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Posts by Timo Gnambs

In Bruges scene where Colin Farrell is pointing a gun at his head and Brendon Gleeson is also pointing a gun at Colin Farrell's head

In Bruges scene where Colin Farrell is pointing a gun at his head and Brendon Gleeson is also pointing a gun at Colin Farrell's head

Current status of the Strait of Hormuz dispute

1 week ago 32516 6539 466 305
OSF

New preprint out today (osf.io/preprints/ps...). We tested whether AI agents are actually infiltrating online surveys.

Spoiler alert: they aren't

Thread 🧵

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3 weeks ago 134 63 2 10
GESIS Fall Seminar in Computational Social Science 2026
🗓️ 31 Aug – 29 Sep 2026
📍 Mannheim or online

GESIS Fall Seminar in Computational Social Science 2026 🗓️ 31 Aug – 29 Sep 2026 📍 Mannheim or online

📣 We're excited that the program for this year’s #GESISfallseminar in Computational Social Science is out & registration is now open!

🗓️ 31 Aug – 29 Sep 2026
📍 GESIS Mannheim or online

More info at gesis.org/fallseminar. Full program & registration at t1p.de/FallSeminar2026-Program.

@gesis.org

2 weeks ago 13 13 0 2
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Podcast: "Träumen Androiden" - Sci-Fi-Klassiker mit Udo Wachtveitl Science-Fiction · Die Androiden der Firma 'Rosen‘ sind hochintelligent. Immer mehr von ihnen weigern sich den Mars-Kolonisten zu dienen und rebellieren. Der Kopfgeldjäger Rick Deckard enttarnt und töt...

www.ardsounds.de/episode/urn:...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
Still from "Planet Of The Apes"

Still from "Planet Of The Apes"

Okay guys they've gone behind the Moon so it's time for us to put our ape masks on

This is going to be HILARIOUS

2 weeks ago 2070 346 57 17

Das ist sehr krass: Laut des Anfang 2026 eingeführten Wehrpflichtgesetzes müssen alle Männer über 17 und unter 45 Jahren, die Deutschland länger als drei Monate verlassen wollen, dafür eine Erlaubnis bei der Bundeswehr einholen. WOW. Einfach so Bewegungsfreiheit massiv eingeschränkt. 1/

2 weeks ago 342 86 28 8

This shocked me

4 weeks ago 455 78 46 31
2027 Special Issue on Survey Costs | Published by Survey Practice Guest Editors: Kristen Olson, James Wagner, Jill DeMatteis, John Eltinge, Daifeng Han, Chris Jackson, Eric Rancourt

Survey people of BlueSky! Submit your papers to the @surveypractice.bsky.social Special Issue on Survey Costs by June 1. Guest edited by myself, @jameswagner254.bsky.social, Jill DeMatteis, John Eltinge, Daifeng Han, Chris Jackson, and Eric Rancourt!

www.surveypractice.org/post/3724-20...

1 month ago 3 3 0 1
NEPS Leitung mit Urkunde

NEPS Leitung mit Urkunde

🎉 Die GEBF hat heute wieder den „GEBF-Preis für die Förderung der Interdisziplinarität in der Bildungsforschung“ verliehen.
Die Auszeichnung wurde stellvertretend für das gesamte Netzwerk des NEPS an die Erweiterte Leitung des NEPS vergeben.

✨Wir freuen uns sehr!

📸 Sebastian Kissel

1 month ago 3 2 0 0
Germany does not lack talent, and it does not lack funding. But we are trapping 21st-century minds inside 19th-century academic hierarchies. We are asking brilliant young scientists to build the future of the German economy, but refusing to give them the lab space, the job security, or the scientific independence to actually do it. If we want to reclaim our place as an industrial superpower, we have to stop the rat race of trying to keep every technology and structure alive that made us successful in the 20th century. Instead, we must fix our system that pushes our most ambitious scientists away. The money is there. The talent can be there. Now, we also need the courage to fix what’s broken.

Germany does not lack talent, and it does not lack funding. But we are trapping 21st-century minds inside 19th-century academic hierarchies. We are asking brilliant young scientists to build the future of the German economy, but refusing to give them the lab space, the job security, or the scientific independence to actually do it. If we want to reclaim our place as an industrial superpower, we have to stop the rat race of trying to keep every technology and structure alive that made us successful in the 20th century. Instead, we must fix our system that pushes our most ambitious scientists away. The money is there. The talent can be there. Now, we also need the courage to fix what’s broken.

