a $20 billion plan to insure tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. It promised US Navy escorts for civilian ships trying to pass through. It assured us any Iranian threat was all-but-over.
The market's reaction, so far, to these measures:
Definitive summary from @profsaunders.bsky.social of the infuriating and tragic destruction of America’s global role & powers by the Trump Admin, and its impact on the world in this terribly fraught time. 👇
Raising the costs that Iran is willing to incur and cutting off your only hope to be able to claim some sort of victory short of occupying the country … genius!
🧵Cans of Worms possibly opened by Trump's war of choice in Iran, a running list:
(not exhaustive, with the caveat that I am not an expert on the region so these are questions from a US foreign policy perspective, please add others) 1/?
This should end well.
May I humbly suggest we dial back the hyper-fixation on how long the administration says war will last. No one ever knows because war is unpredictable & adversary gets a vote. Where the administration should be hammered is on the incoherent explanation of why they started the war in the first place.
Keep hearing commentators/Hegseth saying a version of "this is not Iraq, we are not doing nation-building, it's a decapitation, the people will handle it."
That's what Iraq 2003 was supposed to be! Nation-building, de-Baathification, disbanding of Iraqi army, it all came *after* things went wrong.
Quick reactions after learning that no, nobody could stop him. 1/ goodauthority.org/news/trump-m... 1/
So he's definitely going to bomb Iran. (Not even really kidding)
This. Constraint and accountability for using military force start closest to home. Advisers and members of the president’s party. Doesn’t have to be a vote, doesn’t have to be public. But there’s no constraining without it. War is an Insiders’ Game.
NATO allies setting up a trip wire to deter the US from invading Greenland.
www.newsweek.com/greenland-ge...
