It is most true,1 our study did observe But a selected few; and that this subpart Could from the broader population swerve, Our estimate thus might from truth depart. It is most true, what we with stats compute, Confounded is, whence truth cannot be carved; Adjustment helps, still we do not dispute Some bias stands; of real truth we are starved. True, who was exposed is cloaked indeed, Whereof our measure can be but a shade, That “Treated” were dosed is not guaranteed; True, on earth are no firm deductions made, Skeptics might thus our conclusions reject; True; and yet true, we hope we are correct. Stephen J. Mooney Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

journals.lww.com/epidem/fullt...

Designing Causal Diagrams for Theoretical Reasoning and Measurement. Visualisations from Life-Course Research - KZfSS Kölner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) have become popular as graphical representations of causal relationships. In practice, DAGs have proven to be particularly helpful for selecting appropriate control vari...

Nice paper by Steffen Hillmert on how to use causal diagrams for theory formulation, e.g. in life course research:

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Do researchers share their code upon request? Does running their orginal code on the original data produce the original results? We provide evidence in a new Royal Society Open Science publication. Studying more than 1,000 articles which use data from the European Social Survey, we find that... 🧵

I have only just started the book, but relational inequality theory seems to offer something on this.

I feel like the lack of evidence accumulation is, if anything, worse in sociology. If "other fields" = natural sciences, then I would argue that the social sciences are far more likely to get their topics dictated by their research objects which moreover are moving targets.

"Das wäre ein Durchbruch"

Die Bildungsökonomin Kerstin Schneider über den Forschungsdatengesetz-Entwurf, offene Baustellen und neue Chancen für evidenzbasierte Politik.

Im Wiarda-Blog: www.jmwiarda.de/blog/2026/02...

Studying what facilitates career transitions across sectors through a field experiment analyzing two programs. Tech jobs increase by 15 percentage points with mentoring and by 11 percentage points when workers create portfolios, from Susan Athey and Emil Palikot www.nber.org/papers/w34750

Foundations of causal inference - Isaac Newton Institute This workshop is about the foundations of causal inference. We will have talks on the main ideas in the field, including current debates, critiques, and new...

Really looking forward to attending this Foundations of Causal Inference workshop at the Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences in Cambridge next week. Looks like a great group to learn from!

www.newton.ac.uk/event/CIFW01/

link 📈🤖
Marginal Interventional Effects (Zhou, Opacic) Conventional causal estimands, such as the average treatment effect (ATE), capture how the mean outcome in a population or subpopulation would change if all units were assigned to treatment versus control. Real-world policy changes, however,

Geese - Cobra (Official Audio) YouTube video by Geese

The new album of his band Geese has some great songs: www.youtube.com/watch?v=y3ud...

Are you aware of this article?

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

The Science of Visual Data Communication: What Works - Steven L. Franconeri, Lace M. Padilla, Priti Shah, Jeffrey M. Zacks, Jessica Hullman, 2021 Effectively designed data visualizations allow viewers to use their powerful visual systems to understand patterns in data across science, education, health, an...

I'm surprised I only came across it now, but this review on improving communication in data visualization is excellent.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

I'm facilitating a causal inference reading group next semester for Sociology PhD students. (I will also be learning!) If there are (1) pedagogical articles or (2) empirical examples in soc that you ❤️, will you share in the comments? [And please RT to help me crowd-source!]

I hope working papers are fine:

doi.org/10.31219/osf...
osf.io/x4526_v1/
arxiv.org/pdf/2507.01517

Causal Mediation Analysis Cambridge Core - Research Methods In Sociology and Criminology - Causal Mediation Analysis

Something to look forward to 🤩: www.cambridge.org/core/books/c...

Life satisfaction mostly declines with age. Previous findings (esp. the famous U-shaped age-SWB trajectory) were artifacts of misspecified models. doi.org/10.1093/esr/...

If you want to read the review paper by @jenniebrand.bsky.social , Hyunjoon Park, and Michelle Jackson about recent trends in social stratification and mobility. Please check out the paper 👇 #ASA #ISA #RSSM

drive.google.com/file/d/1bgkT...

Understandable, but he is a German philosopher.

Judging by 26., you might enjoy "Moralspektakel". There are tons of podcast/YouTube interviews with him about the book.

Have you read "Moralspektakel" by Hübl?

I can recommend the slides by Brüderl & Ludwig (www.ls3.soziologie.uni-muenchen.de/studium-lehr...) and by Fan Li (chapters 8 & 9: www2.stat.duke.edu/~fl35/Causal...)

Reads like a updated version of the causal description vs. causal explanation distinction in Shadish, Cook & Campbell (2002).

DIW Berlin: Researcher (f/m/x)

We are hiring a 3-year postdoc for the ERC-funded WEALTHTRAJECT project at DIW Berlin. More details here: www.diw.de/sixcms/detai...

Can't wait for the Marvel movie

New paper with @gaiaghirardi.bsky.social just out in Demography!
🔗 read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...

Here’s a short thread on what we found—and why it might be worth a look.

‼️2nd update of MZ-SUF-Panel 2016-19 linking tool‼️Thanks to a user feedback we found an error in the tool and now have uploaded a corrected version of the linking tool. You can find the documenting GESIS paper and the do-file on our MISSY page www.gesis.org/en/missy/mat...

Divorce, Family Arrangements, and Children's Adult Outcomes Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

New NBER working paper with Andrew Johnston and Nolan Pope. We examine family dissolution, proxied by divorce (an observable breakdown), and how family circumstances and children’s outcomes change. www.nber.org/papers/w33776

Haha yes exactly! Next Wednesday they will present on common support and impact functions, so I'm already expecting another eye-opening causal inference sermon 😇
www.ls3.soziologie.uni-muenchen.de/aktuelles/fo...

Katrin Auspurg, Josef Brüderl and Lena Jost have some nice slides on this, including DAGs and coefficient plots: www.en.soziologie.uni-muenchen.de/venedig/veni...

Figure 3 in Lundberg et al. (2021) is another nice illustration.

The Job Market for Young Grads Is Flashing Red - The Ringer Last month, the unemployment rate for recent college grads surged to nearly 6 percent. Compared to the overall economy’s jobless rate, the unemployment rate for recent grads is higher now than i...

Derek Thompson has also interviewed David Deming on this: www.theringer.com/podcasts/pla...

I have a new paper out! "Should Social Insurance Programs Count as Wealth? Augmented Wealth in Research and Policy." Published yesterday in Socio-Economic Review @sasemeeting.bsky.social doi.org/10.1093/ser/...