Why clinical trials are broken & how to fix them: a reading list — EA Forum 12 articles including 4 podcasts • EA/LW Intro: I believe clinical trial abundance could be an EA cause area - there's still a lot of disability/dise…

Why clinical trials are broken & how to fix them: a reading list

forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wsMxed...

Sweden and German intelligence agencies report that Russian official economic data is fake

www.ft.com/content/04a9...

Good news everyone, at least it's a draw!

When ChatGPT was launched, almost all users were men – but now, women are the majority

www.update.news/p/will-ai-dr...

Anthropic just passed $1 trillion in valuation on Ventuals.

OpenAI still has the most users but have fallen behind in terms of valuation.

www.update.news/p/nature-stu...

The debate over AI and jobs is too nearsighted, and should consider where we're eventually heading.

AI leaders talking about widespread automation isn't a mere marketing strategy.

www.update.news/p/growth-won...

Reminds me of when I bought War and Peace from a sidewalk stand. Quite the contrast between the humble price and appearance and the experience of reading it.

The list of Swiss constitutional amendments triggered by citizen-initiated referendums is strikingly populist.

www.update.news/p/american-c...

Incredible turnout in Hungary, especially in Magyar-voting Budapest

Magyar now 80% likely to replace Orban as PM of Hungary according to Polymarket

Anthropic overtakes OpenAI on Ventuals, a (small) market for private company valuations

American students are moving toward higher-paying college majors Links: falling suicide rates, new Emergent Ventures grants, and more

American students are moving toward higher-paying college majors

www.update.news/p/american-s...

Clinical trials today are highly bureaucratic, expensive, and time-consuming. Most trials fail to recruit enough participants to answer their questions at all.

This great post by Adam Kroetsch explains how things got this way.

www.clinicaltrialsabundance.blog/p/clinical-t...

Might AI gradually become less politically salient, like the internet? I don’t think so, since unlike the internet, AI will change drastically with time.

www.update.news/p/driverless...

😊

I think revenue extrapolation may be a bit underrated as a method for predicting transformative impact from AI.

While it certainly has its issues, I think it comes with fewer contentious assumptions than some rival methods.

Recent revenue growth speaks against very long timelines.

Why does the US take AGI more seriously than Europe? Plus: American cities see fewer births, most YC founders are under 25, and more

Why is public discourse so much more AGI-pilled in the US than in Europe? I discuss five reasons:

1. Higher AI adoption rates
2. The leading labs are in the US
3. Cultural openness to speculation
4. A thinner safety net
5. A larger public discourse

www.update.news/p/why-does-t...

Why does the US take AGI more seriously than Europe? Plus: American cities see fewer births, most YC founders are under 25, and more

Why is public discourse so much more AGI-pilled in the US than in Europe? I discuss five reasons:

1. Higher AI adoption rates
2. The leading labs are in the US
3. Cultural openness to speculation
4. A thinner safety net
5. A larger public discourse

www.update.news/p/why-does-t...

The British government tries to get Anthropic to expand in the UK

www.ft.com/content/6bfd...

Philosophers cite more empirical sources than they used to

www.update.news/i/192954532/...

The reactions to this does not reflect well on this site.

Some people need to update fast.

How smart can AI become? Plus: the US leads Europe in AI adoption, EV batteries have become 99 percent cheaper, and more

There's been a debate on how “intelligent” AIs could become, but however you define that concept, they could hugely outmatch us at manipulating the world.

www.update.news/p/how-smart-...

How smart can AI become? Plus: the US leads Europe in AI adoption, EV batteries have become 99 percent cheaper, and more

There's been a debate on how “intelligent” AIs could become, but however you define that concept, they could hugely outmatch us at manipulating the world.

www.update.news/p/how-smart-...

Yes exactly, that's what I mean

The AI safety community would benefit from more epistemic modesty.

www.update.news/p/how-to-dis...

I think it depends a bit on the nature of the project. If it's science or science-like, then the connector-based model is interesting. But I think we want activists to defer to the rest of the community, to an extent.

While social media is polarising, evidence suggests AI may nudge people towards the centre.

www.ft.com/content/3880...

Lol