Chelsea XI prediction for gw14.
Probably the hardest one to predict all season with this being the first midweek rotation for the "A" team. I think the core of the team stays the same, but 4-5 changes will be made.
Some interesting decisions on Jackson v Nkunku and what shape he'll go with...
💹 #FPL GW14 matchups
First look at projected goals and clean sheet odds for the midweek round of Premier League games, via spread betting markets
Have seen a few considering Semenyo vs. Kluivert this week for FPL and I have a bit of a crush on Bournemouth so thought I might throw a thread together. 🧵
💹 #FPL: GW13 player goal projections
First look at projected goals and clean sheet odds for the upcoming round of Premier League games, via spread betting markets
2/
You already know wealth is unequal but did you know how unequal?
On official figures, the top tenth own half of everything
The bottom three-tenths? They own 1% of all the wealth between them
1/
Wealth has raced ahead of earnings, creating a new caste society
Tax is only part of the answer: we also need a new political economy that differentiates good & bad wealth
My major new @ippr.bsky.social report: Earning Vs Owning
ippr-org.files.svdcdn.com/production/D...
Haaland is the most transferred out player with 466K and counting. Top FWD options for next 6 GWs are Isak, Watkins, and Cunha.
GW-by-GW breakdown
#FPL Optimized - Transfer Tuesday
Top 5 players in each position and price category by total projected points over next 8 gameweeks.
#FPL Optimized - Matchup Monday
(Was traveling yesterday, sharing now)
#FPLgraphics
youtube.com/shorts/vwZRd...
Bro came in and casually dropped the hardest price predictor
🤞
I ended up on a pretty off-beat strategy this season. I haven't WC'd, I used my Free Hit in GW9 and I've taken a lot of big bets against the crowd.
Some analysis of how the fuck I got here here - I don't know where I'm right/wrong tbh
Buckle up bitches it's a 🧵
Yes sir 🫡
⬆️ Joao Pedro
⬇️ Garner
All according to plan www.livefpl.net/prices
Today is the 3rd birthday of FPL Analytics Discord server 🎂
💹 #FPL GW12 matchups
First look at projected goals and clean sheet odds for the upcoming round of Premier League games, via spread betting markets
You thought we were done with the Bluesky exclusives? 🦋
By popular demand:
1. I have updated the website to add a *defenders only* npxGI vs Defence Rating option to the chart I made last week.
2. Added data popup on hover.
You can play with it here: www.elevenify.com/p/premier-le...
Updated look at spread market player goal & assist projections, for the rest of the season
Saka, Gordon, Vardy & Trent markets missing with injury doubts, but JP, Øde & Havertz back from the last update
Saka would be projecting ~11.5G/8.5A, Gordon ~8.5G/5.5A based on scaling previous GW markets
Have been thinking about takeaways from the wonderful bps podcast from @aboveaveragefpl.bsky.social and I think I have found something vaguely interesting re: forwards and the value of their first goal vs additional goals. This season forwards have 191 bonus points from 110 goals.
Finishing "snakes" that show how players score vs xG over time, covering the top scorers in the PL this season. Mo Salah has a highly variable long career that is trending slightly downwards, Erling Haaland spends more time above the average line than not, but has cooled after a fast start to 2024-25, Chris Wood did not appear to be a "good" finisher until more recently in which he has been hot, and has been for a while. Bryan Mbuemo has trended generally up across a short-ish PL career. None of this is to forecast what these players may do in the future, but is interesting to visualise and tell a story around how variable finishing rates can be.
Your (current) PL top scorers.
Long term top flight finishing trends.
Chris Wood has been hot for a while, wasn't always.
Mbuemo chart, intriguing trajectory albeit comparatively short career at top level
I was so ready to jump ship to BlueSky when the Xodus started. I hate what twitter outside of the FPL bubble has become.
This article hits the nail on the head.
Graphic showing PL teams organised into attacking tiers, based on 'projected goals per game' for the rest of the season (data source: SpreadEx)
#FPL: A look at how many goals per game spread markets are projecting each PL team to score for the remainder of the season - totally arbitrary tiers because why not 😅 (h/t @rbsdm.com)
It’s a big one!
First 50mins are the main headlines then from there we go club by club to look at who’s the likely (and unlikely) bonus recipients. Timestamps below.
Thanks to @pras-fpl.bsky.social for joining and Adam for building all the visuals. Sharing and feedback appreciated 🤍
Brighton for me, need some Van Hecke > Dunk propaganda
6-week Predicted Goal Involvement 📊
One more on-brand prediction post before you all win me over with the Bluesky video-game introduction and skyline picture trends. 🦋
Here is a guideline for how my model thinks the goal involvement will likely pan out for the top 20 over the next few weeks.
The Season Review tool is back up and running for 24/25!
A few background changes on the way to make it a bit easier to run & maintain, this will mean xG rank updates daily overnight- rather than after the final match as per last season
fplreview.com/season-review
Favourite content of the year
🚨LIVE STREAM KLAXON🚨
@bakerfpl343.bsky.social and I are BACK with our latest Bonus Points podcast asking the question...
Have FPL broken the BPS?
Joined by @pras-fpl.bsky.social we're buzzing to get in to the numbers. The data is pretty wild.
Sunday. 8.30pm (UK) -> Be There.
👉 bit.ly/FPLBPSv5
Stunning North Wales
