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Posts by Jack Sillin

2x2 for sure IMO. Could also say +/-1 degree but I think the idea of referring to this as something within 1deg kind of implies a 1 degree radius which obviously isn’t what you’re showing

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

One of the speakers at my local event said make some noise if this is the most important election of our lives like nah man that was ‘24 and we blew it

3 weeks ago 1 0 1 0

I’m curious if you went to a No Kings event today (as I did!) what did you think of the speakers? Good? Inspiring? Interesting? Boring? Cringe?

3 weeks ago 0 0 1 0

Feb 8-9 2013

1 month ago 2 0 1 0

Man that’s nuts even for always leaning cold

2 months ago 0 0 0 0

It’s always warmer than modeled aloft and colder than modeled at the surface in these setups

2 months ago 1 0 1 0

Seems to be a stronger warm nose than modeled… what a shock haha

2 months ago 2 0 1 0

classic case as you mentioned with the somewhat positively tilted trough. shame we couldnt get tomorrow's shortwave in here 48 hours faster haha

4 months ago 1 0 0 0

oh no! thinkin of ya man. hopefully nothing too serious

4 months ago 1 0 1 0

Stuck in Manhattan tonight but at least Maine’s cloudy too I guess

5 months ago 1 0 1 0
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Whoa those satellite images are super cool! And those era5 plots look familiar don’t they haha

5 months ago 1 0 0 0

My Ioniq 5 is awesome, I’d never go back to gas if you paid me

6 months ago 16 1 2 0
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this makes me viscerally angry. what a cool tool lit on fire for no reason

6 months ago 24 4 2 2

Some of Mamdani’s policies are good, some are bad, a few are terrible, but the way he does politics is so refreshing I would totally vote for him if I lived in NYC

6 months ago 13 1 2 0

Superensemble for sure

AI next

Recon last as tidbits and cyclonicwx already do very solid recon viewers

6 months ago 5 0 1 0

Knowing that RFK cries a little each time I get a vaccine makes it hurt a lot less

6 months ago 107 11 1 1
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You versus the TC she tells you not to worry about

6 months ago 6 3 0 0

I’d take the other side of that bet

7 months ago 8 0 0 0
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Monday. 5pm. 7th Ave from clarkson st. We looooveeeeeee congestion pricing!

7 months ago 13 1 0 0
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I like cold and snow and mountains.

I do not like heat, humidity, and insane politics

7 months ago 23 2 2 0

Following up after a weekend of observing #Erin. The real track fell on the left side of the ECMWF Ensemble guidance envelope, but near a solid cluster of members.

Only one deepmind member showed a scenario remotely similar to what actually happened.

8 months ago 45 10 3 1

What else would you be looking for?

8 months ago 1 0 1 0

Like what?

8 months ago 0 0 1 0
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This morning's ECMWF Ensemble forecast scenarios for #Erin (left) vs Google DeepMind (right).

Which do you think provides more useful information about tropical cyclone forecast uncertainty?

8 months ago 18 0 8 2

I’m glad I’m out of the (public) grand thought business haha

8 months ago 3 0 0 0

12z is also a bit of a jab at those confidently saying there’s absolutely nothing to worry about. But yeah lots of overconfidence in D7+ NWP output

8 months ago 2 0 0 0

Hardly even need the “P” based on satellite trends IMO

8 months ago 8 0 1 0
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8 months ago 1497 404 104 57