🚨 New post on Substack!
📰 28/03/26 UK Projection: The Local Election Campaigns Commence
Reform's downward trajectory continues as the Greens surge and new polling illustrates the state of politics in Wales and Scotland. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/280326-uk-...
Infographic of the above data.
📊 28/03/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 272 (+267) / 25.2%
🌳CON: 87 (-34) / 18.6%
🌹LAB: 73 (-338) / 18.0%
🔶LDM: 68 (-4) / 12.7%
🌍GRN: 61 (+57) / 16.5%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 11 (+7) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 13 (+8) / 4.7%
🚨 New post on Substack!
📰 19/03/26 UK Projection: Labour Stabilises as Reform's Dominance Wanes
Weeks on from a bruising by-election defeat, Labour's position has restabilised, and Reform are losing ground as the local elections approach. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/190326-uk-...
Infographic of the above data.
📊 19/03/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 292 (+287) / 26.0%
🌳CON: 82 (-39) / 18.8%
🌹LAB: 74 (-337) / 18.4%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.3%
🌍GRN: 53 (+49) / 15.9%
🎗️SNP: 44 (+35) / 2.7%
🌼PLC: 7 (+3) / 1.1%
👥OTH: 14 (+9) / 4.8%
Infographic of the above data.
📊 12/03/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 298 (+293) / 26.3%
🌹LAB: 76 (-335) / 18.6%
🌳CON: 76 (-45) / 18.5%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 12.0%
🌍GRN: 52 (+48) / 16.0%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.8%
🌼PLC: 7 (+3) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 13 (+8) / 4.6%
🚨 New post on Substack!
📰 06/03/26 UK Projection: The Death of McSweeneyism
Labour could suffer an existential threat as the Greens pass their first electoral test under Polanski's leadership with flying colours. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/060326-uk-...
Infographic of the above data.
📊 06/03/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 322 (+317) / 27.2%
🔶LDM: 67 (-5) / 12.5%
🌳CON: 66 (-55) / 18.2%
🌍GRN: 58 (+54) / 16.3%
🌹LAB: 55 (-356) / 17.4%
🎗️SNP: 44 (+35) / 2.7%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 13 (+8) / 4.6%
🚨 New post on Substack!
📰 22/02/26 Holyrood Projection: As Reform Replace the Tories, Was Sarwar's Gamble Worth It?
Reform are forecast to form the opposition in Scotland, but as Labour trundle along, was Sarwar's reproach of Starmer worth it? 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/220226-hol...
Infographic of the above data.
📊 22/02/26 #Holyrood Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/holyrood
🎗️SNP: 64 (+1) / 28.5%
➡️RFM: 20 (+20) / 18.9%
🌹LAB: 16 (-5) / 15.9%
🌍GRN: 11 (+1) / 11.4%
🔶LDM: 10 (+6) / 9.9%
🌳CON: 8 (-23) / 11.0%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 4.5%
(Regional list vote share)
Infographic of the above data.
📊 19/02/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 313 (+308) / 27.9%
🌹LAB: 89 (-322) / 19.4%
🌳CON: 78 (-43) / 19.5%
🔶LDM: 62 (-10) / 12.1%
🎗️SNP: 42 (+33) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 34 (+30) / 14.2%
🌼PLC: 8 (+4) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 5 (N/C) / 3.0%
Infographic of the above data.
📊 12/02/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 323 (+318) / 28.4%
🌹LAB: 95 (-316) / 19.8%
🌳CON: 69 (-52) / 19.2%
🔶LDM: 62 (-10) / 12.2%
🎗️SNP: 41 (+32) / 2.6%
🌍GRN: 32 (+28) / 14.0%
🌼PLC: 8 (+4) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 1 (-4) / 2.5%
🚨 New post on Substack!
📰 05/02/26 UK projection: January's Tumult Yields No Change
There is little change from &Elections' 08 Jan projection, but what could the factors at play in the upcoming by-election be? 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/050226-uk-...
Infographic of the above data.
📊 05/02/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 322 (+317) / 28.3%
🌳CON: 78 (-43) / 19.8%
🌹LAB: 77 (-334) / 18.6%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 12.9%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 38 (+34) / 14.2%
🌼PLC: 8 (+4) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 1 (-4) / 2.3%
Infographic of the above data.
📊 29/01/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 318 (+313) / 27.9%
🌹LAB: 97 (-314) / 19.7%
🔶LDM: 66 (-6) / 12.8%
🌳CON: 62 (-59) / 18.6%
🎗️SNP: 44 (+35) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 30 (+36) / 13.8%
🌼PLC: 8 (+4) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 6 (+1) / 3.2%
Infographic of the above data.
📊 Constituency Projection:
#GortonandDenton (LAB 2024)
🌹LAB: 26.4% (-24.3pp)
➡️RFM: 26.1% (+12.1pp)
🌍GRN: 24.7% (+11.6pp)
🌳CON: 8.9% (+1.0pp)
🙋WPB: 7.8% (-2.5pp)
🔶LDM: 6.0% (+2.2pp)
Projected using andelections.com/#constituency-projections model
Infographic of the above data.
