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The Logic of Escalation in the Middle East Use it or lose it

The Logic of Escalation in the Middle East - @policytensor.bsky.social

"The truth is that the forces now assembled can prosecute an air war of such intensity and duration as to turn most of Iran into Gaza."

policytensor.substack.com/p/the-logic-...

1 month ago 1 3 2 1

Whatever you think of the Canada/Carney situation and rhetoric of the speech at Davos, I’d encourage people to check out this strikingly prescient piece from @policytensor.bsky.social

policytensor.substack.com/p/notes-for-...

2 months ago 3 2 0 0
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AI May Already Be Sentient This is a speciation event

open.substack.com/pub/policyte...

6 months ago 0 0 0 0
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The Elephant in the Room Reintermediation is the only path forward for Democrats

The Elephant in the Room
The roots of the systemic malaise
open.substack.com/pub/policyte...

9 months ago 6 4 1 1

the (IMO compatible) solution preferred by the author:

"If hollow parties and a breakdown in elite-mass trust are the root of the malaise, then the cure must be to rebuild robust intermediary institutions – first and foremost, the political party itself as a vehicle of mass participation."

9 months ago 50 4 3 1
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The end of American hegemony.

open.substack.com/pub/policyte...

1 year ago 5 2 0 1

Very interesting. But how does the alliance bw sovereigntism and the tech broligarchs work? The latter’s interests can hardly be guaranteed behind a big beautiful wall.

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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GABI as a model for the Second China Shock Geoeconomics meet biogeography

GABI as a model for the Second China Shock open.substack.com/pub/policyte...

1 year ago 1 0 0 0

It is a false premise that America has a lead in AI over China. So many articles have come out recently about DeepSeek threatening our lead. The lead in *meaningful* capabilities has never existed.

1 year ago 3 2 0 1
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This is the smartest political analysis I have read in a long time.

1 year ago 0 1 0 0

This is brilliant. Please read this by @policytensor.bsky.social: “…regardless of their policy positions, [Democratic elites] may be at the receiving end of the working class revolt, because they are identified with American elites and their institutions.”

1 year ago 1 2 0 0
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The Etiology of American Instability

open.substack.com/pub/policyte...

1 year ago 3 1 1 0

I remember making a whole pipeline to machine translate it so I could read it. Todd at his polemical extreme!

1 year ago 1 1 0 0

Guys, it’s over.

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

RIP Renfew. When did his hypothesis of Neolithic revolution stop being credible? Not to take away from the man. He was a giant!

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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I’m very sad to hear that Colin Renfrew, a giant in the field of Prehistoric Archaeology, has joined the realm of the ancients. An academic archaeologist with one foot firmly in the trench, he combined theory & fieldwork with flair - and had a knack for asking the right questions. His work lives on

1 year ago 954 148 42 29
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Makes me sad re-reading this amazing letter from ex-Watergate Special Prosecutor Archibald Cox sent to high school seniors in 1994 after they asked him “What should Americans learn from Watergate?” 20 years later in ‘94.

His answer is remarkable—unfortunately things didn’t work out so well in 2024.

1 year ago 18486 5754 443 351

Given that billions of years have elapsed since the planet formed, why isn’t the earth a smooth ball?

1 year ago 0 0 1 0