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Posts by Ethan Baca

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Why OKC Thunder Are Unlikely to Nab 2025-26 Clutch Player of the Year The NBA's newest individual award, Clutch Player of the Year, was instituted in the 2022-23 season. It explicitly rewards the player who lifts their teammates t

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the NBA in clutch points (175) AND plus-minus (+93) despite sitting out 25 fourth quarters.

My preseason article that did not age well:

www.si.com/nba/thunder/...

1 hour ago 2 0 0 0

OKC: 52 paint points, 13 steals, 34 points off turnovers

PHX: 24 paint points, three steals, two points off turnovers (not a typo)

2 days ago 4 0 0 0

GAME 1 FINAL: Thunder 119, Suns 84

OKC made 12 more 2-pointers (on three more attempts)
OKC made one more 3-pointer (on seven more attempts)

OKC forced 11 more turnovers

OKC grabbed five more offensive rebounds

OKC made eight more free throws (on five more attempts)

2 days ago 4 0 0 1

END 3Q: Thunder 97, Suns 66

OKC: 15 offensive rebounds, four turnovers, 21-for-23 free throws

PHX: 12-for-33 twos, 12 offensive rebounds

SGA: 25 points (5-for-18 shooting), seven assists, zero turnovers

Jalen Williams: 18 points, six assists, six rebounds, zero turnovers

2 days ago 3 0 0 0

HALFTIME: Thunder 65, Suns 44

OKC: 15 assists/four turnovers, 17-for-28 twos, 13-for-14 free throws

PHX: Nine turnovers, 7-for-22 twos

Holmgren: 16 points, seven rebounds, four stocks

SGA: 15 points on 4-for-11 shooting, three assists

Oso Ighodaro: Seven offensive rebounds

2 days ago 2 0 0 0

END 1Q: Thunder 35, Suns 20

OKC: Seven offensive rebounds, 8-for-8 free throws

PHX: 4-for-9 twos, 3-for-12 threes

Chet Holmgren: 13 points (including buzzer-beating 3-pointer) on 83.8% true shooting, six rebounds (two offensive), two steals, one block

2 days ago 2 0 0 0

LAKERS/ROCKETS GAME 1 FOUR FACTORS

LAL made six more 2s (on 13 fewer attempts)
HOU made one more three (on 14 more attempts)

HOU forced five more turnovers

HOU grabbed 18 more offensive rebounds

HOU and LAL made 17 free throws

HOU DOMINATED possession battle but lost anyway.

2 days ago 1 0 0 0

6MOTY: Keldon Johnson

Johnson, in his seventh SAS campaign, stepped into a more selfless role and played all 82 games. He remained a productive scorer on far better efficiency, also putting up the highest offensive rebound percentage and lowest turnover percentage of his career.

5 days ago 1 0 0 0

MIP: Neemias Queta

The Portuguese pioneer registered more points, offensive rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and fewer turnovers per 100 possessions than last season. In his first season as No. 2 BOS’ starting center, they were 10.2 points/100 better with him than without him.

5 days ago 1 0 1 0

ROTY: Kon Knueppel

The CHA sharpshooter recorded better efficiency and impact metrics across the board than every other rookie. He led the NBA in made 3-pointers (273), helping the Hornets record a sizzling 121.3 offensive rating in his minutes.

5 days ago 1 0 1 0
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DPOY: Victor Wembanyama

The dominant 22-year-old improved his team’s defense by 9.7 points/100 (!!!). SAS allowed 5.4% worse true shooting percentage and 2.4% worse offensive rebound percentage with Wembanyama on the floor. He’s already one of the best anchors ever.

5 days ago 1 0 1 0

MVP: Victor Wembanyama

Why did SAS win 62 games, playing hotter than the Sun for two months straight? Why were they so difficult to stop AND so hard to score on this season? Why did they give every team in the league matchup problems? These answers all boil down to one man.

5 days ago 1 0 1 0
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Here are my 2025-26 NBA awards selections! I’m threading explanations for the top row.

Questions for the more nuanced team picks are more than welcome. For transparency, I used (actual) estimated plus-minus wins as a guideline.

5 days ago 1 0 1 0

Even as the stakes get lower — a first-round Game 7, a 9/10 play-in game — these Steph Curry performances never feel less remarkable. Savor them while you still can.

5 days ago 152 18 2 1

Here’s a Basketball starter pack full of hidden gems for the start of postseason play.