“we are trapping 21st-century minds inside 19th-century academic hierarchies.” This essay gets a lot right about problems with German science. I would add that the hierarchies and precarious contracts lead also to systemic abuse and scientific misconduct. open.substack.com/pub/realimag...

1 month ago 161 53 4 2
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BahnBet — Bet on German Train Delays Predict Deutsche Bahn delays and win. Real-time prediction markets on ICE, IC & EC train delays.

What I thought was a joke is real: you can now bet on German train delays. bahn.bet

1 month ago 197 75 15 32
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Wir suchen
🔜 ab 01.06.2026
🕑 in Vollzeit (max. E13 TV-L, 100%)
📅 Bewerbungsschluss: 15.03.2026
👉jobs.lifbi.de/Postdoc-wmd-in-der-Abtei...

1 month ago 1 1 0 0
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AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis is a quarterly journal that publishes original contributions on statistical methodology, applications, and review ...

Advances in Statistical Analysis has a call for papers on the role of multiverse analysis in statistical modelling and applications: link.springer.com/journal/1018...

Deadline is May 1st, so still plenty of time to put something together!>

2 months ago 28 12 2 1
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Confusion in gaming disorder measurement Abstract. Measurement is important for the scientific programmes of addictive behaviours. In the present study, we investigated the measurement of gaming d

First post of the year, new paper out today: we present possibly the biggest case of systematic Measurement Schmeasurement in tech use. It seems that most studies on gaming (videogame) addiction/disorder haven't measured gaming after all. This research took years, so long 🧵 doi.org/10.1098/rsos...

2 months ago 191 100 8 20

I had not heard of a "mode effect" until @georgiatomova.bsky.social invited me to be part of this paper.

If you've not heard of them either, I'm thrilled to share our introductory paper (with DAGs!) in @amjepi.bsky.social

Turns out they're really important for anyone using survey data!

2 months ago 17 5 3 0
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1/9 New blog is live! This is part 2 of a series—last time we looked at the Dunning-Kruger effect, now we are digging in to Implicit vs Explicit attitudes and the Implicit Association Test. To start, of course we need a good meme...

haines-lab.com/post/part-2-...

2 months ago 43 15 4 3

I genuinely had no idea #rstats technically has a module system.

my_module <- new.env()
source("helpers.R", local = my_module)

my_module$add(1, 2)

2 months ago 123 11 5 1
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"in particular mice methods tend to have the best performance. Despite their growing popularity, deep learning-based joint imputation methods, such as miwae, gain, miracle, and remasker consistently underperformed in our analysis." #statistics #statsky #academicsky #skystats

2 months ago 9 2 1 0
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Call for Papers: Psychometrika Special Issue - Psychometric Society Data Intensive Methods in Psychometrics

Excited to share a new call for papers for a special issue in Psychometrika focused on Data Intensive Methods in Psychometrics that I'll be guest editing with @kyliegorney.bsky.social, @jmbh.bsky.social, @leonievogelsmeier.bsky.social, and Ben Domingue: www.psychometricsociety.org/post/call-sp...

3 months ago 15 7 0 2
Waffle chart showing James Bond's weekly alcohol consumption across 12 novels. Each gold square represents one unit of alcohol. The chart is faceted by book title and year of publication, with consumption rates ranging from 52.4 units per week (Goldfinger) to 132 units per week (You Only Live Twice). Numbers labelled on each facet show the weekly consumption total.

Waffle chart showing James Bond's weekly alcohol consumption across 12 novels. Each gold square represents one unit of alcohol. The chart is faceted by book title and year of publication, with consumption rates ranging from 52.4 units per week (Goldfinger) to 132 units per week (You Only Live Twice). Numbers labelled on each facet show the weekly consumption total.

For this week's #TidyTuesday, I visualized James Bond's drinking habits across the 12 novels using a waffle chart, based on the 2013 study "Were James Bond's drinks shaken because of alcohol induced tremor?"

Code: github.com/gkaramanis/t...

#RStats #dataviz

3 months ago 23 3 0 0
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#OpenScience #ResearchIntegrity #AcademicPublishing
Preprint:
Nießen, D., Poppa, C., Daikeler, J., Silber, H., Weiß, B., & Richter, D. (2025). Actor-driven risk factors of publication bias: Opening the file drawer of two probabilistic panel surveys. PsyArXiv.
doi.org/10.31234/osf...

3 months ago 5 4 1 0
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Comparing Video-Based and Face-to-Face #Psychotherapy: A Systematic Review and Multi-Level Meta-Analysis across Mental Disorders Date Submitted: Dec 9, 2025. Open Peer Review Period: Dec 9, 2025 - Feb 3, 2026.

