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Posts by Peter Fallesen

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🇩🇰 Yesterday we had a wonderful yearly meeting of @demografi.dk — Danish Demography Day with one session of brilliant speakers and plenty of coffee break time to socialize 🫂
(👇 SDU is ready for the yearly science fest for kids 😍)

4 days ago 9 2 1 0
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Acting on the advice of others: focus on illuminating tradeoffs and not on (others') outcomes Why advice based on success stories shields you from the real decisions that matter.

I love this essay by @jasonmfletcher.bsky.social

I try to be very honest with students about some of the many (MANY) “lottery-winning” moments in my career trajectory.

Here’s just one:

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1 week ago 39 9 4 4

🚨I’m Hiring!: Postdoc in Social Epidemiology (REMOTE)

I'm seeking to hire a postdoc with research interests in the social determinants of health with a focus on dementia and methods to strengthen causal inference. This is a great opportunity to contribute to research to inform public health policy.

3 weeks ago 8 9 1 0

Very happy about this publication. We managed to pool two unique data sources: Behavioral reading data from the reading app Bookbites (used in many schools in DK) and population level data on library-loans. Both sources of data confirmed the same trend regarding gender differences in reading.

3 weeks ago 9 5 0 0
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Digital Health Intervention for and Long-Term Health Outcomes of a Divorce Cohort With Linked Danish Data: 5-Year Posttrial Follow-Up of a Randomized Controlled Trial Background: Digital health interventions are increasingly promoted as scalable and cost-effective approaches to support mental health and resilience. Short-term benefits are well documented, but evide...

Can a digital intervention buffer the long-term health costs of divorce? In our new JMIR paper, we link an RCT of 1,856 Danish divorcees to national registers over 5 years. Result: 28% fewer filled psych prescriptions + delayed reductions in GP visits and hospitalizations.

jmir.org/2025/1/e69387

1 month ago 4 0 0 0
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📣 Join our ERC LEARN Research Team at CRIS, Sciences Po, Paris, to investigate how major disruptive events affect children's educational development. Apply by 12 April:

⭐️Doctoral Researcher / PhD candidate
www.google.com/url?q=https:...

⭐️Postdoctoral Researcher
www.google.com/url?q=https:...

1 month ago 30 26 0 1
Vacancies | ICS ICS Sociology PhD positions vacancies Graduate school program Social Sciences Methodology

I’m looking for three PhD students for my new ERC project, starting 1 September. The goal is to understand how firms shape inequality in workers’ careers—using population registers.

Please spread the word! Deadline is March 8, more info here (see projects 4-6):

ics-graduateschool.nl/vacancies/

2 months ago 32 31 0 0
My conclusion is that much of the worry about sub-replacement fertility is
overstated. Quantitatively, the net effect of even a large fertility reduction on the
US economy would be a relatively small decline in the standard of living. Comparing
demographic steady states and focusing on the most easily quantified channels,
a version of the United States with a total fertility rate of one child per woman
would have consumption per capita that was 8.7 percent lower than a version of
the country where the TFR was two. In the first four decades of the transition
following a decline in fertility below the replacement rate, consumption is actually
higher than it would have been if fertility had remained constant. Indeed, much of
the sturm und drang regarding the economic effects of current population aging is
related to the ending of such a transitory period of good times that resulted from
fertility declining from its Baby-Boom highs to near replacement, starting in the
1960s. Finally, it is important to note that any attempt to fix the economic problems
stemming from low fertility by raising the birth rate will entail a period of higher
overall dependency in the decades that it takes the resulting children to become
productive adults.

My conclusion is that much of the worry about sub-replacement fertility is overstated. Quantitatively, the net effect of even a large fertility reduction on the US economy would be a relatively small decline in the standard of living. Comparing demographic steady states and focusing on the most easily quantified channels, a version of the United States with a total fertility rate of one child per woman would have consumption per capita that was 8.7 percent lower than a version of the country where the TFR was two. In the first four decades of the transition following a decline in fertility below the replacement rate, consumption is actually higher than it would have been if fertility had remained constant. Indeed, much of the sturm und drang regarding the economic effects of current population aging is related to the ending of such a transitory period of good times that resulted from fertility declining from its Baby-Boom highs to near replacement, starting in the 1960s. Finally, it is important to note that any attempt to fix the economic problems stemming from low fertility by raising the birth rate will entail a period of higher overall dependency in the decades that it takes the resulting children to become productive adults.