All great follows with less than 5k followers currently. Some with less than 100 followers all posting good basketball content on the number one app for sports. @bsky.app

1 week ago 15 3 0 0

Much respect, Indiana.

Somewhat related: Game 6 of last year’s Finals was the most electric sporting event I’ve ever attended. Thunder stood no chance that night.

1 week ago 0 0 1 0
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Check out the pay increases for WNBA rookies versus last year 👀

No. 1 pick salary up from $78K to $500K

1 week ago 19 7 0 4
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The Detroit Pistons were the best team in the NBA against top 10 opponents, finishing 17-7 with a +5.6 net rating in those games

The Spurs and Thunder were also above .500 in such games

1 week ago 15 3 0 2

Jokic is No. 1 in one-year RAPM (regularized adjusted plus-minus) and DARKO’s daily plus-minus.

SGA is No. 1 in DunksAndThrees’ estimated plus-minus and ESPN’s net points/100.

Wembanyama is No. 1 in BBall Index’s LEBRON.

Make no mistake: They each have very worthy cases.

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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SIX-FACTOR RAPM

Offense + defense true shooting percentage influence: Wembanyama +7.3, Jokic +6.8, SGA +5.6

Two-way turnover influence: SGA +2.7, Jokic -0.6, Wembanyama -1.2

Two-way rebounding influence: Jokic +2.8, Wembanyama +1.6, SGA -1.0

Total: Jokic +9.0, Wembanyama +7.7, SGA +7.3

1 week ago 1 0 1 0

Counting stats do not necessarily reflect impact.

I have used four factor analysis for a couple years now because team performance comes down to two-way scoring efficiency (from field goals), two-way turnovers, two-way rebounding and two-way free throw rate – in that order.

1 week ago 2 0 1 0

Numerous NBA players possess 99.9th percentile height. It’s almost necessary to enter the league, let alone dominate.

Wembanyama is significantly more mobile and significantly more well-rounded on offense than every other giant among giants throughout basketball history. Can’t use that against him.

1 week ago 8 0 0 0

Comparing three MVP candidates by unofficial criteria:

POINTS PER 100 POSSESSIONS: SGA 45.3, Wembanyama 41.2, Jokic 38.8

NET RATING: Wembanyama +16.8, SGA +16.1, Jokic +10.9

WIN PERCENTAGE: SGA 82.4%, Wembanyama 78.1%, Jokic 66.2%

Wembanyama’s also the best defender on Earth – food for thought.

1 week ago 3 0 2 0

OKC THUNDER FOUR FACTORS (82/82!)

PHX made 13 more 2-pointers (on 11 more attempts)
PHX made two more 3-pointers (on five fewer attempts)

OKC forced one more turnover

PHX grabbed four more offensive rebounds

PHX and OKC each made three free throws

FINAL RECORD: 64-18.

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

Bound to happen, no need to risk injuries with the seeding set in stone

1 week ago 1 0 1 0

OKC THUNDER FOUR FACTORS (81/82)

OKC made two more 2-pointers (on five more attempts)
DEN made seven more 3-pointers (on one fewer attempt)

OKC forced three more turnovers

OKC grabbed five more offensive rebounds

DEN made three more free throws (on one more attempt)

64-17.

1 week ago 4 0 1 0
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How OKC Thunder Can Repeat as 2025-26 NBA Champions, Part One: Regular-Season Performance This offseason, the Oklahoma City Thunder sits in one of the most enviable positions a defending NBA champion has ever experienced. The most significant factor

Thanks to another dominant regular season, OKC has positioned itself beautifully entering the 2026 NBA playoffs.

The defending champion experienced predictable record and net rating regression, but will still finish No. 1 in the NBA for each category.

www.si.com/nba/thunder/...

1 week ago 3 0 0 0

OKC, which improved to 64-16, clinched the No. 1 Western Conference seed and No. 1 overall seed tonight.

Chet Holmgren: 30 points on 86.2% true shooting, 14 rebounds (three offensive), five assists, four blocks, two steals

Isaiah Joe: 21 points on 93.8% true shooting

1 week ago 5 0 0 0

OKC THUNDER FOUR FACTORS (80/82)

OKC made nine more 2-pointers (on five fewer attempts)
LAC made one more 3-pointer (on two fewer attempts)

Both teams forced 13 turnovers

LAC grabbed four more offensive rebounds

OKC made three more free throws (on equal attempts as LAC)

1 week ago 3 0 1 0

OKC has shot 64-for-128 (50.0%) from deep in the three April games, winning by 114 combined points.

1 week ago 3 0 0 0