Provisional Atlantic #salmon catch statistics are out for Scotland. 2025 catches are likely to have been affected by extremely low summer flows. Nevertheless looking like a very poor year and possibly the worst recorded. www.gov.scot/publications... 🧪
Posts by Iain A Malcolm
The Girnock & Baddoch index sites on Aberdeenshire Dee, Scotland, support some of the longest, most detailed salmon population datasets available. Latest data here. Flow affects inter-annual variability in female numbers, declining return rate drives trends. 🧪 www.gov.scot/binaries/con...
New study: As lice pressure increased, the specific growth rate of returning fish declined. "Wild-origin fish had a greater return rate than hatchery-origin fish at all levels of lice infestation pressure, with the difference increasing with increasing pressure" academic.oup.com/icesjms/arti...
Dark forces are preventing us fighting the climate crisis – by taking knowledge hostage | George Monbiot www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Transfer of genetic material from domesticated to wild salmon populations through fish farm escapes & interbreeding, is a significant risk to wild salmon populations. Identifying this pressure in wild populations requires the use of informative markers. New paper link.springer.com/article/10.1...
We do not have deliberate and politically driven reductions in long-term govt. science programmes in the UK. Nevertheless, budgetary constraints and a requirement to focus on immediate policy and regulatory data requirements are affecting the freswater data landscape nonetheless.
From NASA to the National Institutes of Health, federal agencies conduct research that universities cannot. Agency scientists speak with Nature about the irreplaceable facilities, institutional knowledge, and training opportunities that the country is losing. 🧪
I’m delighted to share that our latest research has just been published in HESS.
We developed an unsupervised workflow to estimate river surface velocities from videos. Testing on 11,000+ videos against 274 gauging measurements showed excellent agreement.
hess.copernicus.org/articles/29/...
New paper on effects of captive rearing of Atlantic salmon on body morphology in context of stocking "Humanity often tries to engineer its way out of environmental crises. But nature isn’t easily replaced. Sometimes, the best solution is to give it the space to recover on its own" bit.ly/4oykzmy
A fantastic job opportunity for someone to work at the interface between Atlantic salmon habitat modelling and management. Cutting edge research as part of an excellent project team.
New recommendations for water regulation in England and Wales. In Scotland of course the water industry is publicly owned through Scottish Water.
7. Logger calibration & QC are critical for the reliable assessment of river temperature trends. Failure to calibrate loggers can lead to spatio-temporal biases. These principles were core to the establishment of the Scotland River Temperature Monitoring Network #SRTMN www.gov.scot/publications...
6. In the Girnock Burn, loggers deployed before March 1998 were positively biased while those deployed ca. 1998 to 2007 were negatively biased. The combined effect of these two biases is to moderate the observed temperature trends over the period ca. 1988–2010 relative to the true trend.
5. Using the bias corrected time-series it was shown that winter temperatures (December–February) were largely stable. Temperatures in other months increased non-linearly. Increases were greatest in summer (June–August) & for daily maximum temperatures, followed by daily mean and minimum.
4. We analysed trends in daily mean, max & min river temperature in the #Girnock Burn, the longest continuous sub-daily river temperature dataset in Scotland. Seasonal-Trend decomposition using Loess was undertaken on 1. raw & 2. bias corrected time-series to assess consequences for reported trends.
3. There are few long-term sub-daily river temperature time-series. These are often comprised of multiple logger/sensor combinations. Technological developments have increased memory, sampling frequency, reporting resolution, and precision of data. However, these changes can also introduce biases
2. Spatio-temporal biases can be introduced through changes in deployment location (micro-site) and methods (e.g. with or without shielding), or in the case of spot sample time-series through changes in the time or frequency of sampling. doi.org/10.1007/s102...
1. Accurate (unbiased and precise) quality controlled data are essential for understanding and monitoring trends in river temperature. However, researchers often collate and analyse data without consideration of these issues. A new 📜 & summary🧵 onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
Adult Atlantic salmon in a river
Do poor growth conditions at sea result in salmon returning to rivers to spawn at a younger or older age? New study shows that that rapid growth can lead to later maturation but maturation age can be influenced by shifts in growth during the marine migration link.springer.com/article/10.1... 🐟
An photograph of early electrofishing in the 1960s by staff from the Freshwater Fisheries Laboratory in the Girnock Burn. Three people are standing in a river wearing waders shirts and ties. Staff variously holding nets, an early example of an anode and a bucket.