Reminder>> Comparing Video-Based and Face-to-Face #Psychotherapy: A Systematic Review and Multi-Level Meta-Analysis across Mental Disorders (preprint) #openscience #PeerReviewMe #PlanP

4 months ago 1 1 0 0
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Reproducibility of meta-analytic results in systematic reviews of interventions: meta-research study Objective To determine how often meta-analyses of effects of interventions are reproducible.Design Meta-research study.Setting Systematic reviews with meta-analyses of the effects of health, social, b...

“104 meta-analyses (86%) were fully reproducible, seven (6%) were not fully reproducible, and 10 (8%) had insufficient data available to attempt reproduction. ”

bmjmedicine.bmj.com/content/4/1/...

4 months ago 13 3 0 0

Got a great paper on how AI is reshaping public opinion research? Submit it to POQ's special issue on Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Survey Research!

Papers are being reviewed and accepted on a rolling basis starting now – full details here: s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/clarivate-sc...

4 months ago 3 3 1 0
GESIS Workshop
Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling
04 to 06 March 2026 | Online
Timo Gnambs (Leibniz Institute for Educational Trajectories (LIfBi))

GESIS Workshop Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling 04 to 06 March 2026 | Online Timo Gnambs (Leibniz Institute for Educational Trajectories (LIfBi))

Hidden variables in your data? 🕵️‍♀️
Find them in @tgnambs.bsky.social’s #GESISworkshop on structural equation modeling!
Build a solid #SEM foundation — from measurement models to mediation, moderation, invariance, and longitudinal SEMs, hands-on in R with #lavaan.

Info ➡️ t1p.de/Intro-SEM26

4 months ago 3 2 0 2
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*Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling* by @tgnambs.bsky.social
🗓️ 04 – 06 March 2026
🏢 Online
🌐 t1p.de/Intro-SEM26

4 months ago 0 1 1 0
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An Audit of Social Science Survey Experiments Abstract. Survey experiments have become a popular methodology for causal inference across the social sciences. We study the efficacy of survey experiment

Needed - larger samples, more realism about (the lack of) heterogeneous treatment effects:
-"less than a third of proposed hypotheses were supported... the largest predictor of positive exp. results was sample size"
-"moderation hypotheses were rarely significant"
academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...

4 months ago 84 36 4 3
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New chart from Mike Males using MTF and Pew Research data finds that trends in teen social media and smartphone use are unrelated to teen loneliness (which hasn't changed much over the years anyway aside from an unexplained dip in the 2000s).

5 months ago 20 4 0 4
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new paper by Sean Westwood:

With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research

5 months ago 777 391 41 126
Advances in Statistical Model Evaluation
Submission deadline: 31 December 2026
The Special Issue accepts theoretical, methodological, applied, and philosophically oriented research on frequentist, Bayesian, and information-theoretic advances in statistical model evaluation.

Advances in Statistical Model Evaluation Submission deadline: 31 December 2026 The Special Issue accepts theoretical, methodological, applied, and philosophically oriented research on frequentist, Bayesian, and information-theoretic advances in statistical model evaluation.

Topics of interest for this call for papers include but are not restricted to:

• Methodological advances in fit assessment, parametric bootstrapping, cross-validation, and/or other frequentist model evaluation methods

• Methodological advances in prior and/or posterior predictive model checking, specification and use of informed priors, Bayes factors, and/or other Bayesian model evaluation

• Methodological advances in minimum description length, normalized maximum likelihood, and/or other information-theoretic model evaluation methods

• Practical applications and tutorials of advanced model evaluation methods

• Philosophy of science issues underlying statistical model evaluation

• Critiques/perspectives/commentaries on statistical model evaluation

Topics of interest for this call for papers include but are not restricted to: • Methodological advances in fit assessment, parametric bootstrapping, cross-validation, and/or other frequentist model evaluation methods • Methodological advances in prior and/or posterior predictive model checking, specification and use of informed priors, Bayes factors, and/or other Bayesian model evaluation • Methodological advances in minimum description length, normalized maximum likelihood, and/or other information-theoretic model evaluation methods • Practical applications and tutorials of advanced model evaluation methods • Philosophy of science issues underlying statistical model evaluation • Critiques/perspectives/commentaries on statistical model evaluation

Announcement: I am excited to be co-editing (with Li Cai) an upcoming Special Issue of the Journal of Mathematical Psychology on "Advances in Statistical Model Evaluation." Proposals due Feb 1. Details: www.sciencedirect.com/special-issu...

Please repost!

#quantpsych #mathpsych #philsci #statsky

5 months ago 16 16 1 3