Proposing the Quantile Mechanism: one party partitions the population into k sets, and the other selects from each. The resulting sample is optimal under KS, L1 and CvM, from Alma Cohen, Alon Klement, Zvika Neeman, and Eilon Solan www.nber.org/papers/w35031
Posts by NBER
Germany's world-first gender quota for top executives boosted diversity in the C-suite without causing much disruption, from David A. Matsa and Amalia R. Miller www.nber.org/papers/w35030
Studying how global warming affects deforestation and agricultural land use, from @allanhsiao.bsky.social , Jacob Moscona, Benjamin A. Olken, and Karthik A. Sastry www.nber.org/papers/w35029
Which US states suffered a greater great depression and why?, from Dong Cheng, Mario J. Crucini, and Hanjo T. Kim www.nber.org/papers/w35028
Showing how to identify models of earnings and employment dynamics from subjective expectations data, from Manuel Arellano, Orazio Attanasio, Margherita Borella, @mdenardi.bsky.social, and Gonzalo Paz-Pardo www.nber.org/papers/w35027
Estimating how expenditures on durable goods respond to transitory income shocks. The estimated responses are large: households spent 80 percent of the transfer within three months, from Christoph E. Boehm and Changseok Ma www.nber.org/papers/w35026
Analyzing the impact of direct-to-consumer advertising (DCTA) on profits by modeling a counterfactual environment where DCTA is banned, from Pierre Dubois and Ariel Pakes www.nber.org/papers/w35025
Marketplaces for consumer loans come with almost zero search costs, but hidden costs coming from choice complexity and reputation concerns can limit consumer search, from Alex Günsberg and Camelia M. Kuhnen www.nber.org/papers/w35024
US and China are converging in AI patenting, but differ in who innovates and where; AI patents are more valuable, and China relies more on US knowledge, from Hanming Fang, Xian Gu, Hanyin Yan, and Wu Zhu www.nber.org/papers/w35022
Tariffs on vehicles can benefit domestic producers, but tariffs on imported parts raise costs and reverse these gains, with effects driven by firms’ global supply chains, from Luke Heeney, Christopher R. Knittel, and Jasdeep Mandia www.nber.org/papers/w35023
Featured in the latest Digest: US Treasury Bonds and Trade Policy Uncertainty
www.nber.org/digest/us-tr...
Americans used to work much more than non-Americans, but about half of this gap has reversed. US hours declined after 2000 mainly due to the rise of health benefits, from Serdar Birinci, Loukas Karabarbounis, and Kurt See www.nber.org/papers/w35020
Personal access to medical expertise helps to overcome vaccine hesitancy, from D. Mark Anderson, Ron Diris, Raymond Montizaan, and Daniel I. Rees www.nber.org/papers/w35019
Featured in the latest Bulletin on Entrepreneurship: Mixed Immigrant-Native Founding Teams Excel
www.nber.org/be/20261/mix...
Import competition raised labor market concentration and reduced wages, but wage losses stem mainly from falling marginal revenue product of labor, not increased market power, from Mayara Felix www.nber.org/papers/w35018
Recent research quantifies the effect of universities on innovation and economic growth both regionally and globally, from Adam B. Jaffe, Laura B. Shupp, and Valentina Tartari www.nber.org/papers/w35017
FOMC records show the Fed reacts more strongly to perceived demand-driven inflation, while perceived supply shocks have more loading on realized inflation and term and risk premia, from Ali Kakhbod, Amir Kermani, and Bernardo Maciel www.nber.org/papers/w35016
Examining the dramatic growth and evolving role of postdoctoral researchers in the US scientific workforce from 1979 to 2023, showing a fourfold increase in postdoc numbers that outpaced growth in graduate students and faculty, from Ginther and @jlrosenbloom.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35014
Showing how frictions in supply-chain formation and forward-looking behavior explain trade responses and simulate dynamics of the US-China trade war and EU Eastern enlargement, from Junyuan Chen, Carlos Góes, Marc-Andreas Muendler, and Fabian Trottner www.nber.org/papers/w35013
Introducing a model of planning under diagnostic uncertainty. AI boosts planning, so its effects on inequality depend as much on planning skill as on task skill, from Andrew Caplin www.nber.org/papers/w35012
National labs generate large local knowledge spillovers, driving regional development by fostering non-lab patenting, wage gains and education compared to counterfactual locations, from Susan Helper, Resem Makan, and Daniel W. Shoag www.nber.org/papers/w35011
Studying a novel dynamic inspection game in which a regulator commits to a detection technology, and a regulated firm chooses whether to engage in harmful conduct, from Ginger Zhe Jin, D. Daniel Sokol, and Liad Wagman www.nber.org/papers/w35010
Providing experimental evidence on how fiscal news shapes households’ expectations and spending behavior, from Myungkyu Shim, Kwang Hwan Kim, @mhandrewlee.bsky.social, Sangyup Choi, Siye Bae, Olivier Coibion, and @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35009
Arguing that the Cold War contributed to the inclusive growth of the post-war decades, from Ilyana Kuziemko, Donato A. Onorato, and Suresh Naidu www.nber.org/papers/w35008
Rising stock market concentration affects fund behavior and stock prices. Regulatory constraints on long positions can make mega stocks underpriced by suppressing optimists' views, from Lubos Pastor, Taisiya Sikorskaya, and Jinrui Wang www.nber.org/papers/w35007
Open for Registration, NBER Coordinating Center on the Economics of AD/ADRD Prevention, Treatment, and Care 2nd Annual Meeting. Meeting to be held in Rockville, MD on June 18, 2026. More information: roseliassociates.swoogo.com/nberjune2026...
Studying how cash transfers affect work and health, from Michael C. Best, Felipe Lobel, and Valdemar Pinho Neto www.nber.org/papers/w35006
Sugar rationing in post-WWII UK reduced genetic disparities in obesity 50 years later in adulthood, from Tadeja Gracner, Claire Boone, Patrick Turley, and Paul Gertler www.nber.org/papers/w35005
Using offshoring and exporting shocks to firm sales to study how CEOs are paid shows that experienced CEOs generate 100 times more value than they are compensated for, from David Hummels, Jakob Munch, and Huilin Zhang www.nber.org/papers/w35004
The economics of subscriptions, from Aaron L. Bodoh-Creed, Brent R. Hickman, John A. List, Ian Muir, and Gregory K. Sun www.nber.org/papers/w35003