Low birth rates have modest long run negative effects, after good effects for a few decades, and raising birthrates exacerbates dependency. A giant, apparently permanent, disconnect between expert opinion (e.g., below) versus manufactured panic hype on this issue pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/...

2 months ago 21 13 0 0
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If you are interested in all things ✨causal inference✨, please join our multidisciplinary Causal Inference Interest Group (CIIG). We host monthly seminars featuring speakers with various academic backgrounds and research interests.

Links below.

cc @clscohorts.bsky.social @pwgtennant.bsky.social

3 months ago 47 29 1 1
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Vacancies Jobs and Vacancies at INET Oxford, The Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford

I'm hiring a post-doctoral researcher to join us at the University of Oxford and our @inetoxford.bsky.social Inequality team. Ideal candidate has experience in the fields of inequality, social mobility, and/or public policy. We can sponsor visas for non-UK applicants. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/vacancies

3 months ago 29 15 0 0
Markets and Mobility: How Employers Structure Economic Opportunity

Markets and Mobility: How Employers Structure Economic Opportunity

Intergenerational mobility, measuring the ability to achieve economic success regardless of family background, is a critical reflection of a society’s commitment to equality of opportunity. Rising income inequality has raised concerns about the potential erosion of upward mobility. While education has traditionally been viewed as the path to mobility, its transformative power is facing challenges in a rapidly evolving job market. This project reorients the focus of intergenerational mobility research by highlighting the labor market as an arena for the reproduction of advantage. It employs a comparative approach, using administrative data from four countries: Sweden, Austria, England, and the United States. It also incorporates evidence from a broader set of nations through cross-national surveys, longitudinal household surveys, labor force surveys, secondary data, and digital trace data. The project employs cutting-edge empirical methods, including quasi- experimental designs, event studies, within-family comparisons, decomposition analyses, counterfactual simulations, and diagnostic checks to rigorously assess the extent of inequalities in the labor market. The research investigates how family background influences the sorting of individuals to employers and workplaces, accounting for education and occupation, and explores variations in career progression within and between employers. It comprehensively catalogues and assesses mechanisms shaping workplace inequality, contributing to the development of social closure theory. Additionally, the project evaluates intervention strategies, encompassing both employer practices and government actions, to promote fair opportunity in the labor market.

Intergenerational mobility, measuring the ability to achieve economic success regardless of family background, is a critical reflection of a society’s commitment to equality of opportunity. Rising income inequality has raised concerns about the potential erosion of upward mobility. While education has traditionally been viewed as the path to mobility, its transformative power is facing challenges in a rapidly evolving job market. This project reorients the focus of intergenerational mobility research by highlighting the labor market as an arena for the reproduction of advantage. It employs a comparative approach, using administrative data from four countries: Sweden, Austria, England, and the United States. It also incorporates evidence from a broader set of nations through cross-national surveys, longitudinal household surveys, labor force surveys, secondary data, and digital trace data. The project employs cutting-edge empirical methods, including quasi- experimental designs, event studies, within-family comparisons, decomposition analyses, counterfactual simulations, and diagnostic checks to rigorously assess the extent of inequalities in the labor market. The research investigates how family background influences the sorting of individuals to employers and workplaces, accounting for education and occupation, and explores variations in career progression within and between employers. It comprehensively catalogues and assesses mechanisms shaping workplace inequality, contributing to the development of social closure theory. Additionally, the project evaluates intervention strategies, encompassing both employer practices and government actions, to promote fair opportunity in the labor market.

JOB! I'm hiring a postdoc for 2 years on my ERC MaMo project.

Looking for someone with strong quant methods, ongoing work close to the project's aims, and a desire to publish in sociology. Start flexible in the next 12 months.

Formal call out shortly, but contact me first.

3 months ago 101 108 0 6

Best proof-reading tool out there

3 months ago 2 0 0 0
DHS Releases Watchlist Of Mothers Driving Cars

DHS Releases Watchlist Of Mothers Driving Cars

DHS Releases Watchlist Of Mothers Driving Cars theonion.com/dhs-releases-watchlist-o...

3 months ago 8303 1892 96 54

So fortunate to be allowed to play a tiny role in this gigantic effort lead by @moberndorfer.bsky.social

3 months ago 6 0 0 0
Seminars - The ROCKWOOL Foundation

The 2026 program for the ROCKWOOL Foundation Research Seminar Series is now online, and I couldn’t be more excited! We have an exceptional lineup of researchers who will visit us next year.

