Started like ass too

Didn’t want to be the one who broke the bad news, but since it’s public now, the absence of the NWC REU is a shame.

I’ll end with this: all observations have value/impact, but some have more value than others. If you want better forecasts, you need quality observations and good models. If you start taking away observations, your forecasts *could* suffer

One could go back in the past and do data denial experiments - as I am sure some have or will do - on events when those observations were available, but then we only have an aggregate glance of how those observations impact past events, not what happened recently.

The current issue with assessing how missing radiosonde observations might be impacting severe weather forecasts is we do not HAVE those missing observations. So we can never have the corresponding “with obs” forecasts for comparisons.

But the structure is the same: this forecast has the observations and this other one doesn’t. How do they compare?

We refer to these experiments as “data denial” experiments. We can assess how the absence of observations, or more often the inclusion of new and novel observations, will impact forecasts in this framework. We can also generate synthetic observations in idealized experiments called OSSEs

Piggy backing off Alan’s post and others commenting on the NBC article, I’ll throw some comments into the ring. To truly know the impact observations have on weather forecasts necessitates coupled experiments: one that has the observations and the other that doesn’t.

Senior Editor, CNN Weather Features in Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America | Creative, Content & Editorial at CNN Apply for Senior Editor, CNN Weather Features job with CNN

JournoJob alert: Come work with me at CNN Climate & Weather. Must have multimedia skills & be a sharp editor to shepherd and edit weather edutainment stories. This is a great role for the right person. careers.wbd.com/global/en/jo... (You can also be based in DC, NYC etc).

Wait, you are supposed to do that?

Dog looking at a weather station.

Dog looking at a solar panel.

Dog at a weather station.

Dog checking a rain gauge.

Timeline Cleanse: My dogs are part of a fundraising campaign for the University of Oklahoma's College of Atmospheric and Geographic Sciences. I am not sure how the photographer got these shots amongst the craziness of the photoshoot.

Yes…and the REFS isn’t taking over HREF yet, and HRRR is an HREF member. It’s all a maze of decisions

It will eventually be retired

HRRR really likes the more northern option.

Climate Risk Modeling Lead, Senior Vice President (Hybrid) | Citi Careers Learn more about applying for Climate Risk Modeling Lead, Senior Vice President (Hybrid) at Citi. Learn more about potential responsibilities, qualifications and career paths.

it's happening

"PhD degree in Climatology or Atmospheric Sciences"
"Deep knowledge of the mortgage business"

2,599 applicants offered NSF GRFP awards! Congrats to all the NSF GRFP award winners and recipients of honorable mention. https://www.research.gov/grfp/AwardeeList.do?method=loadAwardeeList

Massive and important positive news...

#NSF #GRFP awards are out.

2,599 awards!
+
1,440 Honorable Mentions.

A significant boost from last year.

Congratulations to the winners (and HM-s)!

& many thanks to the reviewers & program officers who made this possible.

www.research.gov/grfp/Awardee...

Cameron National?

Shall we rename it Rory National?

Being a 5 year old must be so confusing — your parents just spent years being excited about your burps and farts, and talking about poop and pee all the time; then all of a sudden this is considered inappropriate behavior.

😍

y'all.

So much awesomeness here

Screenshot of a plotly 3d plot of the Artemis flyby

This feels almost like a chicken race of a flyby. Orion turning towards the approaching Moon. But then missing it. Play with the 3D of the flyby via my interactive HTML file with a Plotly 3d plot from here: figshare.com/ndownloader/... (55 MB dowload). Based on NASA's trajectory data, converted

This is so, so well-articulated.

I tell my students that writing is an exercise in figuring out what you think; it's not a place to deposit what you've already worked out.

If you step on a frictionless surface, momentum takes over and you just slide; there's nothing to interact with, which means there's nowhere to stand.

🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉

Everyone is coming to Norman and I didn’t even know the NWC was having a big workshop 🤷🏼‍♂️

Google “SPC WCM page” for the latest through 2024