France, Italy, and Spain Should Use Force in Lebanon Europe has been standing by while its Southern neighborhood is being redrawn by force. To establish a path to peace between Israel and Lebanon, it’s time for Europeans to get involved with hard power.

Europe has been standing by while its Southern neighborhood is being redrawn by force.

To establish a path to peace between Israel and Lebanon, it’s time for Europeans to get involved with hard power, writes @rmomtaz.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

The Fog of AI War In Ukraine, Gaza, and Iran, AI warfare has come to dominate, with barely any oversight or accountability. Europe must lead the charge on the responsible use of new military technologies.

AI warfare has come to dominate, with barely any oversight or accountability, in Ukraine, Gaza, and Iran.

Europe must lead the charge on the responsible use of new military technologies, argues Raluca Csernatoni.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

How to Join the EU in Three Easy Steps Montenegro and Albania are frontrunners for EU enlargement in the Western Balkans, but they can’t just sit back and wait. To meet their 2030 accession ambitions, they must make a strong positive case.

Montenegro & Albania are frontrunners for EU enlargement in the Western Balkans, but they can’t just sit back and wait.

To meet their 2030 accession ambitions, they must make a strong positive case, argue @dimitarbechev.bsky.social & @ilirianagjoni.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Welcoming @kadriliik.bsky.social to Carnegie Europe as a visiting scholar!

As a longstanding expert on EU-Russian affairs, she will complement our ongoing analysis of Europe's geopolitical standing and its ability to respond to Putin's war in Ukraine.

We will share more of her work soon.

❔ | #TTP: Can NATO Survive the Iran War?

Donald Trump has threatened NATO allies and deplored their lack of enthusiasm for his war of choice in Iran.

Is this latest round of abuse the final straw? 6⃣ experts give their takes: carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Donald Trump’s repudiation of NATO goes against the MAGA vision of a U.S.-centered foreign policy.

If the goal is to boost Europe’s commitments, leaning into France’s vision is the most America First way forward, argues @rmomtaz.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Europe Doesn’t Like War—for Good Reasons The wars in Ukraine and the Middle East are existential threats to Europe as a peace project. Leaders and citizens alike must reaffirm their solidarity to face up to today’s multifaceted challenges.

The wars in Ukraine and the Middle East are existential threats to Europe as a peace project.

Leaders and citizens alike must reaffirm their solidarity to face up to today’s multifaceted challenges, argues Marc Pierini.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/posts...

Win or Lose, Orbán has Broken Hungary’s Democracy Hungarians head to the polls on April 12 for an election of national and European consequence. Three different outcomes are on the cards, each with their own implications for the EU.

Hungarians head to the polls on April 12 for an election of national and European consequence.

Three different outcomes are on the cards, each with their own implications for the EU, says Zsuzsanna Szelényi.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Rewiring the South Caucasus: TRIPP and the New Geopolitics of Connectivity The U.S.-sponsored TRIPP deal is driving the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace process forward. But foreign and domestic hurdles remain before connectivity and economic interdependence can open up the South Ca...

🆕 | The U.S.-sponsored TRIPP deal is driving the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace process.

But hurdles remain before connectivity & economic interdependence can open up the South Caucasus, argue @tomdewaal.bsky.social, Areg Kochinyan, and @zaurshiriyev.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/resea...

🗣️ The radical right paralyzes debates and decisionmarking on issues of existential survival for Europe, says @cfieschi.bsky.social.

🎧 Listen to her Europe Head-to-Head debate with @casmudde.bsky.social, out now via #EuropeInsideOut: europe-inside-out.simplecast.com/episodes/is-...

Is France Shifting Rightward? The far right failed to win big in France’s municipal elections. But that’s not good news for the country’s left wing, which remained disunited while the broader right consolidated its momentum ahead ...

The far right failed to win big in France’s municipal elections. But that’s not good news for the country’s left wing.

Despite the lack of showy results, the right consolidated its momentum ahead of the 2027 presidential race, argues @cfieschi.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Taking the Pulse: Is it NATO’s Job to Support Trump’s War of Choice? Donald Trump has demanded that European allies send ships to the Strait of Hormuz while his war of choice in Iran rages on. He has constantly berated NATO while the alliance’s secretary-general has em...

❔ | #TTP: Is it NATO’s Job to Support Trump’s War of Choice?

Donald Trump has demanded that European allies send ships to the Strait of Hormuz while his war of choice in Iran rages on. Eleven experts give their takes ⤵️
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

🗓️ | UPCOMING EVENT

Hungary’s parliamentary election will be a litmus test for Europe.

Join @rosabalfour.bsky.social, Zsuzsanna Szelény, and Peter Hefele for a wide-ranging discussion of the vote's implications across the continent.

Register here 👉 carnegieendowment.org/europe/event...

Time to Merge the Commission and EEAS The EU is structurally incapable of reacting to today’s foreign policy crises. The union must fold the EEAS into the European Commission and create a security council better prepared to take action on...

The EU is structurally incapable of reacting to today’s foreign policy crises.

The union must fold the EEAS into the European Commission and create a security council better prepared to take action on the global stage, argues Stefan Lehne.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Is the Radical-Right Threat Existential or Overstated? Amid increased polarization and the influence of disinformation, radical-right parties are once again gaining traction across Europe. With landmark elections on the horizon in several countries, are t...

Amid increased polarization and the influence of disinformation, radical-right parties are once again gaining traction across Europe.

Is the threat existential or overstated?

@cfieschi.bsky.social and @casmudde.bsky.social lay out their positions ⤵️
carnegieendowment.org/europe/posts...

