Elected to the Class of 2026 American Academy of Arts & Sciences NICHOLAS VALENTINO university of michigan donald r. kinder collegiate professor of political science RESEARCH PROFESSOr, center for political studies PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR, american national election studies

👏 Congratulations to @nickvalentino.bsky.social, one of the three U-M leaders newly elected to the 2026 American Academy of Arts & Sciences. A PI of the @electionstudies.bsky.social, Valentino's work has advanced what we know about electoral participation, empathy, and race. myumi.ch/y176R

Lots of amazing and well-deserving political scientists on the 2026 American Academy of Arts & Sciences inductees list, but a special shout out to my friend and collaborator, Dave Campbell. A great scholar and an excellent friend. So pleased to see him recognized. www.amacad.org/new-members-...

🚨Job opportunity🚨

UNC Poli Sci is hiring a postdoc (one year renewable) to advance research on political behavior, with a special focus on free expression in higher education. Competitive salary and benefits. No teaching. Please encourage people to apply. Ad:

timryan.web.unc.edu/wp-content/u...

New World, Same Constitution Podcast Episode · Amarica's Constitution · April 8 · 2h 6m

See with ~6 minutes remaining in this episode. I think there are also briefer mentions in the episodes before and after this one.

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/n...

Akhil Amar also gushed about it--more than tonce--in his weekly podcast. Thanks for writing it!

It seems like IF it matters, then there would not be a deterministic answer. It would hinge on expectations about which direction measurement-induced contamination is more likely to run, which I'd think is context dependent.

But in the case of uncertainty, I agree with Scott!

I have been glancing at the news all day and remain uncertain about the basic factual question of whether or not, during the next two weeks, tankers transiting the Straight of Hormuz need to pay a fee to Iran.

(respectful) counterpoint: "The Victors" should be played with so much bass the building shakes.

… But how is he going to reach a thoroughly considered opinion on the matter without both sides having a fulsome opportunity to present the merits of their positions??

“House rejects” would make you think, you know, that the House voted on the proposal and it was defeated. But no. If it went to the floor, it would probably get 300 votes. This just seems to mean like 5 guys on the Rules Committee won’t bring it for a vote.

Norman Borlaug - Wikipedia

Happy Norman Bourlag Day!

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norman_...

Kid’s school is preemptively cancelled tomorrow due to weather. I expect this cancellation to egregiously fail my “if the nearest Mattress Firm is open, school should be open” test.

Conditionally accepted at the APSR (w/ @scottclifford.bsky.social & @patrickpliu.bsky.social):

Why does political information so often change beliefs but NOT attitudes? We highlight the role of belief relevance, or the extent to which beliefs bear on attitudes.

Dear ANES community, the link below introduces our new Board of Advisors, led by Jamie Druckman. Jamie follows John Aldrich, who deftly chaired the Board for nearly 2 decades. This new group will guide us through the 2028 election cycle. Our deepest thanks to outgoing and incoming Board members!

After considerable discussion, my department is considering following the written portion with a short oral defense.

I didn't watch a moment of the State of the Union. Someone please tell me: is my understanding of public affairs impoverished?

I just hope both teams have fun.

Really surprised and disappointed at how few of my students showed up for my optional Zoom makeup class that happened today, a well-being day.

It could have been a three part crescendo from

UNC / Duke game
Superbowl
Logarithmic models with Professor Ryan

When are Explicit Racial Appeals Accepted? Examining the Role of Racial Status Threat - Political Behavior Evidence has emerged demonstrating that whites no longer reject negative, explicit racial appeals as they had in the past. This seeming reversal of the traditional logic of the powerlessness of explic...

Today seems like a nice day to re-up @leahchristiani.bsky.social 's excellent research on when white people approve of blatantly racist political messages. Not sure what made me think of it today, but anyway.

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

The Donut Rule for inclement weather school closures: If the donut store nearest to the school is open, then the school should be open.

(Public schools in my area are closed for the third day running.)

Declaration of Independence: A Transcription Note: The following text is a transcription of the Stone Engraving of the parchment Declaration of Independence (the document on display in the Rotunda at the National Archives Museum.) The spelling a...

For protecting [armed troops], by a mock Trial, from punishment for any Murders which they should commit on the Inhabitants of these States.

www.archives.gov/founding-doc...

Near as I can tell, an ICE agent pulled the trigger for 2/3 of the deaths by gunfire in Minneapolis so far in 2026.

If the United States invades Greenland, would this be ethically better, worse, or the same as Russia invading the Ukraine? Why?

Can we please make it a rule, enforced at the submission stage, that if your experiment is pre-registered, you must include a link to the pre-registration or include the pre-registration in your appendix? Amazing to me how many manuscripts I review assert pre-registration, but don't show it to me.

Time for student subject pools to make a comeback! 🚀

Not great, Bob.

Careful, folks. ChatGPT appears to be daydreaming today.

It also seems basically what they tried to get Mike Pence to do on 1/6/21. Which was… problematic.

Don't mishear me! Senate malapportionment is bad. I'm just chewing over my thoughts on this particular mechanism for addressing it.

This is interesting. So the idea is that the presiding officer gets to decide the rules for tallying votes? This seems like a recipe for anarchy. E.g. the next VP could just change the rules back and now the Senate is just a proxy for the executive branch.