2x2 for sure IMO. Could also say +/-1 degree but I think the idea of referring to this as something within 1deg kind of implies a 1 degree radius which obviously isn’t what you’re showing
Posts by Jack Sillin
One of the speakers at my local event said make some noise if this is the most important election of our lives like nah man that was ‘24 and we blew it
I’m curious if you went to a No Kings event today (as I did!) what did you think of the speakers? Good? Inspiring? Interesting? Boring? Cringe?
Feb 8-9 2013
Man that’s nuts even for always leaning cold
It’s always warmer than modeled aloft and colder than modeled at the surface in these setups
Seems to be a stronger warm nose than modeled… what a shock haha
classic case as you mentioned with the somewhat positively tilted trough. shame we couldnt get tomorrow's shortwave in here 48 hours faster haha
oh no! thinkin of ya man. hopefully nothing too serious
Stuck in Manhattan tonight but at least Maine’s cloudy too I guess
Whoa those satellite images are super cool! And those era5 plots look familiar don’t they haha
My Ioniq 5 is awesome, I’d never go back to gas if you paid me
this makes me viscerally angry. what a cool tool lit on fire for no reason
Some of Mamdani’s policies are good, some are bad, a few are terrible, but the way he does politics is so refreshing I would totally vote for him if I lived in NYC
Superensemble for sure
AI next
Recon last as tidbits and cyclonicwx already do very solid recon viewers
Knowing that RFK cries a little each time I get a vaccine makes it hurt a lot less
You versus the TC she tells you not to worry about
I’d take the other side of that bet
Monday. 5pm. 7th Ave from clarkson st. We looooveeeeeee congestion pricing!
I like cold and snow and mountains.
I do not like heat, humidity, and insane politics
Following up after a weekend of observing #Erin. The real track fell on the left side of the ECMWF Ensemble guidance envelope, but near a solid cluster of members.
Only one deepmind member showed a scenario remotely similar to what actually happened.
What else would you be looking for?
Like what?
This morning's ECMWF Ensemble forecast scenarios for #Erin (left) vs Google DeepMind (right).
Which do you think provides more useful information about tropical cyclone forecast uncertainty?
I’m glad I’m out of the (public) grand thought business haha
12z is also a bit of a jab at those confidently saying there’s absolutely nothing to worry about. But yeah lots of overconfidence in D7+ NWP output
Hardly even need the “P” based on satellite trends IMO