good growth figure this morning is more likely a swallow than a summer...

How much more North Sea oil and gas could be extracted by the UK?

& what direct impact might this have on UK energy prices?

Some relevant data.

Thread 🧵...1/17

Analogy chosen for the Arsenal fan in the house.

meh inflation in feb is the best we'll see for a while.

to the nearest 20.

Written questions and answers - Written questions, answers and statements - UK Parliament Information from UK Parliament on written questions & answers, written statements and daily reports.

Prompted by a query on this line in a PQ from Anthony Reuben.

"Figures have been rounded to 10 for presentational purposes. Numbers ending in 5 have been rounded to the nearest multiple of 20 to prevent systemic bias."

questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-ques...

Rounding reminder - to the nearest whole number:

0.5 = 0
1.5 = 2
2.5 = 2
3.5 = 4.....

Don't @ me. @ the IEE754 and round to the nearest even number.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IEEE_754

Has there been a Christian revival among young adults in the U.K.? Recent surveys may be misleading Despite the widely recognized decline of Christianity in the U.K., there have been persistent rumblings of a Christian resurgence.

The LFS may have its failings, but it still beats opt-in data on faith among young adults.

pewrsr.ch/4bbNh8N

VAT banter. Niche audience but I’m in that niche so I’m here for it

@louisashworth.bsky.social

Solar's not the biggest renewable in Britain but it drove last year's rise to record renewable generation.

From @beckydale.bsky.social @markpoynting.bsky.social & Jess Carr's

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

I only managed two episodes of it in a fit of enthusiasm.

Has anyone seen a good stats analysis of The Traitors?

Figure 1: The Rothman-Dahly Evidence Pyramid (original version) An equilateral triangle with a small blue section labelled "Thoughtful, well-conducted studies of any design" at the top, with the remaining space colored red and labelled "The other shit"

‪It has a name now 😜

Many thanks to Ken for agreeing to put his good name to my...artwork. The image is in the public domain (CC 0), but citations to the linked documents are warmly welcomed.

✅ zenodo.org/records/1808...

✅ pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/24452418/

You remember that Nature Aging paper about how multilingualism protects against accelerated aging? Well…

40k small boat crossings so far this year is
- second highest on record
- less than half of asylum claims*
- about 5% of immigration*

*July '24 - June '25, latest figs

More on BBC's migration tracker: bit.ly/4rVv595

The UK economy is not nearly as bad as you’ve been told A huge pessimistic bias in our national accounts leads us to doom and gloom which turns out to be nonsense

*The truth is that a huge pessimistic bias in our national accounts has led us to be fed with contemporary reports of doom and gloom, which subsequently turn out to be nonsense"
. giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @chrisgiles.ft.com

Record* life expectancy for women in the UK.

*by 0.01 years.

The Commons Library is recruiting a housing policy researcher!

As ever: highly recommended workplace, great people, interesting work, etc etc. Apply!

housesofparliament.tal.net/vx/mobile-0/...

Record low murder rate in England and Wales

Stats in the Wild - Maths Week Scotland This set of bespoke evidence-based resources are for exploring statistics using outdoor maths.

We would love to hear your thoughts on our new set of maths teaching resources, developed in partnership with @mathsweek.scot
Please share widely! @robertcuffe.bsky.social @rssedinburgh.bsky.social @rss-teach.bsky.social #MathsWeekScot

Your banknote redesign ideas - from British Bulldogs to Basil Fawlty The Bank of England wants views on themes for its next series of banknotes, and BBC readers are full of ideas.

Surely should be a portrait of Notey McNoteface?

British Bulldogs to Basil Fawlty - your banknote redesign ideas www.bbc.com/news/article...

Strong +1. Civil service statisticians made excellent technical contributions to recent UK Statistics Assembly.

UK's data agency has 'deep seated' issues, review finds

ONS will reallocate ~10m worth of FTE to fix core econ stats
National Stato job will be split into two: technical + running org
Govt will look at the legislation defining roles and governance of UK stats

www.bbc.com/news/article...

I’m a statistician who has to write data as a singular. Don’t get me started on style guides….

Grammar, spelling and punctuation

House style is to write with some lower case if you can pronounce it as a word: NHS but Nafta.

www.bbc.co.uk/newsstylegui...

Among the new BBC editorial guidelines taking effect in September is an expanded chapter on stats, data, polls and surveys

www.bbc.co.uk/editorialgui...

Trump tariffs live updates: EU says 'major blow to world economy' as China vows retaliation The US president announces a 10% tariff on all imports, with further measures targeting countries the White House call the

Looks like the left hand col is an size of trade deficit with a country (relative to total imports from that country).

www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/c1...

Trump says that there’s a “minimum baseline tariff” of 10% being applied.

Both UK and Singapore are alleged to be imposing 10% tariffs on US (left had col). Unusually, the rate US will charge is not half that but is 10%.

Says US tariffs are set at half the tariffs (including non-tariff trade barriers) that those countries impose on US.