24/ As the US-Iran ceasefire inches towards expiry, Ellie Geranmayeh considers what it will take for Tehran to show up in Pakistan talks and make diplomatic headway @aljazeera.com mediaview.aljazeera.com/video/rc5Wo3...
Posts by ECFR MENA
23/ Ellie Geranmayeh for @apnews.com: Europe should take a lead on mine-clearing in the Strait, to avoid the US military lingering on Iranian shores and risking further tension between the US and Iran buff.ly/KeRge55
📖 The EU's Pact for the Mediterranean is timely but risks defaulting to short-term deals rather than delivering meaningful regional integration. Its "menu" approach will be more effective if the EU bundles initiatives into comprehensive packages @Tmegrisi.bsky.social 👇️ ecfr.eu/publication/...
📰 “There is a general discontent over the war in Iran and the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz – a crisis that’s impacting Italian growth and, if it continues, could have a significant impact on citizens” @arturovarvelli.bsky.social for @aljazeera.com www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/...
4/ Delivering this requires EU states to pool authority and resources, shifting from fragmented bilateral deals to a coordinated response through Brussels. Only then can Europe convert dispersed efforts into real strategic leverage.
3/ These packages would be too substantial to refuse or use against European countries, ending the cycle of European states being played off against each other by the very neighbours they are trying to bring closer.
2/ The Pact's "menu" approach will be far more effective if the EU bundles its initiatives to offer comprehensive packages e.g. a coherent and strategic European approach to energy, linking renewables and Mediterranean gas, to turn shared risk into mutual stability.
📖 NEW @ecfr.eu policy brief by @tmegrisi.bsky.social: The EU's Pact for the Mediterranean is timely but risks defaulting to short-term, piecemeal deals rather than delivering meaningful regional integration. 🧵 buff.ly/NJqpdwI
3/ These packages would be too substantial to refuse or use against European countries, ending the cycle of European states being played off against each other by the very neighbours they are trying to bring closer.
2/ The Pact "menu" approach will be far more effective if the EU bundles its initiatives to offer comprehensive packages e.g. a coherent and strategic European approach to energy, linking renewables and Mediterranean gas, to turn shared risk into mutual stability.
"Prospects for a ceasefire in Lebanon could be further bolstered by greater European support to the Lebanese government and armed forces and a European willingness to maintain a security role in the south of the country." @jbdacey.bsky.social ecfr.eu/article/maki...
In this week's @ecfr.eu podcast, Mark Leonard is joined by @asliaydintasbas.bsky.social to discuss the Iran-US ceasefire and what it means for the future of the Middle East and for American foreign policy? ecfr.eu/podcasts/epi...
The US-Iranian ceasefire deal fails to address core drivers of the conflict—US opposition to Iran’s nuclear programme and Tehran’s demands for economic and security guarantees—and maximalist positions risk a rapid collapse in negotiations, writes @jbdacey.bsky.social ecfr.eu/article/maki...
🔴 NEW policy alert by @jbdacey.bsky.social: After threatening catastrophic escalation, Trump has agreed to a temporary ceasefire with Iran. European governments must now focus on sustaining it and backing Pakistani-led efforts toward a broader, lasting peace 👇️ ecfr.eu/article/maki...
New commentary by @jyshapiro.bsky.social on how Europeans can pressure Washington towards a ceasefire in Iran
Europeans should understand which pressures matter most to Trump. Gasoline prices come first, general inflation next. Read the commentary: bit.ly/41pp1dj
🎧 This week @markhleonard.bsky.social is joined by @szymonkardas.bsky.social to discuss how the war in Iran is affecting energy prices and supplies in Europe.
Listen to the new podcast episode: https://bit.ly/3PDIeVZ
In order to balance between prioritising industrial competition with China in the MENA region and supporting the region’s economic development and green transitions, Europeans should work with Middle Eastern & North African partners. 👇 buff.ly/k9ghqmL
📖 Chinese EV brands are adapting to Western trade barriers by increasing their presence in the MENA, challenging Europe's interests in the global EV competition and deepening China's influence in the region. @camillelons.bsky.social @byfordt.bsky.social @jonathanfulton.bsky.social buff.ly/BUMR8Eh
As Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa visits Berlin & London this week, Europe should focus on engaging the transitional government and wider population to support an inclusive political & economic vision rooted in Syria’s institutions. @jbdacey.bsky.social ecfr.eu/article/a-ye...
✍️ The war on Iran is a Zeitenwende moment for Gulf states, shifting their security calculus and geopolitical positioning. This opens up space for partnerships with Europe to stabilise this region of great importance for the global economy. @cinziabianco.bsky.social ecfr.eu/article/the-...
With the clock ticking on US-Iran talks, both sides want to dictate terms but neither truly can & must abandon maximalist demands. Ellie Geranmayeh in @foreignaffairs.com unpacks conditions & terms needed for lasting ceasefire before dangerous new phase emerges www.foreignaffairs.com/can-america-...
As the war with Iran rages on and gets more costly by the day, rumblings about a potential cease-fire have emerged from Washington. Ellie Geranmayeh states that The White House is making a mistake by tying cease-fire negotiations to a grand bargain.
https://fam.ag/4rZFSht
With over a thousand dead and a million displaced, Lebanon is edging towards state collapse. Europe must go beyond humanitarian aid and throw its full weight behind France’s diplomatic push, writes Kelly Petillo.
https://bit.ly/3Pi7nW5
The war on Iran marks a turning point in the security calculus of the Gulf monarchies. Strategic hedging has failed—and Europeans could become just the reliable partners the monarchies need, writes Cinzia Bianco.
https://bit.ly/4uROVnp
Europeans must help steer the region away from the vortex of violence that sucks in the legitimate security concerns of the Gulf countries, and could trap them and their neighbours in a state of perpetual tensions and instability, writes @cinziabianco.bsky.social
8/ Finally, Europeans should face up to the competition. They must not shy away from engaging with partners in the Middle East & North Africa on the broader challenge China poses today to global trade.
7/ Second, Europeans need to open new lanes by ensuring countries in the MENA region become part of the solution to Europe’s EV dilemmas. They should negotiate Clean Trade & Investment Partnerships and use its financing tools & technical assistance.
6/ First, the EU needs to address potential regulatory loopholes in its de-risking strategy towards China’s EVs and reform its trade-defence instrument.