burn after reading "what did we learn, Palmer?"

A party that is resolutely anti-bourgeois while being staffed and supported by the bourgeoisie is an intriguing and inevitably impossible strategy.

Anyway good luck attracting those Reform voters who hate you.

Matt Goodwin’s academic project was debunked as ‘total garbage’ Reform’s Gorton & Denton by-election candidate left a right-wing think tank ‘with his tail between his legs’ when work was exposed, sources tell The Times

Another story from Gorton & Denton...

Automating awareness, digitizing dissemination: the radical right research robot as a template for (political) science communication in a fragmented social media landscape Over the last 15 years, social media have become an integral part of the science infrastructure. The emergence of ‘Science Twitter’, the collective of scholars active on the platform now known as ‘...

2025 open acces {#tbp|#ThrowBackPaper): The Radical Right Research Robot: a model for political science comms on splintered social media #radicalright @rrresrobot.bsky.social 🤖

The Economic Costs of Brexit on the UK | Econofact Brexit has had a substantial economic impact on the United Kingdom, with adverse effects on investment, productivity, employment, and growth.

New economic research: "We estimate that by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time."

Killing the CIA World Factbook might seem like small potatoes, but it was a touchstone of curated facts in a sea of disinformation.

Drugs policy approach needs to change, Zack Polanski says The Green Party leader of England and Wales says there needs to be a

Drug laws have never stopped people from using drugs.

They've stopped people from using drugs safely.

It's time to legalise *and* regulate.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Coming out in June.

(when @casmudde.bsky.social & I will be presenting it at the @ces-europe.bsky.social conference in Dublin)

Life is stranger than fiction

Convergence, radicalisation, or ideological sorting? Exploring alignment patterns between radical and centre-right voters in Italy Alliances between centre-right and radical right parties in Western Europe have elicited varied responses and strategic adaptations depending on the national context. In this respect, Italy present...

And since it’s Christmas… 🎄✨
Grab your free copy here! 📄👇
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/KIZ5C...

Nonetheless, our study offers a complete account of how the relative weight of ideological and immigration attitudes reshaped voting probabilities inside Italy’s right-wing coalition — suggesting ideological sorting rather than contagion.

❗Limitations: In this study we rely on cross-sectional data. Panel data for the Italian electorate are limited in scope and depth, meaning we cannot track inter-individual change (i.e., radicalisation) and must rely on aggregate proxies. Moreover, we cannot and don't make any causal claim.

Examining the coalition reveals a mechanism: Anti-immigration voters previously voted for moderate parties, and then moved towards radical ones. This indicates a form of ideological sorting rather than a clear radicalisation of the centre-right electorate as a whole.

The correlation between ideological self-placement and voting choice did not increase linearly over time. For the electorate of the moderate-right-dominated coalition, being on the right has long mattered, and it remains almost equally important under today's radical-led coalition.

Anti-immigration sentiment has gained explanatory power, especially in 2022. These attitudes have become a stronger and more independent from ideological self-placement – this growth wouldn’t appear without controlling for left-right self-placement.

We expected two forces to increasingly shape coalition support over time:
- stronger right-wing ideological identification,
- and growing anti-immigration attitudes.

If both were rising, this would point toward a radicalisation of the coalition’s electorate. But we find a more complex picture.

From left to right: Giorgia Meloni, Matteo Salvini and Silvio Berlusconi.

Italy is a unique case in Europe: since the mid-1990s, radical and centre-right parties have governed together repeatedly, and since 2018 the balance of power has flipped — the radical right now dominates the coalition.

New Publication out! 🔥 Italy’s right-wing politics has changed dramatically over the past two decades. With @gippone.bsky.social and @leonardo-puleo.bsky.social we started from a basic question: Why has the radical right surged inside Italy’s right coalition? Radicalisation or something different?

Marginalia: A guide to figuring out what the heck marginal effects, marginal slopes, average marginal effects, marginal effects at the mean, and all these other marginal things are | Andrew Heiss Define what marginal effects even are, and then explore the subtle differences between average marginal effects, marginal effects at the mean, and marginal effects at representative values with the ma...

Nice post! About the R situation, I would take a look at this other one - www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2022/05...

Sanseito moves to forge relations with right-wing forces overseas | The Asahi Shimbun: Breaking News, Japan News and Analysis Sanseito, which advocates a “Japanese First” policy, continues to look beyond the nation’s borders to expand its influence and ride the wave of “anti-globalism” sentiment with other right-wing forces.

If only there was a catchy name for an international coalition of #farright actors 👇

Brahmani is presenting "Is there anything Left?: A Global Analysis on Changes in Engagement with Political Content on Twitter in the Musk Era" (journalqd.org/article/view...).
Joint work with @rosanavarrete.bsky.social and @giucarny.bsky.social

Last day at @ic2s2.bsky.social #IC2S2 and time for an @i2sc.net group photo with @brahmaninutakki.bsky.social, @ethel-mensah.bsky.social and @jianlongzhu.bsky.social.

Find Brahmani and Ethel at posters #21 and #93 today. Jianlong presented yesterday.

Thank you for everything, Ozzy. 🖤

Realignment within the right field: competition between the mainstream right and the far right Advanced democracies have seen the emergence of a new cleavage between universalism and particularism. While alignments to the new left and the far right – at the extremes of the cleavage – are hig...

Right-wing electorates across Europe are becoming more... Italian?

doi.org/10.1080/0140...

“The middle”

Attitudes toward Political Authoritarianism in Economically Advanced Democracies Cambridge Core - Politics: General Interest - Attitudes toward Political Authoritarianism in Economically Advanced Democracies

Our Element is out! 🎉

Why do authoritarian-leaning leaders target women’s and LGBTQ+ rights? Is there a systematic pattern that reaches beyond individual country cases, and how is this reflected in people’s attitudes and societal norms?

www.cambridge.org/core/element...

A three-panel comic from Poorly Drawn Lines. The comic features cartoon birds, two with detailed faces and one represented as a grey, featureless shape with a tie. Panel 1: Two birds are talking. One says, “Welcome to work. You’ll spend your time here in two ways: overwhelmed and underwhelmed.” The other asks, “Is there a third option?” Panel 2: The grey bird responds, "Well, there's 'whelmed,' but I'm not sure if that's a word." Panel 3: The grey bird looks thoughtful and then simply says, "So no." The comic’s website, "poorlydrawnlines.com," is visible in the bottom right corner.

Induction for the new postdoc #AcademicChatter #PoorlyDrawnLines

Abstract of the article "The role of key European issues in the 2024 election campaign" by Alex Hartland, Daniela Braun, Giuseppe Carteny, Rosa M. Navarrete and Ann-Kathrin Reinl. Published online first in West European Politics.

Figure 3, displaying the effects of EU polity (left panel), environment (middle panel), and migration (right panel).

Figure 4, displaying the PTVs by most important issue, manifesto salience and individual variables for nine countries.

Figure 5, displaying pooled model interactions. Salience EU policy (left panel), Salience Environment (middle panel), and Salience migration (right panel).

@alexhartland.bsky.social Daniela Braun @giucarny.bsky.social @rosanavarrete.bsky.social & @annreinl.bsky.social observe a gap between the concerns of citizens & the issues political parties emphasise.

doi.org/10.1080/0140...

Part of the Symposium "European Parliament Elections 2024"