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Posts by Kevin Ash

Screenshot of EM-DAT open letter

Screenshot of EM-DAT open letter

An important campaign has been launched to address the possibility that the EM-DAT database might cease to exist. Please read and sign the open letter and support efforts to preserve this important database. You can add your name to the open letter here:
openletter.earth/the-worlds-c...

1 month ago 1 3 0 0
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JOB - The Department of Geography at the University of Florida invites applications for a full-time, 12-month, non-tenure track Lecturer/Assistant Instructional Professor position in GIScience and Geographic Artificial Intelligence (GeoAI) explore.jobs.ufl.edu/en-us/job/53...

1 month ago 0 1 0 0
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Waiting on a dropsonde to confirm, but Melissa is most certainly below 900 hPa right now.

Tragically we are about to witness the 2nd or 1st deepest Atlantic hurricane landfall by min MSLP on record in Jamaica.

5 months ago 62 24 4 6
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The western end of Jamaica where #Melissa is projected to make landfall has the least well-built structures of anyplace on the island. Graphic is from a 2021 paper, "Poverty and hurricane risk exposure in Jamaica": www.researchgate.net/publication/...

5 months ago 412 189 11 16

Super Typhoon Haiyan (2013) is exactly the storm I'd compare Melissa to. It was the only other time I've seen the Dvorak scale violated above 8.0, and the only other time I've seen a complete ring of -80°F cloud tops (shown here in pink).

5 months ago 26 18 1 2
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CI# up to 8.2 = 176kt / 882mb (satellite estimates put Melissa at Wilma levels)

5 months ago 18 4 0 2

*** JOB OPPORTUNITY AT UNIV OF FLORIDA IN GIS ***

6 months ago 2 1 1 0
A plush Jean-Luc Picard next to a 5-pack of lightbulbs showing only four bulbs in the illustration

A plush Jean-Luc Picard next to a 5-pack of lightbulbs showing only four bulbs in the illustration

oh no

9 months ago 3471 1063 45 65

Yeah I've also found it's helpful for synthesizing huge volumes of text that you directly provide, like thousands of paper abstracts. But it is terrible at actual academic writing with citations and references. It can't even do basic reference formatting correctly, when given a list.

10 months ago 2 0 0 0
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My brother and I were on the north side of this storm and missed these. We were watching another brief tornado with another storm and then were out of position for the main show.

Cool to see your great footage after 20 years!

10 months ago 3 0 2 0
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Tulane scientist resigns citing university censorship of pollution and racial disparity research A Tulane University researcher has resigned, citing censorship from university leaders. Kim Terrell, a researcher with the Tulane Environmental Law Clinic, resigned Wednesday, saying in a letter the u...

Looks like an academic freedom catastrophe from beginning to end: because of (real or perceived) pressure from the state, Tulane’s leadership barred a scientist from talking about her research apnews.com/article/canc...

10 months ago 168 93 3 7
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NOAA is not just the National Weather Service Looking at the broader expanse of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

I have posted a lot recently about my worries for the NWS. However, I am also increasingly worried that the threat to NWS is distracting from the even greater threat to the rest of NOAA. Tonight I wrote about the broader agency I am so proud to have been a part of.

open.substack.com/pub/balanced...

10 months ago 175 60 2 3

What they are doing is aggressively accusing everyone else of insurrection in order to cover up and make everyone forget the actual insurrection & attempted coup that Trump orchestrated.

10 months ago 6 0 0 0

Would have drifted to near Dodge City by now...

11 months ago 3 0 0 0
Image is a logo that says "Great Bend Chamber of Commerce, 100 years, 1921 to 2021."

Image is a logo that says "Great Bend Chamber of Commerce, 100 years, 1921 to 2021."

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It would be a nice day to have lunch and then go sky watching in/near Great Bend, KS, if I were out that direction...which I am not.

I am in FL trying to get our new robot lawnmower to stop going in circles & getting stuck.

Also, I hope to hear a thunderous roar from OKC this afternoon.

11 months ago 4 0 1 0
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🎉PhD student Michelle Ruiz was selected for the Disaster Research Center’s CHEER summer research program that will take place in North Carolina www.drc.udel.edu/2025-summer-...

11 months ago 4 1 0 0
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Congratulations Marinna and Michael on graduation! And congrats Stephen, too!

11 months ago 4 0 0 0

Mostly German, but reviewing my French and dabbling in a few others. You?

11 months ago 0 0 1 0

I have enjoyed learning via Duolingo for over a year now, but recently have missed several days in a row due to being quite busy.

The aggressive, weird tone of the Duolingo reminder emails do not make me want to resume lessons. They make me want to delete the app & cancel my subscription.

11 months ago 6 0 1 0
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Higher social class predicts increased unethical behavior | PNAS Seven studies using experimental and naturalistic methods reveal that upper-class individuals behave more unethically than lower-class individuals....

Or, consider the experimental evidence. Scholars have found (over and over again) that, compared to "regular" people, those with high levels of wealth and income are more likely to lie, cheat, and steal. And they're also more likely to say that greed is good.
www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1...

1 year ago 180 50 7 3
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Opinion | A Lot About Trump Doesn’t Add Up A very petty man in a very powerful job.

In @nytopinion.nytimes.com

“Trump is engaging the full power of the presidency to settle scores,” our columnist Maureen Dowd writes. “The White House was not meant for petty tyrants on revenge tours. In the biggest job in the world, Trump seems like a very small man.”

1 year ago 1040 274 117 31
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Still finding quarter sized hailstones on the ground 45 minutes after...

1 year ago 9 0 0 0
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1 year ago 6 0 0 0
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A few photos...

1 year ago 2 0 1 0
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Pretty impressive hailstorm in NW Gainesville in the past 15 minutes, a lot of dime and nickel sized, a few quarters

1 year ago 5 0 1 0

Had a lot of dime to nickel sized hail in NW GNV, a few quarters. Most intense hailstorm I've seen in Gainesville.

1 year ago 2 0 1 0

Frequent cloud to ground lightning in GNV now, could get a little rough next few minutes in our area.

1 year ago 2 0 1 0

This would kill all weather model development - RRFS, HAFS, and WoFS - in NOAA. These are activities that the private sector can’t support; they leverage these models to train & benchmark their own.

I wish the headline didn’t just focus on climate as it limits the audience who will listen.

1 year ago 184 99 3 1
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The Climate Risk and Storm Hazards (CRASH) Lab led by Dr. Katy Serafin and Dr. @scatterazure.bsky.social focuses on risk, vulnerability, resilience, and adaptation for weather and climate hazards and environmental change geog.ufl.edu/geography-la...

1 year ago 3 1 0 0
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FEMA to Halt Billions in Grants for Disaster Protection, Internal Memo Says An internal FEMA memo says the agency is canceling future and existing grants that help states and tribes prepare for floods, tornadoes and other disasters

*Watches as tornadoes and floods devastate towns in the mid-South.* Yeah, this seems like a totally great idea that won't lead to bigger disasters losses down the road at all.

1 year ago 23 12 3 1