📊 22/01/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 323 (+318) / 27.8%
🌹LAB: 76 (-335) / 18.5%
🌳CON: 72 (-49) / 19.6%
🔶LDM: 66 (-6) / 12.9%
🎗️SNP: 44 (+35) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 35 (+31) / 13.7%
🌼PLC: 8 (+4) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 7 (+2) / 3.5%
Infographic of the above data.
📊 22/01/26 #Holyrood Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/holyrood
🎗️SNP: 64 (+1) / 27.6%
🌹LAB: 18 (-3) / 16.8%
➡️RFM: 16 (+16) / 17.2%
🌳CON: 11 (-20) / 11.6%
🌍GRN: 10 (N/C) / 10.7%
🔶LDM: 10 (+6) / 9.7%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 6.5%
(Regional list vote share)
Infographic of the above data.
📊 15/01/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 318 (+313) / 28.2%
🌳CON: 81 (-40) / 19.8%
🌹LAB: 80 (-331) / 18.4%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 12.7%
🎗️SNP: 42 (+33) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 34 (+30) / 13.9%
🌼PLC: 8 (+4) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 4 (-10 / 3.0%
🚨 New post on Substack!
📰 13/01/26 Senedd Projection: A Left-Wing Welsh Government Without Labour?
Plaid and the Greens are up as Reform and Labour are down, but interestingly the most likely coalition would not be between Plaid and Labour. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/130126-sen...
Infographic of the above data.
📊 13 Jan 26 #Senedd Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/senedd
🌼PLC: 43 (+22) / 34.1%
➡️RFM: 28 (+28) / 25.6%
🌹LAB: 10 (-37) / 10.9%
🌳CON: 7 (-21) / 10.6%
🌍GRN: 6 (+6) / 11.2%
🔶LDM: 2 (+2) / 5.6%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 2.0%
🚨 New post on Substack!
📰 08/01/26 UK Projection: New Year, New Badenoch?
The Tories would be set to be the second largest party if an election were held today, as Labour fall to &Elections' worst forecast for them ever. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/080126-uk-...
Infographic of the above data.
📊 08 Jan 26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 322 (+317) / 28.5%
🌳CON: 85 (-36) / 20.2%
🌹LAB: 69 (-342) / 18.0%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 13.0%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 39 (+35) / 13.9%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 0.9%
👥OTH: 3 (-2) / 2.7%
🚨 New post on Substack!
📰 02/01/26 Holyrood Projection: Reform Poised to Form the Opposition
The SNP are set to govern alone while Reform are poised to form the opposition as Labour and the Tories are to be comprehensivley anihilated... 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/020126-hol...
Infographic of the above data.
📊 02 Jan 26 #Holyrood Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/holyrood
🎗️SNP: 65 (+2) / 29.2%
➡️RFM: 23 (+23) / 21.0%
🌍GRN: 13 (+3) / 13.0%
🌹LAB: 11 (-10) / 12.1%
🔶LDM: 9 (+5) / 9.1%
🌳CON: 8 (-23) / 9.7%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 5.9%
Infographic of the above data.
📊 26 Dec 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 299 (+294) / 27.6%
🌹LAB: 95 (-316) / 19.3%
🌳CON: 86 (-35) / 20.0%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 13.2%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 30 (+26) / 13.4%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 0.9%
👥OTH: 5 (N/C) / 2.8%
Infographic of the above data.
📊 18 Dec 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 341 (+336) / 29.2%
🌹LAB: 75 (-336) / 18.9%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 12.6%
🌳CON: 60 (-61) / 18.7%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 35 (+31) / 13.8%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 5 (N/C) / 2.9%
Infographic of the above data.
📊 11 Dec 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 328 (+323) / 28.5%
🌹LAB: 76 (-335) / 18.8%
🌳CON: 70 (-51) / 19.2%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 13.0%
🎗️SNP: 44 (+35) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 35 (+31) / 13.6%
🌼PLC: 7 (+3) / 1.1%
👥OTH: 6 (+1) / 3.0%
🚨 New post on Substack!
📰 04/12/25 UK Projection: Reform Flounder and Tories Regain Ground
Reform are down this week as Labour - but more notably the Tories - are up; however, the Lib Dems continue to stagnate. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/041225-uk-...
Infographic of the above data.
📊 04 Dec 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 328 (+323) / 28.7%
🌹LAB: 82 (-329) / 19.1%
🌳CON: 72 (-49) / 19.5%
🔶LDM: 63 (-9) / 12.7%
🎗️SNP: 42 (+33) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 34 (+30) / 13.6%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 4 (-1) / 2.7%
Infographic of the above data.
📊 28 Nov 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 334 (+329) / 28.7%
🌹LAB: 76 (-335) / 18.8%
🔶LDM: 67 (-5) / 13.3%
🌳CON: 61 (-60) / 18.6%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 34 (+30) / 13.5%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 8 (+3) / 3.4%