Russia’s Imperial Retreat Is Europe’s Strategic Opportunity The war in Ukraine is costing Russia its leverage overseas. Across the South Caucasus and Middle East, this presents an opportunity for Europe to pick up the pieces and claim its own sphere of influen...

🆕 | The war in Ukraine is costing Russia its leverage overseas.

Across the South Caucasus and Middle East, this presents an opportunity for Europe to pick up the pieces and claim its own sphere of influence, say William Dixon and Maksym Beznosiuk.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Europe and the Arab Gulf Must Come Together The war in Iran proves the United States is now a destabilizing actor for Europe and the Arab Gulf. From protect their economies and energy supplies to safeguarding their territorial integrity, both r...

The war in Iran proves the United States is now a destabilizing actor for Europe and the Arab Gulf.

Both regions have much to gain from forming a new kind of partnership together, says @rmomtaz.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

We are delighted to welcome Catherine Fieschi (@cfieschi.bsky.social) to Carnegie Europe as a nonresident scholar.

A leading expert on European politics, Catherine will analyze the rise of populist and authoritarian movements in advanced democracies.

We will be sharing more of her work soon.

Pierre Vimont explains how the nomination of Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader of Iran may lead to a more radical government in Tehran.

Listen to his discussion with Maha Yahya and @rmomtaz.bsky.social in the latest episode of #EuropeInsideOut 🔗 europe-inside-out.simplecast.com/episodes/wha...

Taking the Pulse: Is France’s New Nuclear Doctrine Ambitious Enough? French President Emmanuel Macron has unveiled his country’s new nuclear doctrine. Are the changes he has made enough to reassure France’s European partners in the current geopolitical context?

❔ | #TTP: Is France’s New Nuclear Doctrine Ambitious Enough?

Emmanuel Macron has unveiled his country’s new nuclear doctrine. Twelve experts reflect on whether the changes he has made enough to reassure France’s European partners⤵️
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

The Iran War’s Dangerous Fallout for Europe The drone strike on the British air base in Akrotiri brings Europe’s proximity to the conflict in Iran into sharp relief. In the fog of war, old tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean risk being reigni...

🆕 | The drone strike on the air base in Akrotiri brings Europe’s proximity to the conflict in Iran into sharp relief.

Old tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean risk being reignited, and regional stakeholders must avoid escalation, says Marc Pierini.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/posts...

🎧 | What Is Europe Sacrificing in the Iran War?

In our latest #EuropeInsideOut episode, @rmomtaz.bsky.social, Pierre Vimont, & @mahamyahya.bsky.social discuss whether the war in Iran has left Europe irrelevant on the global stage.

Listen now 👉 europe-inside-out.simplecast.com/episodes/wha...

EVENT | Is the Radical-Right Threat to Europe Existential or Overstated?

📢 Next March 25, at 5:00 pm, join @cfieschi.bsky.social & @casmudde.bsky.social to discuss whether Europe's geostrategic vision can survive a politics led by the radical right.

Register: carnegieendowment.org/europe/event...

The EU Needs a Third Way in Iran European reactions to the war in Iran have lost sight of wider political dynamics. The EU must position itself for the next phase of the crisis without giving up on its principles.

European reactions to the war in Iran have lost sight of wider political dynamics.

The EU must position itself for the next phase of the crisis without giving up on its principles, argues Richard Youngs.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Global Instability Makes Europe More Attractive, Not Less Europe isn’t as weak in the new geopolitics of power as many would believe. But to leverage its assets and claim a sphere of influence, Brussels must stop undercutting itself.

Europe isn’t as weak in the new geopolitics of power as many would believe.

But to leverage its assets and claim a sphere of influence, Brussels must stop undercutting itself, argues @dimitarbechev.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Europe on Iran: Gone with the Wind Europe’s reaction to the war in Iran has been disunited and meek, a far cry from its previously leading role in diplomacy with Tehran. To avoid being condemned to the sidelines while escalation contin...

🆕 | Europe’s reaction to the war in Iran has been disunited and meek.

To avoid being condemned to the sidelines while escalation continues, Brussels needs to stand up for international law, argues Pierre Vimont.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Taking the Pulse: Can European Defense Survive the Death of FCAS? France and Germany’s failure to agree on the Future Combat Air System (FCAS) raises questions about European defense. Amid industrial rivalries and competing strategic cultures, what does the future o...

❔ | #TTP: Can European Defense Survive the Death of FCAS?

The Future Combat Air System (FCAS) deadlock casts doubts on European defense cooperation. Amid industrial rivalries, experts discuss what the future of European industrial projects look like ⤵️
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

How Turkey Can Help the Economies of the South Caucasus to Diversify Over the past two decades, regional collaboration in the South Caucasus has intensified. Turkey and the EU should establish a cooperation framework to accelerate economic development and diversificati...

🆕 | Over the past two decades, regional collaboration in the South Caucasus has intensified.

Turkey and the EU should establish a cooperation framework to accelerate economic development & diversification, write Feride İnan, @guvsak.bsky.social, & Berat Yücel.

carnegieendowment.org/europe/resea...

Macron Makes France a Great Middle Power France has stopped clinging to notions of being a great power and is embracing the middle power moment. But Emmanuel Macron has his work cut out if he is to secure his country’s global standing before...

France has stopped clinging to notions of being a great power and is embracing the middle power moment.

But Emmanuel Macron has his work cut out if he is to secure his country’s global standing before his term in office ends, writes @rmomtaz.bsky.social.
carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

🆕 | In 2025, mounting security threats & economic pressures have driven European governments to prioritize strategic interests.

This signals a lack of ambition to promote democracy in the EU's external action, say @richardyoungs.bsky.social et al.

Learn more: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...