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Posts by Nikos Askitas

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1224

5 months ago 0 0 0 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1219

6 months ago 0 0 0 0
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👋 Live from LISER's 'Society in Motion - Science & Tools for Impact' #PolicyLabLISER

🗣️ @gathmannch.bsky.social, @askitas.bsky.social & Serge Linckels share insights on Panel #3 – #Upskilling for a Changing World: From Data to Decisions

🔗Info www.liser.lu/events/socie...

#TalentAttraction #EconSky

6 months ago 2 3 0 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1214

7 months ago 0 0 0 0
8th KOF ETH Zurich and IDSC of IZA Workshop: Matching Workers and Jobs Online

On my way to Zürich for the 8th and last edition of the workshop Peter Kuhn and I have been running for the last years. This is my last "public appearance" for IDSC and for IZA before leaving at the end of October 2025.
Program looks fun.
conference.iza.org/DATA_2025/pr...

7 months ago 7 1 1 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1200

7 months ago 0 0 0 0

Generative AI (GenAI) and Large Language Models (LLMs) are moving into domains once seen as uniquely human—reasoning, synthesis, abstraction, and rhetoric. Addressed to (labor) economists and informed readers, this paper <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1197

7 months ago 0 0 0 0
Notes on a World with Generative AI | ifo Institute Generative AI (GenAI) and Large Language Models (LLMs) are moving into domains once seen as uniquely human—reasoning, synthesis, abstraction, and rhetoric. Addressed to labor economists and informed readers, this paper clarifies what is truly new about LLMs, what is not, and why it matters. Using an analogy to autoregressive models from economics, we explain their stochastic nature, whose fluency is often mistaken for agency. We situate LLMs in the longer history of human–machine outsourcing, from digestion to cognition, and examine disruptive effects on white-collar labor, institutions, and epistemic norms. Risks emerge when synthetic content becomes both product and input, creating feedback loops that erode originality and reliability. Grounding the discussion in conceptual clarity over hype, we argue that while GenAI may substitute for some labor, statistical limits will preserve a key role for human judgment. The question is not only how these tools are used, but which tasks we relinquish and how we reallocate expertise in a new division of cognitive labor.

Some thoughts on generative AI coming for us white collar workers.
www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/pu...

8 months ago 1 0 0 0

We examine the uptake and measurable effects of GPT-assisted writing in economics working paper abstracts. Focusing on the IZA discussion paper series, we detect a significant stylistic shift following the public release of <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1195

8 months ago 2 0 0 0
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The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1190

8 months ago 0 0 0 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1185

10 months ago 0 0 0 0
8th KOF ETH Zurich and IDSC of IZA Workshop: Matching Workers and Jobs Online

The program for the 8th issue of our "Matching Jobs and Workers Online" workshop is now online

conference.iza.org/DATA_2025/pr...

This year co-organized with and hosted at KOF ETH in Zurich.

10 months ago 0 0 0 0
Inter-Agency Working Group (IAG) Workshop on the Trends and Impact of AI in the labour markets | ETF

Inter-Agency Working Group (IAG) Workshop on the Trends and Impact of AI in the labour markets | ETF www.etf.europa.eu/en/news-and-...

11 months ago 1 0 0 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1180

11 months ago 0 0 0 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1174

1 year ago 1 0 0 1
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Employment for computer programmers in the U.S. has plummeted to its lowest level since 1980—years before the internet existed The job drop’s correlation with the rise of ChatGPT has led some to believe we’re seeing how AI will impact future coding jobs.

Employment for computer programmers in the U.S. has plummeted to its lowest level since 1980—years before the internet existed

fortune.com/2025/03/17/c...

1 year ago 2 0 0 0
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Toll Index January 2025 | -2.6% year over year The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harf…

Toll Index in January 2025 (German border crossing activity of Long Vehicles) only marginally better than December 2024 and 2.6% down year-over-year. #NumbersDay

askitas.com/toll-index-j...