If you’d like to stay informed about upcoming seminars, sign up here.

en.rockwoolfonden.dk/seminars/

4 months ago 5 3 0 0

"[S]ome countries often characterized as low-mobility emerge as matching or surpassing the egalitarian Nordic countries, reinforcing the view that wider mobility differences cannot be attributed solely to the education system."

This month in our journal, @sociologicalsci.bsky.social

4 months ago 7 3 0 0
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Damning overview of the nudging literature.

"[We] provide the most comprehensive synthesis of the effectiveness of nudging."

"We find a small aggregated effect size."

"[Our results show] the urgent need for higher quality, preregistered meta-analyses to clarify the true impact [of nudging]."

4 months ago 37 8 2 1
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📢 New dataset for researchers!
The new European Parenting Leave Policies (EPLP) Dataset tracks parenting leave regulations over five decades! It provides harmonised data on maternity, co-parent, paid parental, and job-protected leave across 21 countries from 1970 to 2024.
🔗 eplp-dataset.org

4 months ago 57 33 1 6
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I guess this means 50% I only wear black, 50% I have oatmeal on my back

4 months ago 2 0 0 0
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Austerity as reproductive injustice: did local government spending cuts unequally impact births? Abstract. Large local government spending cuts in England, spanning over a decade of austerity policies, have severely restricted the universal services an

Our new paper: Austerity as reproductive injustice: did local government spending cuts unequally impact births? led by Laura Sochas is out now OA in @sfjournal.bsky.social

4 months ago 24 9 2 4

Breeders
Low
Leonard Cohen
My Bloody Valentine
Shellac

4 months ago 11 0 0 2
Problems with the so-called gender equality paradox | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Problems with the so-called gender equality paradox
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/25/p...

4 months ago 14 8 1 2
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Gaza: Study Reveals Unprecedented Losses of Life & Life Expectancy
Researchers from MPIDR & the Centre for Demographic Studies (CED) investigated the impact of the conflict in Gaza on mortality. Life expectancy 2024 fell to nearly half the level expected without the war. www.demogr.mpg.de/go/GazaLE

4 months ago 35 20 1 2
Graduate Admission Information - Department of Demography Overview of the Graduate Admission Process The Department of Demography offers M.A. and Ph.D. degrees in Demography, a Ph.D. degree in Sociology and Demography, training with no degree goal under “cou...

Berkeley Demography application deadline for Fall 2026 admission is Dec 1, 2025.

Read more here:
www.demog.berkeley.edu/graduate-adm...

5 months ago 8 7 1 0
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In an interesting turn of events, US and Danish government came up with the same to help with the affordability crisis: longer mortgages!

That has sparked some backlash. But in the US, it seems the discussion is focusing on the wrong stuff.

Well, let’s try to learn from 🇩🇰.

5 months ago 17 9 2 5

Stadig for tidligt til helt at være sikker på hvorvidt vi ser udligning nu, men ja lige nu går det op. Bliver spændende når vi til februar begynder at kunne se de aldersspecifikke fødselsrater for 2025

5 months ago 3 0 0 0

bsky.app/profile/ryom...

6 months ago 5 0 1 0
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New WP: We study how minimum wage increases affect poverty and food hardship in the U.S from 1981-2019. Different from recent work, we study the Supplemental Poverty Measure + two measures of food hardship, factor in cost-of-living differences, and more. www.iza.org/publications...

6 months ago 56 30 2 3
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🚀✨The Editorial Board of ESR is growing!

We’re happy to welcome PeterFallesen @pfallesen.bsky.social

( ROCKWOOL Foundation, Denmark) as a new Associate Editor!!

We are thrilled to welcome Peter to the Editorial Board and look forward to working together!

academic.oup.com/esr/pages/Ed...

7 months ago 20 3 0 0
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Universitair Docent in de Sociologie van Sociale Ongelijkheid Tilburg University | Tilburg School of Social and Behavioral Sciences is op zoek naar een Universitair Docent in de Sociologie van Sociale Ongelijkheid, Departement Sociologie, locatie Tilburg.

Our #Sociology department is looking for an #AssistantProfessor in the field of Social Inequality (with the possibility for a permanent contract).

www.academictransfer.com/en/jobs/3546...

@sociologytiu.bsky.social @tilburg-university.bsky.social @academic-chatter.bsky.social #academicjobs

7 months ago 33 34 0 1