13. EF data can provide accurate, catch independent estimates of abundance in rivers, provided they are collected & analysed using appropriate methods. By sampling multiple sites, assessment is possible at any scale. When combined with data on pressures this underpins evidence based management.
16 panel plot of maps showing site-wise concentrations of ammonia, nitrate, nitrite and total nitrogen. Spatial patterns persist across years suggesting that these data are valuable indicators of inter-site variability and can be used to target management action.
12. NEPS surveys provide an opportunity to characterise environmental pressures at the time of survey, including water quality and introgression. This information can be used to understand the critical thresholds and effect sizes and target management.
Four panel plot showing relationships between mean regional densities and occupancy (proportion of river network where fish are observed) for salmon and trout, fry and parr.
11. At low population densities, assessment becomes more challenging as the proportion of sites where fish are present decreases & relative inter-site variability in density increases. Occupancy provides another potential metric of population health if a suitable benchmark could be produced.
Two panel plot showing relationships between rod catches, as an indicator of adult abundance (x axis), and national estimates of mean juvenile densities (y axis) for Salmon and Trout, fry and parr. Symbols separate lifestages, colours indicate NEPS survey years. 2021 is an outlier due to the effects of covid lock downs on angling effort and thus catches.
10. At the national scale salmon fry densities varied among years with rod catch (proxy of adult abundance). This was less clear for salmon parr, due to the effects of covid lockdowns on rod catches in 2021. Trout fry densities exhibited signs of density dependence in relation to sea trout catches
Six panel plot with 3 rows and two columns. Left column shows the modelled partial effect of year on juvenile densities. Right column shows rod catches. Three rows show data for the Tweed, Dee and Spey. There are no significant trends in juvenile abundance on the Spey despite declines in rod catch, suggesting juvenile habitats remain saturated.
9. Where habitats are saturated with juveniles (NEPS Grade 1) densities would be expected to remain fairly constant over time, independent of adult numbers due to density dependent competition (see Spey below). This was explored for a small number of catchments with longer-term multi-pass EF data.
Four panel plot with Strahler river order on the x axis and mean density on the y axis. Separate plots are shown for salmon and trout, fry and parr.
8. At a national scale, Atlantic salmon densities increased with increasing Strahler river order (bigger rivers), while trout densities declined. In general, spatial patterns persisted between years shifting up or down depending on overall abundance.
3-panel plot of maps showing regional performance in salmon stocks indicating by different shades of colour. Assessments were undertaken for fry and parr and then combined (overall).
3-panel plot of maps showing regional performance in trout stocks indicating by different shades of colour. Assessments were undertaken for fry and parr and then combined (overall).
7. Within the overall pattern of poor performance there was substantial regional variability. Fish stocks were assigned a Grade of 1-3 (1 healthy, 3 unhealthy) depending on performance against benchmark & uncertainty in abundance. Separate assessments were undertaken for each species & age class.
4 panel plot comparing national salmon and trout, fry and parr densities to the benchmark (densities expected if juvenile populations were fully occupying available habitat).
6. At a national scale salmon fry (0 year old) & parr (>0 year old) juvenile densities were substantially & significantly below the benchmark indicating that available habitats are no longer fully occupied. Trout fry & parr densities were also below the benchmark, but not significantly for fry.
Multi-panel plot showing how capture probability varies with species, lifestage, pass, organisation, habitat, region and time.
5. The NEPS 2023 report updates existing capture probability (P) models for Scotland, illustrating that P varies with species, lifestage, pass, organisation, habitat, day of the year & region. Importantly there are also long-term trends in P emphasising the need for continued multi-pass data.
Schematic showing how spatial data, historical electrofishing data and the NEPS survey are brought together to assess the status (health) of salmon and trout.
4. NEPS consists of an ecosystem of spatial data, standardised sampling methods , statistical models (capture probability and expected densities) and a GRTS statistical survey. These are brought together to assess status & trends in Atlantic salmon and brown trout populations in Scotland's rivers.