1 year ago 2 0 0 0

The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1169

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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Flash IZA/Fable SWIPE Consumption Index at over +7% in February 2025 The 14-day month-to-date data for February 2025 shows a 7% year-over-year increase in consumption. This initial “flash estimate” compares the first 14 days of February 2025 with the sam…

Flash IZA/Fable SWIPE consumption index at over 7% yer over year in February 2025 #NumbersDay

askitas.com/flash-iza-fa...

1 year ago 2 0 0 0

The 14-day month-to-date data for February 2025 shows a 7% year-over-year increase in consumption. This initial "flash estimate" compares the first 14 days of February 2025 with the same period in February 2024 and should <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1165

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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Flash IZA/Fable SWIPE Consumption Index at +6.5% in January 2025 Final January 2025 Consumption Data Shows Stronger Growth Than Initial Estimates On January 22, I reported a 5.31% year-over-year increase in consumption based on the first 14 days of January 2025.…

IZA/Fable SWIPE Consumption Index: Final January 2025 Consumption Data Shows Stronger Growth Than Initial Estimate. Notable rebound from December’s performance. #NumbersDay
askitas.com/flash-iza-fa...

1 year ago 1 0 0 0

Final January 2025 Consumption Data Shows Stronger Growth Than Initial Estimates On January 22, I reported a 5.31% year-over-year increase in consumption based on the first 14 days of January 2025. This "flash estimate" <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1158

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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Flash IZA/Fable SWIPE Consumption Index at +5.31% in January 2025 The 14-day month-to-date data for January 2025 shows a 5.31% year-over-year increase in consumption. This initial “flash estimate” compares the first 14 days of January 2025 with the sa…

Flash IZA/Fable SWIPE #Consumption Index in January 2025 at +5.31% year-over-year, based on a 14-day month-to-date comparison. askitas.com/flash-iza-fa...

1 year ago 1 0 0 0

The 14-day month-to-date data for January 2025 shows a 5.31% year-over-year increase in consumption. This initial "flash estimate" compares the first 14 days of January 2025 with the same period in January 2024 and should <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1153

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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Toll Index December 2024 | -2.6% year over year The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harf…

Toll index for December 2024 down 2.6% year over year
askitas.com/toll-index-d... #NumbersDay

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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The Toll Index was first proposed in IZA DP5522 which was published in the Journal of Forecasting. It has been widely covered in national and international media (selection): Focus Magazin,Tim Harford – The undercover <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1148

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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December IZA/Fable SWIPE Index rests at -3.34% Recent recordings of negative consumer sentiment appear to be translating into consumption restraint this December, as our SWIPE index shows a -3.34% year-over-year change for December 2024. The un…

Recent recordings of negative consumer sentiment appear to be translating into consumption restraint this past December, as our SWIPE index shows a -3.34% year-over-year drop for December 2024. askitas.com/december-iza... #NumbersDay

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Recent recordings of negative consumer sentiment appear to be translating into consumption restraint this December, as our SWIPE index shows a -3.34% year-over-year change for December 2024. The uncertainty surrounding the <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1144

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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December IZA/Fable SWIPE Index at +9.9% The December flash estimate of the IZA/Fable SWIPE consumption index shows a 9.9% year-on-year increase in credit card spending in Germany for the first half of the month, compared to the same peri…

Boosted by a late Black Friday (November 29), which pushed part of the Black Friday splurge into December (e.g. Cyber Monday), the flash estimate of the IZA/Fable SWIPE consumption index shows a 9.9% YoY spending increase in the first half of December. #NumbersDay

askitas.com/december-iza...

1 year ago 1 0 0 0

The December flash estimate of the IZA/Fable SWIPE consumption index shows a 9.9% year-on-year increase in credit card spending in Germany for the first half of the month, compared to the same period in December 2023. The <a class="more-link" href="">Read More ...</a> https://askitas.com/?p=1132

1 year ago 1 0 0 0