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Posts by NBER

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Proposing the Quantile Mechanism: one party partitions the population into k sets, and the other selects from each. The resulting sample is optimal under KS, L1 and CvM, from Alma Cohen, Alon Klement, Zvika Neeman, and Eilon Solan www.nber.org/papers/w35031

12 hours ago 1 0 0 0
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Germany's world-first gender quota for top executives boosted diversity in the C-suite without causing much disruption, from David A. Matsa and Amalia R. Miller www.nber.org/papers/w35030

14 hours ago 6 3 0 0
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Studying how global warming affects deforestation and agricultural land use, from @allanhsiao.bsky.social , Jacob Moscona, Benjamin A. Olken, and Karthik A. Sastry www.nber.org/papers/w35029

16 hours ago 9 2 0 0
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Which US states suffered a greater great depression and why?, from Dong Cheng, Mario J. Crucini, and Hanjo T. Kim www.nber.org/papers/w35028

1 day ago 8 2 0 0
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Showing how to identify models of earnings and employment dynamics from subjective expectations data, from Manuel Arellano, Orazio Attanasio, Margherita Borella, @mdenardi.bsky.social, and Gonzalo Paz-Pardo www.nber.org/papers/w35027

1 day ago 5 2 0 0
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Estimating how expenditures on durable goods respond to transitory income shocks. The estimated responses are large: households spent 80 percent of the transfer within three months, from Christoph E. Boehm and Changseok Ma www.nber.org/papers/w35026

1 day ago 2 0 0 0
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Analyzing the impact of direct-to-consumer advertising (DCTA) on profits by modeling a counterfactual environment where DCTA is banned, from Pierre Dubois and Ariel Pakes www.nber.org/papers/w35025

2 days ago 7 1 0 0
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Marketplaces for consumer loans come with almost zero search costs, but hidden costs coming from choice complexity and reputation concerns can limit consumer search, from Alex Günsberg and Camelia M. Kuhnen www.nber.org/papers/w35024

2 days ago 2 0 0 0
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US and China are converging in AI patenting, but differ in who innovates and where; AI patents are more valuable, and China relies more on US knowledge, from Hanming Fang, Xian Gu, Hanyin Yan, and Wu Zhu www.nber.org/papers/w35022

2 days ago 2 0 0 0
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Tariffs on vehicles can benefit domestic producers, but tariffs on imported parts raise costs and reverse these gains, with effects driven by firms’ global supply chains, from Luke Heeney, Christopher R. Knittel, and Jasdeep Mandia www.nber.org/papers/w35023

2 days ago 7 1 0 0
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Featured in the latest Digest: US Treasury Bonds and Trade Policy Uncertainty

www.nber.org/digest/us-tr...

2 days ago 5 1 0 1
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Americans used to work much more than non-Americans, but about half of this gap has reversed. US hours declined after 2000 mainly due to the rise of health benefits, from Serdar Birinci, Loukas Karabarbounis, and Kurt See www.nber.org/papers/w35020

3 days ago 5 1 0 0
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Personal access to medical expertise helps to overcome vaccine hesitancy, from D. Mark Anderson, Ron Diris, Raymond Montizaan, and Daniel I. Rees www.nber.org/papers/w35019

3 days ago 3 2 0 0
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Featured in the latest Bulletin on Entrepreneurship: Mixed Immigrant-Native Founding Teams Excel

www.nber.org/be/20261/mix...

3 days ago 5 0 0 0
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Import competition raised labor market concentration and reduced wages, but wage losses stem mainly from falling marginal revenue product of labor, not increased market power, from Mayara Felix www.nber.org/papers/w35018

4 days ago 9 3 0 0
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Recent research quantifies the effect of universities on innovation and economic growth both regionally and globally, from Adam B. Jaffe, Laura B. Shupp, and Valentina Tartari www.nber.org/papers/w35017

4 days ago 9 1 0 0
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FOMC records show the Fed reacts more strongly to perceived demand-driven inflation, while perceived supply shocks have more loading on realized inflation and term and risk premia, from Ali Kakhbod, Amir Kermani, and Bernardo Maciel www.nber.org/papers/w35016

4 days ago 10 1 0 0
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Examining the dramatic growth and evolving role of postdoctoral researchers in the US scientific workforce from 1979 to 2023, showing a fourfold increase in postdoc numbers that outpaced growth in graduate students and faculty, from Ginther and @jlrosenbloom.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35014

4 days ago 5 3 0 1
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Showing how frictions in supply-chain formation and forward-looking behavior explain trade responses and simulate dynamics of the US-China trade war and EU Eastern enlargement, from Junyuan Chen, Carlos Góes, Marc-Andreas Muendler, and Fabian Trottner www.nber.org/papers/w35013

5 days ago 3 0 0 0
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Introducing a model of planning under diagnostic uncertainty. AI boosts planning, so its effects on inequality depend as much on planning skill as on task skill, from Andrew Caplin www.nber.org/papers/w35012

5 days ago 2 1 0 0
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National labs generate large local knowledge spillovers, driving regional development by fostering non-lab patenting, wage gains and education compared to counterfactual locations, from Susan Helper, Resem Makan, and Daniel W. Shoag www.nber.org/papers/w35011

5 days ago 6 2 0 1
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Studying a novel dynamic inspection game in which a regulator commits to a detection technology, and a regulated firm chooses whether to engage in harmful conduct, from Ginger Zhe Jin, D. Daniel Sokol, and Liad Wagman www.nber.org/papers/w35010

5 days ago 4 0 0 1
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Providing experimental evidence on how fiscal news shapes households’ expectations and spending behavior, from Myungkyu Shim, Kwang Hwan Kim, @mhandrewlee.bsky.social, Sangyup Choi, Siye Bae, Olivier Coibion, and @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35009

6 days ago 3 0 0 0
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Arguing that the Cold War contributed to the inclusive growth of the post-war decades, from Ilyana Kuziemko, Donato A. Onorato, and Suresh Naidu www.nber.org/papers/w35008

6 days ago 1 0 0 1
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Rising stock market concentration affects fund behavior and stock prices. Regulatory constraints on long positions can make mega stocks underpriced by suppressing optimists' views, from Lubos Pastor, Taisiya Sikorskaya, and Jinrui Wang www.nber.org/papers/w35007

6 days ago 3 1 0 0
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Open for Registration, NBER Coordinating Center on the Economics of AD/ADRD Prevention, Treatment, and Care 2nd Annual Meeting. Meeting to be held in Rockville, MD on June 18, 2026. More information: roseliassociates.swoogo.com/nberjune2026...

6 days ago 0 2 0 0
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Studying how cash transfers affect work and health, from Michael C. Best, Felipe Lobel, and Valdemar Pinho Neto www.nber.org/papers/w35006

6 days ago 3 1 0 0
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Sugar rationing in post-WWII UK reduced genetic disparities in obesity 50 years later in adulthood, from Tadeja Gracner, Claire Boone, Patrick Turley, and Paul Gertler www.nber.org/papers/w35005

1 week ago 5 1 0 1
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Using offshoring and exporting shocks to firm sales to study how CEOs are paid shows that experienced CEOs generate 100 times more value than they are compensated for, from David Hummels, Jakob Munch, and Huilin Zhang www.nber.org/papers/w35004

1 week ago 2 0 0 0
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The economics of subscriptions, from Aaron L. Bodoh-Creed, Brent R. Hickman, John A. List, Ian Muir, and Gregory K. Sun www.nber.org/papers/w35003

1 week ago 5 0 0 1